Alabama vs Auburn Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Wednesday, March 1, 2023

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The Auburn Tigers (19-10, 9-7 SEC) aim to end a five-game road losing skid at the Alabama Crimson Tide (25-4, 15-1 SEC) on Wednesday, March 1, 2023 at 7:00 PM ET.

Wednesday’s game between the Crimson Tide and the Tigers sees the Crimson Tide as a solid, 10-point favorite. The over/under is 153.5 points for the game.

Alabama vs. Auburn Odds

Point Spread for Alabama vs. Auburn

The spread for this matchup is set at 10 points, with oddsmakers listing Alabama as the favorite.

Alabama vs. Auburn Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Alabama has -550 odds to pick up the win, while Auburn is listed at +403 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 153.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Wednesday, March 1, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN2
  • Location: Tuscaloosa, Alabama
  • Arena: Coleman Coliseum

Alabama vs. Auburn Betting Trends

Against the spread, Alabama is 17-12-0 this season. The Crimson Tide have come away with 22 wins in the 25 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season. Alabama has gone over the point total in 48.3% of its opportunities this year (14 times in 29 games with a set point total).

Auburn has played 29 games, with 13 wins, against the spread. The Tigers have lost all five of the games they have been the underdog on the moneyline this season. Auburn’s games this year have gone over the point total 55.2% of the time (16 out of 29 games with a set point total).

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Alabama vs. Auburn Key Players to Watch

Alabama

Brandon Miller is tops on his squad in points per contest (19.7), and also puts up 8 rebounds and 1.8 assists. Defensively, he averages 0.9 steals and 0.9 blocked shots. Mark Sears is posting 13.4 points, 2.8 assists and 3.5 rebounds per game. Noah Clowney leads his team in rebounds per contest (8.2), and also puts up 9.8 points and 0.9 assists. At the other end, he averages 0.6 steals and 1 block. Charles Bediako posts 5.7 points, 5.6 rebounds and 0.6 assists per contest. Defensively, he delivers 0.5 steals and 1.7 blocked shots.

Auburn

Johni Broome is the Tigers’ top scorer (14.1 points per game) and rebounder (8.6), and produces 1.4 assists. Wendell Green Jr. is posting a team-leading 4.2 assists per contest. He’s also producing 13.8 points and 3.5 rebounds, sinking 36.2% of his shots from the floor, and 28.1% from beyond the arc resulting in 1.2 treys per game. The Tigers receive 11 points, 5 rebounds and 2.2 assists per game from Jaylin Williams. The Tigers receive 9.4 points, 4.7 rebounds and 1.4 assists per game from Allen Flanigan.

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What you need to know about the Alabama Crimson Tide

Alabama has won 11 games against the spread in conference play this season, while failing to cover five times. The Crimson Tide have been led by their offense, as they rank fifth-best in the nation by averaging 83.3 points per game. They rank 155th in college basketball in points allowed (69.1 per contest). Alabama is top-25 this season in rebounding, ranking best in college basketball with 41.1 rebounds per game. Meanwhile, it ranks 297th with 33 rebounds allowed per contest.

The Crimson Tide post 89.5 points per game at home, compared to 74.8 points per game in away games, a difference of 14.7 points per contest. Alabama owns a 34.8% three-point percentage this year (156th-ranked in college basketball), but it has really shined by making 10.1 treys per contest (ninth-best). The Crimson Tide are thriving when it comes to defending against three-pointers, as they rank 15th-best in college basketball in three-pointers allowed (5.5 per game) and second-best in three-point percentage allowed (27.4%).

The Crimson Tide have a 4-6 record against the spread while finishing 8-2 overall in their past 10 games. In its past 10 games, Alabama has hit the over five times. In its last 10 games, Alabama has been scoring 82 points per contest, an average that’s slightly lower than the 83.3 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 season. Alabama has been a little suspect on the defensive end of the floor of late, giving up 69.3 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 69.1 it has conceded this season.

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What you need to know about the Auburn Tigers

Auburn and its opponents have combined to go over the point total eight out of 16 times this season in SEC play. The Tigers are 172nd in college basketball in points scored (72.1 per game) and 67th in points conceded (65.9). On the boards, Auburn is 90th in the country in rebounds (33.4 per game). It is 224th in rebounds conceded (31.7 per game).

The Tigers are scoring more points at home (74.9 per game) than away (69.6). Auburn is 293rd in the nation in 3-pointers made (6.3 per game) and 16th-worst in 3-point percentage (30.2%). In 2022-23 the Tigers are 15th-best in college basketball in 3-pointers allowed (5.5 per game) and fifth-best in defensive 3-point percentage (28.4%).

The Tigers are 4-6 against the spread and 3-7 overall in their last 10 contests. Auburn has hit the over in five of its past 10 games. While Auburn is averaging 72.1 points per game in 2022-23, it has fallen short of that over its past 10 games, amassing 71 points per contest. While the Tigers are allowing 65.9 points per game in 2022-23, they have been worse over their previous 10 games, allowing 72.1 points per contest.

Alabama vs. Auburn Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this matchup is Alabama, and we predict that Alabama will cover the spread (Alabama -10). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 153.5 points.

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How to bet Alabama vs. Auburn

You can bet on Alabama vs. Auburn at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Alabama vs. Auburn picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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