Phoenix vs. Golden State Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Tuesday, December 12, 2023

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Stephen Curry and the Golden State Warriors (10-12) play Kevin Durant and the Phoenix Suns (12-10) on December 12, 2023 at Footprint Center on TNT.

The Suns are a slight 1-point favorite against the Warriors. The matchup’s point total is set at 231.5.

Suns vs. Warriors Odds

Point Spread for Suns vs. Warriors

The spread for this matchup is set at 1 point, with sportsbooks listing the Suns as the favorite.

Phoenix vs. Golden State Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Phoenix has -118 odds to win the game, while Golden State is listed at -102 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 231.5 points.

Game Time and How to Watch

  • When: Tuesday, December 12, 2023 at 10:00 PM ET
  • Where: Footprint Center in Phoenix, Arizona
  • TV: TNT

Suns vs. Warriors Betting Trends

The Suns have covered the spread nine times this season (9-12-1). Phoenix has won nine, or 64.3%, of the 14 games it has played as the favorite this season. Suns games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under 14 times this season.

The Warriors have covered the spread nine times in 22 games with a set spread. Golden State has come away with two wins in the 10 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season. Games involving the Warriors have hit the over 12 times this year.

Suns vs. Warriors Key Players to Watch

Suns

Durant’s numbers on the season are 31.0 points, 5.8 assists and 6.4 boards per game, shooting 51.2% from the floor and 49.4% from downtown (second in NBA), with 2.2 made 3-pointers per game. Jusuf Nurkic puts up 12.2 points, 9.1 boards and 3.8 assists per contest, shooting 46.8% from the field. Devin Booker’s numbers for the season are 27.9 points, 5.9 boards and 8.3 assists per game, shooting 48.7% from the field and 41.7% from downtown, with 2.1 made 3-pointers per game. Eric Gordon’s numbers for the season are 14.9 points, 2.0 boards and 2.9 assists per game, shooting 47.6% from the floor and 41.4% from beyond the arc, with 2.9 made 3-pointers per game.

Warriors

Curry averages 29.4 points, 5.1 boards and 4.4 assists, making 47.6% of his shots from the field and 43.2% from 3-point range, with 5.1 triples per game (first in league). Klay Thompson chips in with 15.8 points per game, plus 3.9 boards and 2.1 assists. Dario Saric provides the Warriors 10.7 points, 6.1 boards and 2.4 assists per game, plus 0.7 steals and 0.3 blocks. The Warriors receive 8.6 points per game from Chris Paul, plus 3.6 boards and 7.2 assists.

What you need to know about the Suns

With 115.1 points per game on offense, the Suns are 12th in the NBA. At the other end of the court, they give up 113.0 points per contest, which ranks 13th in the league. With 41.5 rebounds allowed per game, the Suns rank third-best in the league. They rank 18th in the league by grabbing 43.9 boards per contest. So far this season, the Suns rank 12th in the league in assists, putting up 26.0 per game.

Phoenix is posting 117.1 points per game at home. Away from home, it is averaging 113.1 points per contest. With a 38.5% three-point percentage this season, Phoenix ranks fourth-best in the NBA. It ranks 16th in the league by draining 12.3 threes per contest. Phoenix is top-five this season in three-pointers allowed, currently fifth-best in the league with 11.3 threes allowed per game. Meanwhile, it ranks sixth with a 34.8% shooting percentage allowed from beyond the arc.

The Suns have gone 6-4 over their past 10 contests, with a 4-6 record against the spread in that span. Phoenix has gone over the total in six of its last 10 games. The Suns have seen a downturn in scoring recently, racking up 115.0 points per game in their last 10 contests, 0.1 points fewer than the 115.1 they’ve scored this season. Phoenix has been a little improved on the defensive end of the floor recently, giving up 112.1 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 113.0 it has conceded per game this year.

What you need to know about the Warriors

With 115.5 points scored per game and 115.1 points allowed, the Warriors are 11th in the league on offense and 20th on defense. On the boards, Golden State is second-best in the NBA in rebounds (47.3 per game). It is 17th in rebounds allowed (44.0 per game). This season the Warriors are ranked sixth in the league in assists at 27.7 per game.

The Warriors average 111.6 points per game at home, and 119.5 away. In 2023-24 the Warriors are fifth-best in the NBA in 3-point makes (14.7 per game), and they rank No. 13 in 3-point percentage (36.8%). In 2023-24 Golden State is ninth in the league in 3-pointers conceded (11.9 per game) and fifth-best in defensive 3-point percentage (34.2%).

The Warriors are 4-6 against the spread and 4-6 overall in their past 10 contests. Seven of Golden State’s past 10 contests have gone over the total. Golden State has performed better offensively in its past 10 games, tallying 118.7 points per contest, 3.2 more than its season average of 115.5. Over their past 10 games, the Warriors are allowing 120.4 points per contest, 5.3 more points than their season average (115.1).

Suns vs. Warriors Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this contest is Suns, and we project that Warriors will cover the spread (Suns -1). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 231.5 points.

How to bet Suns vs. Warriors

You can bet on Phoenix vs. Golden State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Phoenix vs. Golden State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

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WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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