Purdue vs Ohio State Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Sunday, February 19, 2023

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The Purdue Boilermakers (23-4, 12-4 Big Ten) look to extend a five-game home winning run when hosting the Ohio State Buckeyes (11-15, 3-12 Big Ten) on Sunday, February 19, 2023 at 1:00 PM ET.

The Boilermakers are currently sizable 12.5-point favorites over the Buckeyes. The matchup has an over/under of 138.

Purdue vs. Ohio State Odds

Point Spread for Purdue vs. Ohio State

The spread for this matchup is set at 12.5 points, with sportsbooks listing Purdue as the favorite.

Purdue vs. Ohio State Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Purdue has -883 odds to pick up the win, while Ohio State is listed at +579 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 138 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Sunday, February 19, 2023
  • Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS
  • Location: West Lafayette, Indiana
  • Arena: Mackey Arena

Purdue vs. Ohio State Betting Trends

Purdue has 11 wins against the spread in 27 games this year. The Boilermakers have been chosen as favorites in 20 games this year and have walked away with the win 18 times (90%) in those games. Purdue’s games this year have gone over the point total 11 times in 26 opportunities (42.3%).

In Ohio State’s 26 games this year, it has eight wins against the spread. The Buckeyes have won one of the 10 games they were the underdog on the moneyline this season (10%). Ohio State’s games this year have hit the over on 14 of 26 set point totals (53.8%).

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Purdue vs. Ohio State Key Players to Watch


Zach Edey is tops on his team in both points (22) and rebounds (12.8) per contest, and also posts 1.5 assists. Defensively, he delivers 0.3 steals and 2.3 blocked shots (ninth in the nation). Braden Smith is tops on the Boilermakers at 4.3 assists per contest, while also averaging 4.4 rebounds and 10.2 points. Fletcher Loyer puts up 12 points, 1.7 rebounds and 2.5 assists per contest, shooting 38% from the field and 33.6% from downtown with 1.9 made 3-pointers per game. Caleb Furst posts 6.3 points, 5.1 rebounds and 0.8 assists per contest. Defensively, he delivers 0.4 steals and 0.4 blocked shots.

Ohio State

Brice Sensabaugh tops the Buckeyes in scoring (16.3 points per game), and puts up 5.2 rebounds and 1 assists. He also averages 0.6 steals and 0.3 blocked shots. Zed Key is the Buckeyes’ top rebounder (7.5 per game), and he puts up 10.8 points and 0.8 assists. The Buckeyes receive 12.2 points, 5 rebounds and 1.8 assists per game from Justice Sueing. Bruce Thornton is averaging 9.1 points, 2.8 rebounds and 2.6 assists per contest, making 44.2% of his shots from the floor and 37.7% from 3-point range, with 1.1 treys per contest.

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What you need to know about the Purdue Boilermakers

So far this season, eight out of Purdue’s 16 Big Ten games have gone over the point total. The Boilermakers sport a top-25 defense this season, ranking 15th-best in college basketball with 61.9 points allowed per game. On offense, they rank 147th with 73.2 points scored per contest. In terms of rebounding, everything is clicking for Purdue, who is averaging 36.3 rebounds per game (11th-best in college basketball) and allowing 24.4 rebounds per contest (best).

The Boilermakers are scoring 76.2 points per game this season in home games, which is 8.5 more points than they’re averaging in away games (67.7). Purdue is sinking 7.1 three-pointers per game (218th-ranked in college basketball) this year, while owning a 33.2% three-point percentage (237th-ranked). The Boilermakers are allowing 6.1 treys per game (47th-ranked in college basketball). They are allowing opposing teams to shoot 30.3% (26th-ranked) from beyond the arc.

The Boilermakers have gone 7-3 in their last 10 games, with a 4-5-1 record against the spread in that span. In its past 10 games, Purdue has gone over the total five times. Purdue has been scoring 68.8 points per game in its last 10 times on the court, an average that’s a little lower than the 73.2 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 campaign. The past 10 games have seen Purdue give up 1.3 more points per game (63.2) than its season-long average (61.9).

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What you need to know about the Ohio State Buckeyes

Ohio State and its opponents have combined to hit the over six out of 15 times this season in Big Ten play. The Buckeyes score 73.7 points per game and allow 68.7, making them 131st in the nation offensively and 150th on defense. At 34.6 rebounds per game and 30.6 rebounds allowed, Ohio State is 40th and 148th in college basketball, respectively.

At home, the Buckeyes score 75.3 points per game. On the road, they score 68.4. In 2022-23, Ohio State is 254th in college basketball in 3-point makes (6.7 per game) and 71st in 3-point percentage (36.2%). In 2022-23, the Buckeyes are 153rd in college basketball in 3-pointers allowed (7 per game) and 50th in defensive 3-point percentage (31.3%).

The Buckeyes have one win against the spread, and are 1-9 overall, in their past 10 contests. Four of Ohio State’s last 10 contests have hit the over. Over its past 10 games, Ohio State is putting up 65.5 points per contest, 8.2 fewer points than its season average (73.7). While the Buckeyes are giving up 68.7 points per game in 2022-23, they have been worse over their previous 10 games, allowing 72.8 points per contest.

Purdue vs. Ohio State Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this contest is Purdue, and we project that Ohio State will cover the spread (Purdue -12.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 138 points.

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How to bet Purdue vs. Ohio State

You can bet on Purdue vs. Ohio State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Purdue vs. Ohio State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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