Minnesota vs. Indiana Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Saturday, December 16, 2023

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The Minnesota Timberwolves (18-5) welcome in the Indiana Pacers (13-10) after victories in three home games in a row.

The Timberwolves are a 9.5-point favorite against the Pacers when the Timberwolves and the Pacers square off. The point total for the matchup is 241.5.

Timberwolves vs. Pacers Odds

Point Spread for Timberwolves vs. Pacers

The spread for this matchup is set at 9.5 points, with oddsmakers listing the Timberwolves as the favorite.

Minnesota vs. Indiana Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Minnesota has -425 odds to win the game, while Indiana is listed at +330 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 241.5 points.

Game Time and How to Watch

  • When: Saturday, December 16, 2023 at 8:00 PM ET
  • Where: Target Center in Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • TV: BSN

Timberwolves vs. Pacers Betting Trends

The Timberwolves have gone 12-9-2 against the spread this season. Minnesota has entered the game as favorites 17 times this season and won 15, or 88.2%, of those games. This season, 12 of the Timberwolves’ games have gone over the point total.

The Pacers are 13-10-0 against the spread this season. Indiana has won in seven, or 63.6%, of the 11 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year. This season, 18 of the Pacers’ games have gone over the point total.

Timberwolves vs. Pacers Key Players to Watch

Timberwolves

Karl-Anthony Towns averages 21.6 points, 9.4 boards and 3.0 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 0.8 steals and 0.7 blocks. Rudy Gobert puts up 13.0 points, 12.2 boards and 1.2 assists per contest, shooting 61.6% from the floor (ninth in league). Anthony Edwards averages 23.6 points, 5.5 boards and 5.2 assists per game, shooting 43.7% from the floor and 36.9% from beyond the arc, with 2.3 made 3-pointers per contest. Mike Conley’s numbers for the season are 11.5 points, 3.0 boards and 6.0 assists per game, shooting 45.2% from the floor and 43.0% from downtown, with 2.3 made 3-pointers per contest.

Pacers

Tyrese Haliburton gets the Pacers 25.6 points, 3.7 boards and 11.7 assists per game. He also averages 0.9 steals and 0.7 blocks. Myles Turner’s averages on the season are 16.7 points, 7.7 rebounds and 1.3 assists per game, making 51.2% of his shots from the floor and 33.3% from 3-point range, with 1.3 triples per game. The Pacers get 12.0 points, 4.5 boards and 2.9 assists per game from Bruce Brown. Buddy Hield averages 12.9 points, 2.9 boards and 2.7 assists, making 44.3% of his shots from the floor and 38.4% from 3-point range, with 2.9 triples per contest.

What you need to know about the Timberwolves

The Timberwolves sport a top-five defense this year, ranking second-best in the league with 105.7 points allowed per game. On offense, they rank 19th with 113.0 points scored per contest. With 41.7 rebounds allowed per game, the Timberwolves are fourth-best in the league. They rank sixth in the league by averaging 45.9 rebounds per contest. The Timberwolves are delivering 25.6 assists per game, which ranks them 19th in the NBA in 2023-24.

Minnesota is putting up 111.3 points per game when playing at home. When playing on the road, it is playing better offensively, averaging 114.6 points per contest. Minnesota is sinking 11.8 treys per game (22nd-ranked in NBA) this year, while sporting a 37.1% three-point percentage (12th-ranked). Minnesota ranks third-best in the NBA by giving up a three-point shooting percentage of 33.2% to opponents. It ranks sixth in the league by allowing 11.3 treys per contest.

The Timberwolves have gone 8-2 in their last 10 games, with a 5-4-1 record against the spread during that span. Four of Minnesota’s last 10 games have hit the over. In their last 10 games, the Timberwolves have been putting up 112.7 points per game, an average that’s slightly lower than the 113.0 they’ve scored over the course of the 2023-24 season. Minnesota has been more stingy on defense lately, allowing 104.9 points per game over its past 10 contests compared to the 105.7 points per game its opponents average on the 2023-24 season.

What you need to know about the Pacers

On offense, the Pacers are the best squad in the league (128.2 points per game). However defensively they are second-worst (126.0 points allowed per game). Indiana is the second-worst squad in the league in rebounds per game (40.4) and 10th in rebounds conceded (43.3). At 30.5 assists per game, the Pacers are best in the NBA.

In 2023-24 the Pacers are averaging 3.1 fewer points per game at home (126.7) than away (129.8). In 2023-24 the Pacers are fifth-best in the league in 3-point makes (14.6 per game), and they rank No. 7 in 3-point percentage (37.9%). Defensively, Indiana is best in the NBA in 3-pointers allowed per game at 10.2. But it is third-worst in 3-point percentage conceded at 38.6%.

The Pacers are 5-5 against the spread and 5-5 overall over their last 10 games. Indiana has hit the over in six of its last 10 contests. While Indiana is averaging 128.2 points per game in 2023-24, it has bettered that mark over its last 10 games, producing 128.3 a contest. The Pacers have fared worse defensively in their previous 10 games, surrendering 126.1 points per contest, 0.1 more points their than season average of 126.0.

Timberwolves vs. Pacers Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this contest is Timberwolves, and we project that Pacers will cover the spread (Timberwolves -9.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 241.5 points.

How to bet Timberwolves vs. Pacers

You can bet on Minnesota vs. Indiana at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Minnesota vs. Indiana picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

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WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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