Iowa vs Michigan State Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Saturday, February 25, 2023

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The Iowa Hawkeyes (17-11, 10-8 Big Ten) hope to build on a seven-game home winning run when hosting the Michigan State Spartans (17-10, 9-8 Big Ten) on Saturday, February 25, 2023 at 12:00 PM ET.

Saturday’s matchup between the Hawkeyes and the Spartans features the Hawkeyes as 5.5-point favorites. The point total for the matchup is set at 146.5.

Iowa vs. Michigan State Odds

Point Spread for Iowa vs. Michigan State

The spread for this matchup is set at 5.5 points, with sportsbooks listing Iowa as the favorite.

Iowa vs. Michigan State Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Iowa has -240 odds to pick up the win, while Michigan State is listed at +197 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 146.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, February 25, 2023
  • Game Time: 12:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Iowa City, Iowa
  • Arena: Carver-Hawkeye Arena

Iowa vs. Michigan State Betting Trends

Iowa has 15 wins against the spread in 28 games this season. The Hawkeyes have been victorious in 14, or 73.7%, of the 19 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season. Iowa’s games this year have gone over the total in 15 out of 27 opportunities (55.6%).

Michigan State is 14-13-0 against the spread this season. The Spartans have won 30% of the games this season they were the underdog on the moneyline (3-7). Michigan State’s games this season have gone over the total in 13 of 27 opportunities (48.1%).

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Iowa vs. Michigan State Key Players to Watch


Kris Murray is tops on his team in both points (20) and rebounds (8) per game, and also posts 1.7 assists. At the other end, he puts up 1 steal and 1.2 blocked shots. Filip Rebraca posts 13.8 points, 7.8 rebounds and 2 assists per game, shooting 57.4% from the field. Tony Perkins posts 11.8 points, 3.6 rebounds and 2.5 assists per game, shooting 42.1% from the floor. Connor McCaffery is tops on the Hawkeyes at 3.5 assists per game, while also averaging 3.9 rebounds and 6.7 points.

Michigan State

A.J Hoggard is averaging a team-high 5.8 assists per game. And he is producing 12.2 points and 3.8 rebounds, making 41.3% of his shots from the field. Joey Hauser is the Spartans’ top rebounder (7.1 per game), and he averages 13.8 points and 1.9 assists. Tyson Walker is No. 1 on the Spartans in scoring (14 points per game), and produces 2.3 rebounds and 2.7 assists. He also averages 1.2 steals and 0.3 blocked shots. Jaden gives the Spartans 8.7 points, 4.1 rebounds and 1.3 assists per game. He also delivers 1.3 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.

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What you need to know about the Iowa Hawkeyes

A total of 11 out of Iowa’s 17 Big Ten games this season have hit the over. The Hawkeyes are scoring 79.3 points per game (26th-ranked in college basketball) this year, while surrendering 73.3 points per contest (273rd-ranked). Iowa is 82nd in the country with 33.6 boards per game this season. Meanwhile, it ranks 274th with 32.5 rebounds allowed per contest.

In home games, the Hawkeyes are posting 21.3 more points per game (89.2) than they are on the road (67.9). Iowa is 156th in college basketball with 7.6 threes per game this year. Meanwhile, it ranks 245th with a 33.2% shooting percentage from downtown. This year, the Hawkeyes are ceding 6.9 threes per game (143rd-ranked in college basketball) and are allowing opponents to shoot 35% (265th-ranked) from downtown.

The Hawkeyes have gone 5-5 in their last 10 games, with a 4-5-1 record against the spread in that span. In its past 10 games, Iowa has gone over the total six times. In its last 10 games, Iowa has been racking up 74.3 points per contest, an average that’s slightly lower than the 79.3 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 season. Iowa has been more porous on defense lately, allowing 74.9 points per game over its past 10 contests compared to the 73.3 points per game its opponents are averaging on the 2022-23 season.

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What you need to know about the Michigan State Spartans

Michigan State has compiled a 9-7-0 ATS record so far this year in conference play. On offense the Spartans are the 265th-ranked team in the country (68.5 points per game). Defensively they are 55th (65.3 points conceded per game). With 32.7 rebounds per game and 30.6 rebounds allowed, Michigan State is 125th and 148th in college basketball, respectively.

In 2022-23 the Spartans are scoring 5.9 more points per game at home (69.6) than away (63.7). Beyond the arc, Michigan State is 223rd in the country in 3-pointers made per game (7). It is 30th in 3-point percentage at 37.5%. The Spartans are 63rd in the country in 3-pointers allowed (6.3 per game) and 14th-best in 3-point percentage defensively (29.3%).

The Spartans have gone 5-5 in their past 10 games, with a 5-5 record against the spread in that span. Four of Michigan State’s past 10 contests have gone over the total. Michigan State is posting 65.8 points per contest in its previous 10 games, which is 2.7 fewer points than its average for the season (68.5). The Spartans have performed better defensively over their past 10 games, ceding 65 points per contest, 0.3 fewer points than their season average of 65.3 allowed.

Iowa vs. Michigan State Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this matchup is Iowa, and we expect that Michigan State will cover the spread (Iowa -5.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 146.5 points.

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How to bet Iowa vs. Michigan State

You can bet on Iowa vs. Michigan State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Iowa vs. Michigan State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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