Michigan State vs Iowa Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Thursday, January 26, 2023

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The Iowa Hawkeyes’ (12-7, 4-4 Big Ten) Big Ten schedule includes Thursday’s game against the Michigan State Spartans (13-7, 5-4 Big Ten) at Jack Breslin Students Events Center. It tips at 7:00 PM ET.

The Spartans face the Hawkeyes in a game that Michigan State is currently a modest favorite by 2.5 points. The point total for the game is 146.

Michigan State vs. Iowa Odds

Point Spread for Michigan State vs. Iowa

The spread for this matchup is set at 2.5 points, with sportsbooks listing Michigan State as the favorite.

Michigan State vs. Iowa Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Michigan State has -147 odds to pick up the win, while Iowa is listed at +123 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 146 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Thursday, January 26, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Location: East Lansing, Michigan
  • Arena: Jack Breslin Students Events Center

Michigan State vs. Iowa Betting Trends

Michigan State has 11 wins against the spread in 20 games this year. The Spartans have won in 11, or 78.6%, of the 14 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year. Michigan State’s games this year have hit the over on 10 of 19 set point totals.

Iowa has 11 wins against the spread in 19 games this season. The Hawkeyes have been the underdog on the moneyline five total times this season. They’ve gone 2-3 in those games. Iowa’s games this year have hit the over on 10 of 19 set point totals (52.6%).

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Michigan State vs. Iowa Key Players to Watch

Michigan State

A.J Hoggard puts up a team-best 6.1 assists per contest. He is also putting up 12.7 points and 3.8 rebounds, shooting 41.5% from the floor. Joey Hauser averages a team-high 7.7 rebounds per game. In addition, he’s putting up 13.8 points and 2.2 assists, shooting 48.0% from the field and 40.9% from downtown with 1.8 made 3-pointers per game. Tyson Walker paces the Spartans at 14.3 points per contest, while also averaging 2.6 assists and 2.5 rebounds. Mady Sissoko puts up 5.6 points, 6.8 rebounds and 0.6 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 0.3 steals and 0.8 blocked shots.


Filip Rebraca gives the Hawkeyes 13.9 points, 8.4 rebounds and 2.1 assists per game. He also posts 0.6 steals and 1.4 blocked shots. Kris Murray is the Hawkeyes’ top scorer (21.3 points per game) and rebounder (8.9), and posts 1.8 assists. Tony Perkins is posting a team-best 2.8 assists per game. And he is delivering 10.8 points and 3.7 rebounds, making 40.4% of his shots from the field. The Hawkeyes get 10.0 points, 3.9 rebounds and 1.7 assists per game from Payton Sandfort.

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What you need to know about the Michigan State Spartans

So far this season, the Spartans are putting up 69.7 points per game (223rd-ranked in college basketball) and ceding 65.9 points per contest (80th-ranked). This season, Michigan State is grabbing 33.7 boards per game (103rd-ranked in college basketball) and ceding 30.4 rebounds per contest (132nd-ranked).

Offensively the Spartans have fared better at home this year, scoring 69.9 points per game, compared to 64.6 per game away from home. Michigan State is draining 7.0 three-pointers per game (231st-ranked in college basketball) this season, while owning a 37.4% three-point percentage (41st-ranked). With 6.8 treys conceded per game, the Spartans are 127th in the country. They are ceding a 30.5% shooting percentage from three-point land, which ranks 50th in college basketball.

The Spartans have gone 7-3 in their last 10 contests, with a 7-3 record against the spread in that span. Michigan State has gone over the total in four of its last 10 outings. On the offensive side of the ball, Michigan State has had a hard time putting the ball in the basket over its last 10 games, scoring 69.4 points per contest over that span compared to the 69.7 it has racked up over the course of this year. The past 10 games have seen Michigan State give up 3.5 fewer points per game (62.4) than its season-long average (65.9).

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What you need to know about the Iowa Hawkeyes

On offense, the Hawkeyes are the 19th-best squad in the nation (81.7 points per game). On defense, they are 290th (73.5 points conceded per game). Iowa is 42nd in the country in rebounds per game (35.3) and 290th in rebounds allowed (33.0).

At home, the Hawkeyes average 89.6 points per game. On the road, they average 73.0. Beyond the arc, Iowa is 109th in college basketball in 3-pointers made per game (8.1). It is 168th in 3-point percentage at 34.4%. Giving up 6.9 3-pointers per game and conceding 34.3% from downtown, the Hawkeyes are 141st and 238th in the nation, respectively, in those categories.

The Hawkeyes are 5-5 against the spread and 5-5 overall over their past 10 contests. In its past 10 games, Iowa has gone over the total eight times. While Iowa is posting 81.7 points per game in 2022-23, it has fallen short of that in its past 10 games, tallying 81.1 points per contest. In their past 10 games, the Hawkeyes are allowing 79.2 points per game, 5.7 more points than their season average (73.5).

Michigan State vs. Iowa Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this game is Michigan State, and we expect that Michigan State will cover the spread (Michigan State -2.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 146 points.

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How to bet Michigan State vs. Iowa

You can bet on Michigan State vs. Iowa at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Michigan State vs. Iowa picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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