North Carolina vs Louisville Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Saturday, January 14, 2023

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The Louisville Cardinals (2-15, 0-6 ACC) welcome in the North Carolina Tar Heels (11-6, 3-3 ACC) after dropping three straight home games. It begins at 2:00 PM ET on Saturday, January 14, 2023.

The Tar Heels are currently double-digit 12.5-point favorites over the Cardinals. The over/under is 144 points for the matchup.

North Carolina vs. Louisville Odds

Point Spread for North Carolina vs. Louisville

The spread for this matchup is set at 12.5 points, with oddsmakers listing North Carolina as the favorite.

North Carolina vs. Louisville Moneyline

As for the moneyline, North Carolina has -869 odds to pick up the win, while Louisville is listed at +567 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 144 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, January 14, 2023
  • Game Time: 2:00 PM ET
  • Location: Louisville, Kentucky
  • Arena: KFC Yum! Center

North Carolina vs. Louisville Betting Trends

North Carolina has played 17 games, with five wins against the spread. The Tar Heels have been chosen as favorites in 13 games this year and have walked away with the win 11 times (84.6%) in those games. North Carolina has eclipsed the over/under in 58.8% of its opportunities this year (10 times over 17 games with a set point total).

In Louisville’s 17 games this year, it has six wins against the spread. The Cardinals have won 8.3% of the games this season they were the moneyline underdog (1-11). Louisville has gone over the point total 41.2% of the time this season (seven of 17 games with a set point total).

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North Carolina vs. Louisville Key Players to Watch

North Carolina

Armando Bacot is tops on his squad in both points (17.6) and rebounds (10.6) per contest, and also puts up 1.6 assists. At the other end, he delivers 0.6 steals and 1.3 blocked shots. RJ Davis puts up 16.4 points, 5.2 rebounds and 3.1 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 1.3 steals and 0.1 blocked shots. Caleb Love posts a team-leading 3.5 assists per game. He is also putting up 16.6 points and 4 rebounds, shooting 39.5% from the field and 29.3% from beyond the arc with 2 made 3-pointers per game. Rechon ‘Leaky’ Black posts 7.2 points, 6.1 rebounds and 1.4 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 1.4 steals and 0.7 blocked shots.


Brandon Huntley-Hatfield is No. 1 on the Cardinals in rebounding (6 per game), and averages 7.5 points and 0.6 assists. He also posts 0.7 steals and 0.8 blocked shots. Mike James is putting up 9.2 points, 3.4 rebounds and 0.9 assists per contest, making 46.8% of his shots from the field and 39.1% from 3-point range, with 1.1 triples per contest. The Cardinals receive 8.1 points, 4.5 rebounds and 0.7 assists per game from Jae’Lyn Withers.

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What you need to know about the North Carolina Tar Heels

On offense, the Tar Heels are putting up 80 points per game (30th-ranked in college basketball). They are giving up 73.7 points per contest at the other end (294th-ranked). North Carolina is allowing 32.1 rebounds per game this season (239th-ranked in college basketball), but it has provided a lift by pulling down 36.7 rebounds per game (19th-best).

Offensively the Tar Heels have fared better at home this year, putting up 83.4 points per game, compared to 67.3 per game in away games. North Carolina is sinking 6.8 threes per game (252nd-ranked in college basketball). It has a 32% shooting percentage (275th-ranked) from beyond the arc. With 8 threes conceded per game, the Tar Heels rank 271st in the nation. They are ceding a 34.7% shooting percentage from downtown, which ranks 250th in college basketball.

The Tar Heels have a 4-6 record against the spread while going 6-4 overall over their past 10 games. In its past 10 games, North Carolina has hit the over seven times. North Carolina has been putting up 78.2 points per game in its last 10 appearances, an average that’s slightly lower than the 80 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 season. North Carolina has been slightly better on the defensive end of the floor of late, allowing 72.7 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 73.7 it has surrendered per game this year.

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What you need to know about the Louisville Cardinals

In 2022-23, the Cardinals are 11th-worst in the nation offensively (63.1 points scored per game) and 318th on defense (74.9 points conceded). In 2022-23, Louisville is 274th in the nation in rebounds (30.4 per game) and 235th in rebounds allowed (32).

At home, the Cardinals score 66.8 points per game. On the road, they score 62.5. In 2022-23, Louisville is 297th in college basketball in 3-point makes (6.2 per game) and 240th in 3-point percentage (32.8%). The Cardinals give up 7.6 3-pointers per game and concede 34.8% from beyond the arc, ranking 234th and 255th, respectively, in college basketball.

The Cardinals have gone 2-8 in their past 10 games, with a 6-4 record against the spread in that span. Five of Louisville’s past 10 outings have hit the over. While Louisville is putting up 63.1 points per game in 2022-23, it has bettered that mark in its previous 10 games, producing 66.6 a contest. In their previous 10 games, the Cardinals are allowing 76.3 points per game, 1.4 more points than their season average (74.9).

North Carolina vs. Louisville Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this game is North Carolina, and we predict that North Carolina will cover the spread (North Carolina -12.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 144 points.

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How to bet North Carolina vs. Louisville

You can bet on North Carolina vs. Louisville at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s North Carolina vs. Louisville picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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