Arkansas vs Florida Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Saturday, February 18, 2023

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The Florida Gators (14-12, 7-6 SEC) will visit the Arkansas Razorbacks (17-9, 6-7 SEC) after losing three consecutive road games. It begins at 2:00 PM ET on Saturday, February 18, 2023.

The Razorbacks square off with the Gators in a game that Arkansas is currently a solid favorite by 9 points. The game’s over/under is 142.

Arkansas vs. Florida Odds

Point Spread for Arkansas vs. Florida

The spread for this matchup is set at 9 points, with bookmakers listing Arkansas as the favorite.

Arkansas vs. Florida Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Arkansas has -423 odds to pick up the win, while Florida is listed at +327 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 142 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, February 18, 2023
  • Game Time: 2:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN2
  • Location: Fayetteville, Arkansas
  • Arena: Bud Walton Arena

Arkansas vs. Florida Betting Trends

Arkansas has played 26 games, with 12 wins against the spread. The Razorbacks have been chosen as favorites in 20 games this year and have walked away with the win 15 times (75%) in those games. Arkansas’ games this year have hit the over 34.6% of the time (nine out of 26 games with a set point total).

Florida has 13 wins against the spread in 26 games this season. The Gators have been the underdog on the moneyline nine total times this season. They’ve gone 2-7 in those games. Florida’s games this season have eclipsed the over/under 11 times in 26 opportunities (42.3%).

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Arkansas vs. Florida Key Players to Watch


Anthony Black is tops on the Razorbacks at 4.3 assists per game, while also putting up 5.2 rebounds and 13 points. Ricky Council IV leads his team in both points (16.5) and assists (2.6) per game, and also averages 3.3 rebounds. Defensively, he posts 1.2 steals and 0.2 blocked shots. Davonte Davis puts up 11.2 points, 4.2 rebounds and 3 assists per contest, shooting 40.5% from the field and 32.7% from downtown with 1.3 made 3-pointers per contest. Makhi Mitchell posts a team-best 5.8 rebounds per contest. He is also averaging 7.2 points and 1 assists, shooting 66.7% from the field.


Colin Castleton paces the Gators in scoring (16 points per game) and rebounding (7.7), and produces 2.7 assists. He also puts up 0.9 steals and 3 blocked shots (third in college basketball). The Gators receive 10.3 points, 4.4 rebounds and 0.8 assists per game from Will Richard. Kyle Lofton is averaging a team-best 3.3 assists per contest. And he is delivering 8.9 points and 3.1 rebounds, making 42.8% of his shots from the field. Myreon Jones gives the Gators 5.3 points, 3.1 rebounds and 2.1 assists per contest. He also puts up 0.9 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.

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What you need to know about the Arkansas Razorbacks

Arkansas has won four games against the spread in conference action this season, while failing to cover nine times. With 73.8 points per game on offense, the Razorbacks rank 130th in the nation. Defensively, they surrender 65.6 points per contest, which ranks 62nd in college basketball. With 32.6 boards per game, Arkansas is 139th in the nation. It gives up 28.7 rebounds per contest, which ranks 58th in college basketball.

Offensively the Razorbacks have performed better in home games this season, averaging 73.9 points per game, compared to 68.6 per game on the road. Arkansas has been missing the mark when it comes to three-pointers this season, ranking seventh-worst in the nation in treys made per game (4.9) and 23rd-worst in three-point percentage (30.6%). The Razorbacks rank 15th-best in the nation by allowing 5.5 three-pointers per game. In terms of three-point percentage allowed, they rank 114th in college basketball at 32.6%.

The Razorbacks have gone 5-5 in their last 10 contests, with a 5-5 record against the spread during that span. Five of Arkansas’ past 10 contests have hit the over. Arkansas has seen a downturn in scoring lately, putting up 70.7 points per game in its last 10 contests, 3.1 points fewer than the 73.8 it has scored this year. The past 10 games have seen Arkansas give up 2.2 more points per game (67.8) than its season-long average (65.6).

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What you need to know about the Florida Gators

A total of six Florida conference games this season have gone over the point total. At 71.8 points scored per game and 66.9 points allowed, the Gators are 175th in the nation offensively and 98th defensively. In 2022-23, Florida is 124th in college basketball in rebounds (32.9 per game) and 24th-worst in rebounds allowed (34.2).

The Gators average 77.9 points per game at home, and 62.5 on the road. Florida makes 6.6 3-pointers per game and shoots 32.3% from beyond the arc, ranking 270th and 279th, respectively, in the country. Defensively, the Gators are 55th in college basketball in 3-pointers allowed per game at 6.2. They are 114th in 3-point percentage allowed at 32.6%.

The Gators have gone 5-5 over their past 10 contests, with a 6-4 record against the spread in that span. In its past 10 games, Florida has hit the over five times. Florida has fared worse offensively over its last 10 games, posting 67.9 points per contest, 3.9 fewer points its than season average of 71.8. The Gators are allowing 67.6 points per contest in their past 10 games, which is 0.7 more points than they are allowing for the season (66.9).

Arkansas vs. Florida Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this contest is Arkansas, and we predict that Florida will cover the spread (Arkansas -9). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 142 points.

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How to bet Arkansas vs. Florida

You can bet on Arkansas vs. Florida at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Arkansas vs. Florida picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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