South Florida vs East Carolina Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Thursday, March 9, 2023

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The No. 8 seed South Florida Bulls (14-17, 7-11 AAC) and the No. 9 seed East Carolina Pirates (15-16, 6-12 AAC) play in the AAC Tournament Thursday at Dickies Arena. Gametime is at 12:30 PM.

Thursday’s matchup between the Bulls and the Pirates features the Bulls as 3-point favorites. The game has an over/under of 141.5.

South Florida vs. East Carolina Odds

Point Spread for South Florida vs. East Carolina

The spread for this matchup is set at 3 points, with sportsbooks listing South Florida as the favorite.

South Florida vs. East Carolina Moneyline

As for the moneyline, South Florida has -161 odds to pick up the win, while East Carolina is listed at +137 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 141.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Thursday, March 9, 2023
  • Game Time: 12:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPNU
  • Location: Fort Worth, Texas
  • Arena: Dickies Arena

South Florida vs. East Carolina Betting Trends

Against the spread, South Florida is 17-12-2 this year. The Bulls have been favorites in 14 games this season and have come away with the win nine times (64.3%) in those contests. South Florida’s games this year have hit the over on 21 of 31 set point totals.

Against the spread, East Carolina is 18-11-2 this season. The Pirates have won seven of the 20 games they were the underdog on the moneyline this season (35%). East Carolina’s games this year have gone over the total in 17 of 31 opportunities (54.8%).

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South Florida vs. East Carolina Key Players to Watch

South Florida

Russel Tchewa leads his team in rebounds per contest (8.5), and also averages 11.3 points and 0.8 assists. Defensively, he averages 0.7 steals and 0.3 blocked shots. Selton Miguel is posting 10.5 points, 3.3 assists and 3.2 rebounds per contest. Sam Hines Jr. puts up 6.8 points, 5.5 rebounds and 1.4 assists per contest, shooting 48.3% from the field.

East Carolina

Brandon Johnson paces the Pirates in rebounding (8.3 per game), and produces 12.8 points and 1.9 assists. He also averages 0.9 steals and 0.7 blocked shots. RJ Felton tops the Pirates in scoring (13.8 points per game), and produces 4.4 rebounds and 1.6 assists. He also posts 0.9 steals and 0.5 blocked shots. Jaden Walker paces the Pirates in assists (2.8 per game), and puts up 7.3 points and 4.6 rebounds. He also delivers 1.3 steals and 0.1 blocked shots. The Pirates receive 15.8 points, 4.8 rebounds and 5.6 assists per game from Javon Small.

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What you need to know about the South Florida Bulls

South Florida is 9-7-2 ATS in conference games this season. The Bulls rank 166th in the country with 72.4 points per game so far this year. At the other end of the court, they rank 236th with 71.9 points allowed per contest. South Florida ranks 76th in college basketball with 33.5 boards per game this season. Meanwhile, it ranks 146th with 30.6 rebounds allowed per game.

South Florida is draining 7.4 threes per game (182nd-ranked in college basketball) this year, while sporting a 33.7% three-point percentage (207th-ranked). With 7.6 three-pointers conceded per game, the Bulls rank 229th in the nation. They are ceding a 34.8% shooting percentage from downtown, which ranks 253rd in college basketball.

The Bulls are 4-4-2 against the spread and 5-5 overall in their past 10 games. Five of South Florida’s last 10 outings have gone over the total. In its last 10 games, South Florida has been racking up 73.3 points per game, an average that’s a little higher than the 72.4 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 season. South Florida’s points-allowed average over its last 10 games (74.8) is 2.9 more points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (71.9).

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What you need to know about the East Carolina Pirates

East Carolina and its opponents have combined to go over the point total nine out of 18 times this year in AAC action. In 2022-23, the Pirates are 235th in college basketball on offense (69.4 points scored per game) and 217th defensively (71.3 points conceded). East Carolina collects 33.4 rebounds per game and concede 31.5 boards, ranking 85th and 200th, respectively, in the nation.

At 7.7 made 3-pointers per game and shooting 31.8% from beyond the arc, East Carolina is 139th and 309th in college basketball, respectively, in those categories. The Pirates are 82nd in the nation in 3-pointers conceded (6.5 per game) and 120th in 3-point percentage defensively (33%).

The Pirates have gone 4-6 in their past 10 games, with a 5-3-2 record against the spread in that span. East Carolina has gone over the total in six of its past 10 contests. While East Carolina is scoring 69.4 points per game in 2022-23, it has bettered that mark in its past 10 games, amassing 69.5 a contest. In their past 10 games, the Pirates are giving up 75.4 points per contest, 4.1 more points than their season average (71.3).

South Florida vs. East Carolina Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this contest is South Florida, and we predict that East Carolina will cover the spread (South Florida -3). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 141.5 points.

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How to bet South Florida vs. East Carolina

You can bet on South Florida vs. East Carolina at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s South Florida vs. East Carolina picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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