Sacramento vs. Golden State Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Tuesday, November 28, 2023

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The Sacramento Kings (9-6) will be trying to continue a four-game home winning streak when hosting the Golden State Warriors (8-9) on November 28, 2023 at Golden 1 Center.

The Kings are a slight 1.5-point favorite against the Warriors. The game’s point total is set at 236.

Kings vs. Warriors Odds

Point Spread for Kings vs. Warriors

The spread for this matchup is set at 1.5 points, with oddsmakers listing the Kings as the favorite.

Sacramento vs. Golden State Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Sacramento has -125 odds to win the game, while Golden State is listed at +105 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 236 points.

Game Time and How to Watch

  • When: Tuesday, November 28, 2023 at 10:00 PM ET
  • Where: Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, California
  • TV: TNT

Kings vs. Warriors Betting Trends

The Kings are 9-6-0 against the spread this season. Sacramento has been the favorite in 10 games this season and won five (50%) of those contests. This season, seven of the Kings’ games have gone over the point total out of 17 chances.

The Warriors have gone 5-11-1 against the spread this year. Golden State has been victorious in two of the seven contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season. Warriors games have gone over the total nine times this year.

Kings vs. Warriors Key Players to Watch

Kings

Domantas Sabonis is posting 19.9 points, 7.0 assists and 12.3 boards per game. De’Aaron Fox’s numbers on the season are 29.9 points, 6.0 assists and 4.3 boards per game. Malik Monk’s numbers for the season are 13.2 points, 2.8 boards and 5.0 assists per game, shooting 39.2% from the floor and 40.0% from beyond the arc, with 2.4 made 3-pointers per contest. Keegan Murray’s numbers for the season are 13.2 points, 6.2 boards and 2.0 assists per contest, shooting 39.0% from the floor and 28.7% from beyond the arc, with 2.1 made 3-pointers per game.

Warriors

Stephen Curry averages 29.7 points, 4.6 boards and 3.9 assists, making 48.4% of his shots from the floor and 44.2% from beyond the arc, with 5.3 triples per game (first in NBA). Chris Paul gets 9.3 points, 3.8 boards and 7.7 assists per contest, plus 1.5 steals (10th in league) and 0.1 blocks. The Warriors get 10.8 points per game from Dario Saric, plus 6.4 boards and 2.2 assists. Kevon Looney’s averages for the season are 6.1 points, 9.1 rebounds and 2.9 assists, making 60.8% of his shots from the field.

What you need to know about the Kings

The Kings are 10th in the NBA with 115.5 points per game so far this year. At the other end, they rank 21st with 115.3 points allowed per game. This season, the Kings are grabbing 43.5 rebounds per game (21st-ranked in NBA) and giving up 43.9 rebounds per contest (15th-ranked). The Kings rank seventh in the NBA with 27.4 assists per game.

Sacramento is averaging 120.8 points per game this season when playing at home, which is 7.9 more points than it is averaging when playing on the road (112.9). Sacramento owns a 35.2% three-point percentage this season (19th-ranked in NBA), but it has really thrived by making 14.8 three-pointers per contest (fifth-best). Sacramento is 10th in the NBA with 11.8 treys allowed per game so far this season. Meanwhile, it ranks 23rd with a 36.9% shooting percentage allowed from downtown.

The Kings have gone 7-3 over their last 10 games, with a 6-4 record against the spread in that span. In its past 10 games, Sacramento has hit the over five times. The Kings have been scoring 116.7 points per game in their last 10 times on the court, an average that’s slightly higher than the 115.5 they’ve scored over the course of the 2023-24 season. Sacramento’s points-allowed average over its past 10 games (115.8) is 0.5 more points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (115.3).

What you need to know about the Warriors

Offensively the Warriors are the 12th-ranked squad in the NBA (114.2 points per game). On defense they are 18th (114.0 points allowed per game). On the boards, Golden State is fifth-best in the NBA in rebounds (46.4 per game). It is 19th in rebounds allowed (44.7 per game). This season the Warriors are fifth-best in the NBA in assists at 27.9 per game.

At home the Warriors are scoring 110.9 points per game, 7.0 fewer points than they are averaging away (117.9). The Warriors make 14.4 3-pointers per game and shoot 36.4% from beyond the arc, ranking sixth and 12th, respectively, in the league. Defensively, Golden State is 10th in the NBA in 3-pointers allowed per game at 11.8. It is seventh in 3-point percentage conceded at 34.9%.

In their last 10 contests, the Warriors have two wins against the spread, and are 3-7 overall. Golden State has gone over the total in seven of its past 10 contests. Golden State has fared worse offensively in its previous 10 games, compiling 113.2 points per contest, 1.0 fewer point its than season average of 114.2. The Warriors are allowing 116.4 points per contest in their last 10 games, compared to their season average of 114.0 points allowed.

Kings vs. Warriors Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this matchup is Kings, and we project that Kings will cover the spread (Kings -1.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 236 points.

How to bet Kings vs. Warriors

You can bet on Sacramento vs. Golden State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Sacramento vs. Golden State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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