Miami vs. Chicago Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Thursday, December 14, 2023

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The Miami Heat (14-10) battle the Chicago Bulls (9-16) on December 14, 2023. The matchup airs on NBCS.

The Heat play the Bulls. The Heat are favored by 4 points against the Bulls. The game’s over/under is set at 217.

Heat vs. Bulls Odds

Point Spread for Heat vs. Bulls

The spread for this matchup is set at 4 points, with oddsmakers listing the Heat as the favorite.

Miami vs. Chicago Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Miami has -175 odds to win the game, while Chicago is listed at +145 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 217 points.

Game Time and How to Watch

  • When: Thursday, December 14, 2023 at 7:30 PM ET
  • Where: FTX Arena in Miami, Florida
  • TV: NBCS

Heat vs. Bulls Betting Trends

The Heat have put together a record of 11-12-1 against the spread this season. Miami has entered the game as favorites 14 times this season and won 11, or 78.6%, of those games. Heat games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under 11 times out of 25 chances this season.

The Bulls have covered the spread 10 times in 25 games with a set spread. Chicago has been chosen as underdogs in 14 games this year and has walked away with the win four times (28.6%) in those games. This season, 15 of the Bulls’ games have gone over the point total.

Heat vs. Bulls Key Players to Watch

Heat

Jimmy Butler posts 21.6 points, 5.2 boards and 4.6 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 1.2 steals and 0.5 blocks. Jaime Jaquez Jr. is putting up 12.6 points, 2.7 assists and 3.6 boards per game. Kyle Lowry’s numbers on the season are 9.5 points, 4.0 boards and 4.2 assists per contest, shooting 44.7% from the floor and 44.1% from downtown, with 2.1 made 3-pointers per contest. Duncan Robinson’s numbers on the season are 15.1 points, 2.8 boards and 2.9 assists per contest, shooting 48.6% from the field and 43.9% from downtown, with 3.1 made 3-pointers per game (10th in NBA).

Bulls

Nikola Vucevic provides the Bulls 16.4 points, 10.5 boards and 3.3 assists per game. He also averages 0.8 steals and 0.8 blocks. DeMar DeRozan contributes with 22.3 points per game, plus 3.5 boards and 5.3 assists. Coby White gives the Bulls 16.7 points, 3.6 boards and 4.5 assists per contest, plus 0.9 steals and 0.2 blocks. The Bulls receive 8.8 points, 4.2 boards and 1.3 assists per game from Patrick Williams.

What you need to know about the Heat

With 112.7 points per game on offense, the Heat rank 21st in the NBA. On defense, they cede 111.3 points per contest, which ranks ninth in the league. The Heat have not been allowing many rebounds this season, ranking fourth-best in the NBA (42.0 rebounds allowed per game), but they rank fifth-worst in the league with just 41.0 boards per contest. The Heat rank 10th in the NBA with 26.5 dimes per game.

Offensively Miami has fared better when playing at home this year, scoring 116.8 points per game, compared to 109.7 per game when playing on the road. With a 39.0% three-point percentage this season, Miami ranks second-best in the NBA. It ranks 13th in the league by sinking 12.8 treys per contest. Miami ranks 20th in the NBA with 13.6 three-pointers allowed per game this season. Meanwhile, it ranks 23rd with a 38.0% shooting percentage allowed from three-point land.

The Heat have a 5-5 record against the spread while going 5-5 overall in their past 10 contests. Five of Miami’s last 10 outings have hit the over. The Heat have been scoring 116.1 points per game in their last 10 times on the court, an average that’s slightly higher than the 112.7 they’ve scored over the course of the 2023-24 season. Miami’s points-allowed average over its past 10 games (114.7) is 3.4 more points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (111.3).

What you need to know about the Bulls

On offense, the Bulls are the fourth-worst squad in the NBA (109.1 points per game). On defense, they are 16th (113.4 points conceded per game). Chicago is 22nd in the league in rebounds per game (42.8) and fifth-worst in rebounds allowed (45.8). The Bulls are second-worst in the NBA in assists (23.3 per game) in 2023-24.

At home, the Bulls average 109.5 points per game. On the road, they score 108.6. The Bulls are 18th in the NBA in 3-pointers made (12.1 per game) and 17th in 3-point percentage (36.3%). In 2023-24, Chicago is worst in the NBA in 3-pointers conceded (14.6 per game) and 22nd in defensive 3-point percentage (37.6%).

The Bulls have a 5-5 record against the spread while going 4-6 overall over their last 10 games. In its past 10 contests, Chicago has hit the over eight times. While Chicago is scoring 109.1 points per game in 2023-24, it has bettered that mark over its past 10 games, amassing 112.7 a contest. The Bulls have performed worse defensively over their past 10 games, allowing 116.9 points per contest, 3.5 more points their than season average of 113.4.

Heat vs. Bulls Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this game is Heat, and we predict that Heat will cover the spread (Heat -4). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 217 points.

How to bet Heat vs. Bulls

You can bet on Miami vs. Chicago at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Miami vs. Chicago picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

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WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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