Miami vs. Charlotte Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Monday, December 11, 2023

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The Miami Heat (12-10) travel in Southeast Division play versus the Charlotte Hornets (7-13) on December 11, 2023. It’s the second matchup between these squads this season.

The Heat are a 4-point favorite against the Hornets when Heat and Hornets take the court. The game features an over/under of 221.

Heat vs. Hornets Odds

Point Spread for Heat vs. Hornets

The spread for this matchup is set at 4 points, with oddsmakers listing the Heat as the favorite.

Miami vs. Charlotte Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Miami has -170 odds to win the game, while Charlotte is listed at +142 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 221 points.

Game Time and How to Watch

  • When: Monday, December 11, 2023 at 7:00 PM ET
  • Where: Spectrum Center in Charlotte, North Carolina
  • TV: BSSE

Heat vs. Hornets Betting Trends

The Heat have registered a 10-11-1 record against the spread this season. Miami has been the favorite in 12 games this season and won nine (75%) of those contests. This season, Heat games have hit the over 10 times out of 20 chances.

The Hornets have covered the spread seven times in 20 games with a set spread. Charlotte has been chosen as underdogs in 17 games this year and has walked away with the win six times (35.3%) in those games. Hornets games have gone over the total 13 times this season.

Heat vs. Hornets Key Players to Watch

Heat

Jimmy Butler’s numbers for the season are 21.9 points, 4.1 assists and 5.2 boards per game. Kyle Lowry is posting 9.4 points, 4.3 assists and 4.1 boards per game. Jaime Jaquez Jr. is posting 12.2 points, 2.5 assists and 3.6 boards per contest. Duncan Robinson averages 14.3 points, 2.7 boards and 2.9 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 0.4 steals and 0.2 blocks.

Hornets

Gordon Hayward’s averages for the season are 15.2 points, 4.9 rebounds and 4.5 assists, making 45.7% of his shots from the floor. Mark Williams’ averages on the season are 12.7 points, 9.7 rebounds and 1.2 assists per game, making 64.9% of his shots from the floor (fourth in league). P.J. Washington averages 13.9 points, 5.2 boards and 2.4 assists, making 43.2% of his shots from the floor and 32.8% from beyond the arc, with 2.0 treys per contest. Brandon Miller averages 14.6 points, 4.2 boards and 2.2 assists, making 44.8% of his shots from the floor and 40.5% from beyond the arc, with 1.9 treys per game.

What you need to know about the Heat

Offensively, the Heat are scoring 112.4 points per game (20th-ranked in league). They are allowing 111.5 points per contest at the other end of the court (ninth-ranked). The Heat have found it difficult to accumulate rebounds this season, ranking third-worst in the league with 40.7 rebounds per game. They rank eighth by allowing 43.0 rebounds per contest. The Heat rank 10th in the NBA with 26.1 assists per game.

Miami scores 117.0 points per game in home games, compared to 109.2 points per game in road games, a difference of 7.8 points per contest. Miami is draining 12.6 threes per game this year (13th-ranked in NBA), and it sports a 38.3% three-point percentage (fourth-best). Miami ranks fifth-worst in the NBA with a 37.8% shooting percentage allowed from beyond the arc. Meanwhile, it is giving up 13.5 threes per game (20th-ranked in league).

The Heat are 5-5 against the spread and 4-6 overall in their last 10 contests. Miami has gone over the total in five of its last 10 contests. In their last 10 games, the Heat have been scoring 114.5 points per contest, an average that’s slightly higher than the 112.4 they’ve scored over the course of the 2023-24 season. Miami has been more porous on the defensive side of the ball as of late, giving up 113.1 points per game over its last 10 contests compared to the 111.5 points per game its opponents average over the 2023-24 season.

What you need to know about the Hornets

The Hornets are 16th in the NBA in points scored (113.4 per game) and fifth-worst in points allowed (121.3). Charlotte is 21st in the league in rebounds per game (43.3) and 23rd in rebounds conceded (45.1). At 25.8 assists per game, the Hornets are 16th in the league.

The Hornets score 112.5 points per game at home, and 114.4 away. Beyond the arc, the Hornets are 24th in the NBA in 3-pointers made per game (11.4). They are 10th in 3-point percentage at 37.1%. Defensively, Charlotte is 24th in the league in 3-pointers conceded per game at 13.6. It is fourth-worst in 3-point percentage allowed at 37.9%.

The Hornets are 3-7 against the spread and 4-6 overall in their past 10 games. Charlotte has gone over the total in six of its last 10 outings. In its past 10 games, Charlotte is posting 111.8 points per game, 1.6 fewer points than its season average (113.4). While the Hornets are allowing 121.3 points per game in 2023-24, they have improved that mark over their past 10 games, allowing 120.7 points per contest.

Heat vs. Hornets Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this game is Heat, and we predict that Heat will cover the spread (Heat -4). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 221 points.

How to bet Heat vs. Hornets

You can bet on Miami vs. Charlotte at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Miami vs. Charlotte picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

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WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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