Warriors vs Mavericks Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Wednesday, March 22, 2023

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A matchup between one of the NBA’s top shooting squads and one of the best defending against the three-pointer will see the Golden State Warriors (37-36) as 1.5-point favorites against the Dallas Mavericks (36-36) at American Airlines Center on March 22, 2023. The Warriors rank first in the league in treys per game (16.5), while the Mavericks are first in threes conceded (11). The matchup’s over/under is 238.

How to bet Warriors vs. Mavericks

Golden State Warriors vs. Dallas Mavericks Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 1.5 points, with oddsmakers listing the Warriors as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Warriors have -121 odds to pick up the win, while the Mavericks are listed at +101 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 238 points.

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Warriors vs. Mavericks Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Wednesday, March 22, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Dallas, Texas
  • Arena: American Airlines Center

Warriors vs. Mavericks Betting Trends

In the Warriors’ 73 games this year, they have 34 wins against the spread. Golden State has come away with 30 wins in the 49 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season. Warriors games this year have eclipsed the over/under 56.9% of the time (41 out of 72 games with a set point total).

The Mavericks are 26-42-4 against the spread this year. Dallas has been the moneyline underdog 25 total times this season. Dallas has gone 7-18 in those games. Mavericks games this season have hit the over on 38 of 72 set point totals (52.8%).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Warriors Leaders
Stephen Curry 47 29.8 6.2 6.2 1 0.4 5
Klay Thompson 61 22 4.2 2.4 0.7 0.4 4.3
Jordan Poole 73 20.2 2.7 4.6 0.8 0.2 2.6
Jonathan Kuminga 58 9.6 3.4 1.9 0.6 0.5 0.8
Donte DiVincenzo 63 9.3 4.4 3.4 1.3 0.2 2.1


Mavericks Leaders
Luka Doncic 57 33 8.6 8 1.5 0.5 2.8
Kyrie Irving 53 27.4 5.1 5.5 1 0.7 3.3
Christian Wood 59 17.2 7.7 1.8 0.5 1.1 1.6
Tim Hardaway Jr. 65 14 3.6 1.8 0.7 0.2 2.9
Josh Green 52 9.6 2.9 1.8 0.7 0.1 1.2
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Warriors: Kevon Looney: Probable (Back), Andre Iguodala: Out (Wrist), Draymond Green: Probable (Wrist), Andrew Wiggins: Out (Personal), Gary Payton: Out (Abdominal), Ryan Rollins: Out (Foot)

Mavericks: Kyrie Irving: Questionable (Foot), Luka Dončić: Questionable (Thigh), Markieff Morris: Questionable (Knee)

What you need to know about the Golden State Warriors

Golden State has been carried by its offense, as it ranks second-best in the NBA by averaging 118.3 points per game. It ranks 25th in the league in points allowed (117.9 per contest). The Warriors are scoring 119.6 points per game this year in home games, which is 2.5 more points than they’re averaging away from home (117.1). The Warriors have been putting up 118.4 points per game in their last 10 appearances, an average that’s slightly higher than the 118.3 they’ve scored over the course of the 2022-23 season.

Golden State is playing well when it comes to three-point shooting, as it ranks best in the league in treys (16.5 per game) and third-best in shooting percentage from three-point land (38.3%). Of the shots taken by the Warriors in 2022-23, 52.2% of them have been two-pointers (61.5% of the team’s made baskets) and 47.8% have been threes (38.5%).

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What you need to know about the Dallas Mavericks

Dallas puts up 113.7 points per game and give up 113.2, making them 17th in the league offensively and 15th on defense. In 2022-23 the Mavericks are scoring 2.7 more points per game at home (115.1) than away (112.4). The Mavericks have played better offensively over their last 10 games, tallying 115.9 points per contest, 2.2 more than their season average of 113.7.

Beyond the arc, Dallas is third-best in the NBA in 3-pointers made per game (15.1). It is ninth in 3-point percentage at 37.1%. The Mavericks attempt 51.4% percent of their shots from inside the arc, and 48.6% percent from beyond it. In terms of makes, 61.9% of the Mavericks’ buckets are 2-pointers, and 38.1% are 3-pointers.

Our pick to win this contest is the Mavericks, and we expect that Mavericks will cover the spread (Warriors -1.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 238 points.

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You can bet on Warriors vs. Mavericks at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Warriors vs. Mavericks picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Austin Harper

Austin is a co-founders at Betsperts and a devoted father of 2. Born and raised in Atlanta Georgia, Austin is passionate about the Atlanta Hawks, Braves, and Falcons. Austin received his Bachelors of Science from Clemson University and gets back for Clemson football and basketball games every chance he gets!

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