Kings vs Warriors Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – NBA Playoffs Game 1

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The Sacramento Kings and the Golden State Warriors take the court to tip off the opening round of the NBA Playoffs. The Kings are 1.5-point favorites for the game, which goes live on ABC at 8:30 PM ET. The point total is set as 237.5 points for this contest.

How to bet Kings vs. Warriors

Sacramento Kings vs. Golden State Warriors Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 1.5 points, with bookmakers listing the Kings as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Kings have -117 odds to pick up the win, while the Warriors are listed at -102 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 237.5 points.

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Kings vs. Warriors Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, April 15, 2023
  • Game Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ABC
  • Location: Sacramento, California
  • Arena: Golden 1 Center

Kings vs. Warriors Betting Trends

The Kings have played 82 games, with 45 wins against the spread. Sacramento has been the favorite in 52 games this season and has come away with the win 35 times (67.3%) in those contests. Kings games this year have eclipsed the over/under 48.8% of the time (40 out of 82 games with a set point total).

Against the spread, the Warriors are 39-42-1 this season. Golden State has put together a 7-17 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 29.2% of those games). Warriors games this season have gone over the total in 45 of 82 opportunities (54.9%).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Kings Leaders
De’Aaron Fox 73 25 4.2 6.1 1.1 0.3 1.6
Domantas Sabonis 79 19.1 12.3 7.3 0.8 0.5 0.4
Kevin Huerter 75 15.2 3.3 2.9 1.1 0.3 2.7
Harrison Barnes 82 15 4.5 1.6 0.7 0.1 1.6
Malik Monk 77 13.5 2.6 3.9 0.6 0.3 1.9


Warriors Leaders
Stephen Curry 56 29.4 6.1 6.3 0.9 0.4 4.9
Klay Thompson 69 21.9 4.1 2.4 0.7 0.4 4.4
Jordan Poole 82 20.4 2.7 4.5 0.8 0.3 2.6
Andrew Wiggins 37 17.1 5 2.3 1.2 0.8 2.4
Jonathan Kuminga 67 9.9 3.4 1.9 0.6 0.5 0.8
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Kings: KZ Okpala: Out (Knee), Matthew Dellavedova: Out (Finger)

Warriors: Ryan Rollins: Out (Foot), Andre Iguodala: Out (Wrist)

What you need to know about the Sacramento Kings

Sacramento has been lifted by its offense, as it ranks best in the NBA by averaging 120.7 points per game. It ranks 25th in the league in points allowed (118.1 per contest). The Kings put up 123.4 points per game when playing at home, compared to 118 points per game in away games, a difference of 5.4 points per contest. In their last 10 games, the Kings have been scoring 119.5 points per contest, an average that’s a little lower than the 120.7 they’ve scored over the course of the 2022-23 season.

Sacramento ranks top-five this season in three-point shooting, ranking fifth-best in the league with 13.8 three-pointers per game. Meanwhile, it ranks ninth with a 36.9% shooting percentage from downtown. The Kings are attempting 50.9 two-pointers per game this year, which account for 57.7% of the shots they’ve attempted (and 68.4% of the team’s baskets). Meanwhile, they are attempting 37.3 threes per contest, which are 42.3% of their shots (and 31.6% of the team’s buckets).

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What you need to know about the Golden State Warriors

In 2022-23, Golden State is second-best in the league offensively (118.9 points scored per game) and ranked 21st defensively (117.1 points allowed). At home the Warriors are putting up 119.7 points per game, 1.5 more than they are averaging away (118.2). While the Warriors are putting up 118.9 points per game in 2022-23, they have bettered that mark over their previous 10 games, producing 123.6 a contest.

In 2022-23 Golden State is best in the NBA in 3-point makes (16.6 per game), and second-best in 3-point percentage (38.5%). In 2022-23, the Warriors have taken 47.9% percent of their shots from beyond the arc, and 52.1% percent from inside it. In terms of made shots, 38.5% of the Warriors’ baskets have been 3-pointers, and 61.5% have been 2-pointers.

Our pick to win this game is the Kings, and we expect that Kings will cover the spread (Kings -1.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 237.5 points.

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You can bet on Kings vs. Warriors at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Kings vs. Warriors picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Luis Escalante

Luis has been a regular contributor to 4for4 since 2014 and is currently the Director of Strategy at Betsperts Group. Luis comes from an analytics background, leveraging his data skills with multiple years of experience in NFL, fantasy football, daily fantasy sports, and betting.

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