Grambling vs Texas Southern Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Saturday, March 11, 2023

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The No. 2 seed Grambling Tigers (24-8, 15-3 SWAC) square off against the No. 8 Texas Southern Tigers (13-20, 7-11 SWAC) in the championship game of the SWAC tournament on Saturday at 5:30 PM. The winner will claim an automatic berth into the NCAA Tournament bracket.

Grambling is a moderate 3.5-point favorite against Texas Southern when the Grambling Tigers face off with the Texas Southern Tigers on Saturday. A 130.5-point over/under has been set for the game.

Grambling vs. Texas Southern Odds

Point Spread for Grambling vs. Texas Southern

The spread for this matchup is set at 3.5 points, with oddsmakers listing Grambling as the favorite.

Grambling vs. Texas Southern Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Grambling has -181 odds to pick up the win, while Texas Southern is listed at +153 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 130.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, March 11, 2023
  • Game Time: 5:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Location: Birmingham, Alabama
  • Arena: Bartow Arena

Grambling vs. Texas Southern Betting Trends

Grambling has 19 wins against the spread in 30 games this year. The Grambling Tigers have been favorites in 20 games this season and have come away with the win 18 times (90%) in those contests. Grambling’s games this year have gone over the total in 11 out of 31 opportunities (35.5%).

Against the spread, Texas Southern is 10-21-0 this season. The Texas Southern Tigers have won 21.4% of the games this season they were the moneyline underdog (3-11). Texas Southern’s games this season have gone over the point total 14 times in 31 opportunities (45.2%).

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Grambling vs. Texas Southern Key Players to Watch


Cameron Christon posts 13 points and 5.3 rebounds per game — both team highs. He is also averaging 1.4 assists, shooting 47.6% from the floor and 37.3% from downtown with 1.5 made 3-pointers per game. Shawndarius Cowart is tops on the Grambling Tigers at 3.3 assists per game, while also posting 3.9 rebounds and 11.3 points. Carte’Are Gordon is posting 12.7 points, 1.4 assists and 7 rebounds per game. Jourdan Smith is posting 8.7 points, 1.1 assists and 5 rebounds per contest.

Texas Southern

Joirdon Karl Nicholas is the Texas Southern Tigers’ top rebounder (9 per game), and he posts 10.9 points and 1.5 assists. John Walker III gives the Texas Southern Tigers 12.5 points, 4.3 rebounds and 1.3 assists per contest. He also puts up 0.6 steals and 0.9 blocked shots. Davon Barnes leads the Texas Southern Tigers in scoring (13.6 points per game), and produces 4.3 rebounds and 2 assists. He also averages 0.8 steals and 0.2 blocked shots. The Texas Southern Tigers get 8.1 points, 3.6 rebounds and 0.9 assists per game from Zytarious Mortle.

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What you need to know about the Grambling Tigers

In Grambling’s 20 SWAC games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total nine times. The Grambling Tigers have a top-25 defense this year, ranking 16th-best in college basketball with 62.3 points allowed per game. Offensively, they rank 238th with 69.3 points scored per contest. Grambling is averaging 31.3 boards per game (211th-ranked in college basketball). It is giving up 29.7 rebounds per contest (91st-ranked).

Grambling is draining 5.1 treys per game (12th-worst in college basketball), and it sports a 36.3% three-point percentage (69th-ranked). The Grambling Tigers are allowing 6.3 threes per game (63rd-ranked in college basketball) this season, while allowing a 30.7% three-point percentage (32nd-ranked).

The Grambling Tigers have a 9-1 record against the spread while going 10-0 overall over their past 10 games. Grambling has hit the over in four of its past 10 games. In its last 10 games, Grambling has been racking up 69.7 points per contest, an average that’s slightly higher than the 69.3 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 season. Grambling’s points-allowed average over its past 10 games (58.1) is 4.2 fewer points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (62.3).

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What you need to know about the Texas Southern Tigers

A total of 11 Texas Southern conference games this season have gone over the point total. At 69.7 points scored per game and 72 points conceded, the Texas Southern Tigers are 223rd in college basketball on offense and 235th on defense. In 2022-23, Texas Southern is 56th in college basketball in rebounds (33.9 per game) and 257th in rebounds allowed (32.2).

In 2022-23 Texas Southern is second-worst in the country in 3-point makes (4.7 per game) and -3-worst in 3-point percentage (27.7%). In 2022-23, the Texas Southern Tigers are 126th in the nation in 3-pointers allowed (6.8 per game) and 195th in defensive 3-point percentage (34%).

The Texas Southern Tigers have gone 6-4 in their past 10 contests, with a 4-6 record against the spread in that span. Four of Texas Southern’s last 10 games have gone over the total. Over its last 10 games, Texas Southern is posting 70.2 points per game, 0.5 more than its season average (69.7). In their last 10 games, the Texas Southern Tigers are ceding 67.7 points per contest, compared to their season average of 72 points allowed.

Grambling vs. Texas Southern Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this matchup is Grambling, and we expect that Grambling will cover the spread (Grambling -3.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 130.5 points.

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How to bet Grambling vs. Texas Southern

You can bet on Grambling vs. Texas Southern at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Grambling vs. Texas Southern picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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