Oklahoma City vs. Dallas Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Sunday, April 14, 2024

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The Oklahoma City Thunder (56-25) will look to continue a four-game winning stretch when hosting the Dallas Mavericks (50-31) on April 14, 2024 at Paycom Center.

The Thunder hit the court as heavy favorites against the Mavericks. The Thunder are favored by 19 points. The matchup’s over/under is set at 224.5.

Thunder vs. Mavericks Odds

Point Spread for Thunder vs. Mavericks

The spread for this matchup is set at 19 points, with oddsmakers listing the Thunder as the favorite.

Oklahoma City vs. Dallas Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Oklahoma City has -1800 odds to win the game, while Dallas is listed at +1000 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 224.5 points.

Game Time and How to Watch

  • When: Sunday, April 14, 2024 at 3:30 PM ET
  • Where: Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
  • TV: BSO

Thunder vs. Mavericks Betting Trends

The Thunder have gone 45-35-1 against the spread this season. This season, Oklahoma City has been favored 60 times and won 46, or 76.7%, of those games. This season, 43 of the Thunder’s games have gone over the point total.

The Mavericks have covered the spread 48 times over 81 games with a set spread. Dallas has been victorious in 12, or 40%, of the 30 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season. This season, Mavericks games have hit the over 36 times.

Thunder vs. Mavericks Key Players to Watch

Thunder

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 30.3 points, 6.2 assists and 5.6 boards per game. Chet Holmgren is posting 16.6 points, 2.5 assists and 7.9 boards per contest. Jalen Williams posts 19.2 points, 4.0 boards and 4.6 assists per contest, shooting 53.9% from the field and 42.7% from beyond the arc (eighth in NBA), with 1.5 made 3-pointers per contest. Josh Giddey is posting 12.4 points, 4.8 assists and 6.4 boards per game.

Mavericks

Tim Hardaway Jr. gets the Mavericks 14.6 points, 3.2 boards and 1.7 assists per contest. He also averages 0.5 steals and 0.1 blocks. Josh Green’s averages on the season are 8.3 points, 3.3 rebounds and 2.3 assists per contest, making 48.6% of his shots from the floor and 39.3% from 3-point range, with 1.3 triples per game. Jaden Hardy gets the Mavericks 7.2 points, 1.8 boards and 1.5 assists per game, plus 0.3 steals and 0.1 blocks. Dwight Powell gives the Mavericks 3.4 points, 3.4 boards and 1.4 assists per game, plus 0.4 steals and 0.3 blocks.

What you need to know about the Thunder

The Thunder are allowing 113.0 points per game this season (12th-ranked in NBA), but they’ve really played well offensively, averaging 119.9 points per contest (third-best). While the Thunder rank in the bottom five in the NBA in boards per game with 41.8 (fourth-worst), they rank 23rd in the league with 44.7 rebounds allowed per game. The Thunder are putting up 27.0 dimes per game, which ranks them 11th in the NBA in 2023-24.

When playing at home, Oklahoma City is putting up 5.8 more points per game (122.8) than it is when playing on the road (117.0). Oklahoma City ranks best in the NBA with a three-point shooting percentage of 38.8%. It ranks eighth in the league by making 13.3 threes per contest. Oklahoma City is 23rd in the NBA with 13.5 treys allowed per game so far this year. Meanwhile, it ranks 13th with a 36.3% shooting percentage allowed from downtown.

The Thunder are 4-6 against the spread and 6-4 overall over their past 10 games. In its past 10 contests, Oklahoma City has hit the over seven times. The Thunder have seen a downturn in scoring lately, putting up 116.9 points per game in their last 10 outings, 3.0 points fewer than the 119.9 they’ve scored this season. Oklahoma City’s points-allowed average over its last 10 games (113.6) is 0.6 more points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (113.0).

What you need to know about the Mavericks

Offensively the Mavericks are the sixth-ranked team in the NBA (118.2 points per game). On defense they are 20th (115.4 points conceded per game). On the glass, Dallas is 19th in the NBA in rebounds (43.0 per game). It is 25th in rebounds allowed (44.9 per game). The Mavericks are 18th in the league in assists (25.8 per game) in 2023-24.

At home the Mavericks are putting up 118.7 points per game, 0.9 more than they are averaging away (117.8). In 2023-24 the Mavericks are third-best in the league in 3-point makes (14.7 per game), and they rank No. 12 in 3-point percentage (37.1%). Dallas gives up 13.1 3-pointers per game and concedes 36.8% from beyond the arc, ranking 18th and 18th, respectively, in the league.

The Mavericks have an 8-2 record against the spread while going 8-2 overall over their last 10 contests. Three of Dallas’ last 10 outings have hit the over. Dallas has fared worse offensively over its previous 10 games, generating 115.8 points per contest, 2.4 fewer points its than season average of 118.2. While the Mavericks are surrendering 115.4 points per game in 2023-24, they have bettered that mark over their previous 10 games, allowing 105.0 points per contest.

Thunder vs. Mavericks Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this contest is Thunder, and we expect that Mavericks will cover the spread (Thunder -19). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 224.5 points.

How to bet Thunder vs. Mavericks

You can bet on Oklahoma City vs. Dallas at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Oklahoma City vs. Dallas picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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