Los Angeles vs. Dallas Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Tuesday, December 12, 2023

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The Los Angeles Lakers (14-9) take a four-game winning streak into a road matchup against the Dallas Mavericks (14-8), winners of three straight.

The Lakers enter their game against the Mavericks as a 4.5-point favorite. The game’s point total is set at 231.

Lakers vs. Mavericks Odds

Point Spread for Lakers vs. Mavericks

The spread for this matchup is set at 4.5 points, with oddsmakers listing the Lakers as the favorite.

Los Angeles vs. Dallas Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Los Angeles has -185 odds to win the game, while Dallas is listed at +154 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 231 points.

Game Time and How to Watch

  • When: Tuesday, December 12, 2023 at 7:30 PM ET
  • Where: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas
  • TV: TNT

Lakers vs. Mavericks Betting Trends

The Lakers have covered the spread in a game 11 times this season (11-12-0). This season, Los Angeles has won 12 out of the 15 games, or 80%, in which it has been favored. Lakers games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under nine times out of 22 chances this season.

The Mavericks have compiled a 12-10-0 record against the spread this season. Dallas has been victorious in one of the five contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season. Mavericks games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under 16 times this season.

Lakers vs. Mavericks Key Players to Watch

Lakers

Anthony Davis’ numbers for the season are 22.9 points, 3.3 assists and 12.5 boards per contest. LeBron James is averaging 24.4 points, 6.4 assists and 7.6 boards per game. D’Angelo Russell posts 17.1 points, 3.4 boards and 6.6 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 0.8 steals and 0.6 blocks. Austin Reaves’ numbers on the season are 13.7 points, 4.7 assists and 4.7 boards per contest.

Mavericks

Luka Doncic gives the Mavericks 32.0 points, 8.3 boards and 8.5 assists per game. He also averages 1.3 steals and 0.6 blocks. Dereck Lively II averages 9.1 points, 8.1 boards and 1.3 assists, making 74.8% of his shots from the floor (first in league). Derrick Jones Jr. gives the Mavericks 9.9 points, 3.8 boards and 1.0 assists per game, plus 0.6 steals and 0.9 blocks. Dante Exum averages 6.4 points, 2.7 boards and 2.3 assists, making 50.0% of his shots from the floor.

What you need to know about the Lakers

The Lakers are scoring 113.1 points per game (18th-ranked in NBA) this year, while surrendering 112.0 points per contest (10th-ranked). The Lakers are 10th in the NBA with 44.8 boards per game this season. Meanwhile, they rank 21st with 44.9 rebounds allowed per game. The Lakers rank ninth in the NBA with 26.3 assists per contest.

At home, Los Angeles is scoring 3.7 more points per game (114.9) than it is on the road (111.2). Los Angeles has struggled to rack up three-pointers, ranking third-worst in the league with 10.2 threes made per game. It ranks 24th with a 34.3% shooting percentage from beyond the arc this season. Los Angeles ranks 20th in the NBA with 13.5 treys allowed per game this year. Meanwhile, it ranks 12th with a 36.0% shooting percentage allowed from downtown.

The Lakers have a 6-4 record against the spread while finishing 7-3 overall over their last 10 games. Four of Los Angeles’ last 10 outings have hit the over. On the offensive side of the ball, the Lakers have increased their production a little bit over their last 10 games, scoring 114.1 points per contest over that span compared to the 113.1 they’ve put up over the course of this year. Los Angeles has been a little improved on the defensive end of the floor recently, giving up 108.9 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 112.0 it has surrendered per game this season.

What you need to know about the Mavericks

The Mavericks are sixth in the league in points scored (119.9 per game) and 21st in points allowed (116.5). Dallas is 24th in the league in rebounds per game (42.6) and third-worst in rebounds allowed (46.3). The Mavericks are 17th in the NBA in assists (25.8 per game) in 2023-24.

The Mavericks are scoring more points at home (121.8 per game) than on the road (118.3). Beyond the arc, the Mavericks are best in the league in 3-pointers made per game (16.0). They are ninth in 3-point percentage at 37.4%. Dallas is 17th in the NBA in 3-pointers allowed (13.1 per game) and 17th in 3-point percentage defensively (36.5%).

The Mavericks have gone 5-5 in their last 10 games, with a 5-5 record against the spread in that span. In its past 10 contests, Dallas has gone over the total six times. While Dallas is putting up 119.9 points per game in 2023-24, it has fallen short of that in its past 10 games, producing 115.7 points per contest. While the Mavericks are surrendering 116.5 points per game in 2023-24, they have bettered that mark in their last 10 games, allowing 114.0 points per contest.

Lakers vs. Mavericks Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this matchup is Mavericks, and we predict that Mavericks will cover the spread (Lakers -4.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 231 points.

How to bet Lakers vs. Mavericks

You can bet on Los Angeles vs. Dallas at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Los Angeles vs. Dallas picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

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WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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