Providence vs Xavier Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Wednesday, March 1, 2023

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The Providence Friars (21-8, 13-5 Big East) look to continue a 12-game home winning stretch when hosting the Xavier Musketeers (21-8, 13-5 Big East) on Wednesday, March 1, 2023 at 6:30 PM ET.

Wednesday’s matchup between the Friars and the Musketeers features the Friars as moderate 3.5-point favorites. The matchup has a point total of 151.5.

Providence vs. Xavier Odds

Point Spread for Providence vs. Xavier

The spread for this matchup is set at 3.5 points, with bookmakers listing Providence as the favorite.

Providence vs. Xavier Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Providence has -172 odds to pick up the win, while Xavier is listed at +145 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 151.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Wednesday, March 1, 2023
  • Game Time: 6:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: Fox Sports 1
  • Location: Providence, Rhode Island
  • Arena: Amica Mutual Pavilion

Providence vs. Xavier Betting Trends

Against the spread, Providence is 18-11-0 this season. The Friars have won in 16, or 94.1%, of the 17 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year. Providence has eclipsed the over/under in 51.7% of its opportunities this year (15 times over 29 games with a set point total).

Xavier is 16-12-1 against the spread this season. The Musketeers have been the underdog on the moneyline eight total times this season. They’ve gone 3-5 in those games. Xavier’s games this year have eclipsed the over/under 62.1% of the time (18 out of 29 games with a set point total).

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Providence vs. Xavier Key Players to Watch


Bryce Hopkins is tops on his squad in both points (16.4) and rebounds (8.8) per contest, and also posts 2.3 assists. Defensively, he delivers 0.9 steals and 0.7 blocked shots. Devin Carter puts up 13.2 points, 5.1 rebounds and 2.5 assists per game, shooting 43.8% from the floor and 31.3% from beyond the arc with 1 made 3-pointers per game. Ed Croswell averages 13.3 points, 7.4 rebounds and 0.8 assists per game, shooting 61.7% from the floor.
Jared Bynum leads his team in assists per game (4.5), and also posts 9.8 points and 2.6 rebounds. At the other end, he delivers 0.8 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.


Jack Nunge is posting 14.3 points, 7.9 rebounds and 2.1 assists per game, making 52.5% of his shots from the field and 40.7% from beyond the arc, with 1.1 triples per contest. Colby Jones is the Musketeers’ top assist man (4.6 per game), and he averages 14.7 points and 5 rebounds. Zach Freemantle is posting a team-leading 8.1 rebounds per game. And he is producing 15.2 points and 2.9 assists, making 58.5% of his shots from the floor.

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What you need to know about the Providence Friars

Providence has covered 13 times in 18 matchups with a spread in conference action this season. The Friars are averaging 78.8 points per game (30th-ranked in college basketball) this season, while allowing 70.1 points per contest (187th-ranked). Providence is top-25 this season in rebounding, ranking 17th-best in college basketball with 35.9 rebounds per game. Meanwhile, it ranks 61st with 29 rebounds allowed per contest.

The Friars are posting 84.1 points per game in home games. In away games, they are averaging 73.9 points per contest. So far this year, Providence is making 6.6 treys per game (264th-ranked in college basketball) and is shooting 35.7% (93rd-ranked) from beyond the arc. The Friars are 74th in college basketball with 6.4 treys allowed per game this season. Meanwhile, they rank 84th with a 32.2% shooting percentage allowed from downtown.

The Friars have a 7-3 record against the spread while going 7-3 overall over their last 10 contests. Providence has gone over the total in five of its past 10 games. Providence has seen a decrease in scoring lately, putting up 78.5 points per game in its last 10 contests, 0.3 points fewer than the 78.8 it has scored this season. Providence has been more porous on the defensive side of the ball lately, giving up 72 points per game over its past 10 contests compared to the 70.1 points per game its opponents are averaging on the 2022-23 season.

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What you need to know about the Xavier Musketeers

In Xavier’s 18 chances this season in Big East action, the combined scoring has gone over the point total nine times. In 2022-23, the Musketeers are 11th-best in college basketball offensively (81.9 points scored per game) and ranked 297th on defense (74.3 points allowed). In 2022-23, Xavier is 33rd in the country in rebounds (34.8 per game) and 75th in rebounds conceded (29.3).

At home, the Musketeers average 84 points per game. On the road, they score 79.2. Beyond the arc, Xavier is 147th in the country in 3-pointers made per game (7.7). It is sixth-best in 3-point percentage at 39.6%. The Musketeers are 230th in the nation in 3-pointers allowed (7.6 per game) and 314th in 3-point percentage defensively (36.1%).

The Musketeers are 5-5 against the spread and 6-4 overall over their past 10 games. In its past 10 contests, Xavier has hit the over five times. Xavier has performed worse offensively in its last 10 games, tallying 78.7 points per contest, 3.2 fewer points its than season average of 81.9. The Musketeers are giving up 72.9 points per contest in their last 10 games, which is 1.4 fewer points than they are allowing for the season (74.3).

Providence vs. Xavier Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this contest is Providence, and we expect that Xavier will cover the spread (Providence -3.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 151.5 points.

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How to bet Providence vs. Xavier

You can bet on Providence vs. Xavier at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Providence vs. Xavier picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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