Indiana vs. Milwaukee Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Sunday, April 21, 2024

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In Game 1 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs, the Indiana Pacers will face the Milwaukee Bucks.

The Pacers are a slight 1-point favorite against the Bucks. The over/under for the matchup is set at 231.5.

Pacers vs. Bucks Odds

Point Spread for Pacers vs. Bucks

The spread for this matchup is set at 1 point, with sportsbooks listing the Pacers as the favorite.

Indiana vs. Milwaukee Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Indiana has -110 odds to win the game, while Milwaukee is listed at -110 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 231.5 points.

Game Time and How to Watch

  • When: Sunday, April 21, 2024 at 7:00 PM ET
  • Where: Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, Wisconsin
  • TV: TNT

Pacers vs. Bucks Betting Trends

The Pacers have covered the spread in a matchup 44 times this season (44-35-3). This season, Indiana has won 27 out of the 44 games, or 61.4%, in which it has been favored. This season, Pacers games have hit the over 42 times.

The Bucks are 35-46-1 against the spread this season. Milwaukee has come away with four wins in the 15 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season. This year, Bucks games have hit the over 41 times.

Pacers vs. Bucks Key Players to Watch

Pacers

Pascal Siakam is averaging 21.7 points, 4.3 assists and 7.1 boards per contest. Tyrese Haliburton’s numbers for the season are 20.1 points, 3.9 boards and 10.9 assists per game, shooting 47.7% from the floor and 36.4% from beyond the arc, with 2.8 made 3-pointers per contest. Myles Turner posts 17.1 points, 6.9 boards and 1.3 assists per game, shooting 52.4% from the field and 35.8% from beyond the arc, with 1.5 made 3-pointers per contest. T.J. McConnell’s numbers on the season are 10.2 points, 5.5 assists and 2.7 boards per game.

Bucks

Giannis Antetokounmpo gets the Bucks 30.4 points, 11.5 boards and 6.5 assists per contest. He also averages 1.2 steals and 1.1 blocks. Damian Lillard’s averages on the season are 24.3 points, 4.4 rebounds and 7.0 assists per contest, making 42.4% of his shots from the field and 35.4% from beyond the arc, with 3.0 treys per game (ninth in NBA). The Bucks receive 13.8 points, 7.4 boards and 1.3 assists per game from Bobby Portis. Brook Lopez provides the Bucks 12.5 points, 5.2 boards and 1.6 assists per contest, plus 0.5 steals and 2.4 blocks (second in NBA).

What you need to know about the Pacers

The Pacers have been forced to lean on their offense, which ranks best in the NBA (123.3 points per game), as they rank fourth-worst in the league defensively with only 120.2 points allowed per contest. The Pacers are grabbing only 41.5 boards per game (third-worst in NBA), and they are allowing 43.4 boards per contest (15th-ranked). With 30.8 dimes per game, the Pacers are best in the league in the category.

Indiana puts up 125.5 points per game in home games, compared to 121.0 points per game in road games, a difference of 4.5 points per contest. Indiana is 10th in the NBA with 13.2 three-pointers per game this year. Meanwhile, it ranks ninth with a 37.4% shooting percentage from beyond the arc. Indiana is top-five this season in three-pointers allowed, currently best in the league with 10.7 treys ceded per game. Meanwhile, it ranks 16th with a 36.5% shooting percentage allowed from three-point land.

The Pacers have gone 7-3 over their past 10 games, with a 6-4 record against the spread in that span. Seven of Indiana’s last 10 contests have gone over the total. The Pacers have seen an uptick in scoring recently, putting up 124.5 points per game in their last 10 outings, 1.2 points more than the 123.3 they’ve scored this year. Indiana has been more stingy on defense as of late, allowing 115.1 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 120.2 points per game its opponents average over the 2023-24 season.

What you need to know about the Bucks

In 2023-24, the Bucks are fourth-best in the league on offense (119.0 points scored per game) and ranked 21st on defense (116.4 points allowed). In 2023-24, Milwaukee is eighth in the NBA in rebounds (44.2 per game) and 18th in rebounds allowed (44.0). The Bucks are 17th in the league in assists (26.5 per game) in 2023-24.

At home, the Bucks score 121.2 points per game. Away, they score 116.7. The Bucks are the fifth-best squad in the NBA in 3-pointers made (14.2 per game) and 11th in 3-point percentage (37.3%). In 2023-24, Milwaukee is 12th in the league in 3-pointers conceded (12.6 per game) and ninth in defensive 3-point percentage (35.6%).

The Bucks have a 3-7 record against the spread while finishing 3-7 overall in their past 10 contests. In its past 10 contests, Milwaukee has gone over the total five times. Over its previous 10 games, Milwaukee is averaging 107.2 points per contest, 11.8 fewer points than its season average (119.0). The Bucks are allowing 111.5 points per contest in their previous 10 games, which is 4.9 fewer points than they are allowing for the season (116.4).

Pacers vs. Bucks Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this game is Bucks, and we project that Bucks will cover the spread (Pacers -1). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 231.5 points.

How to bet Pacers vs. Bucks

You can bet on Indiana vs. Milwaukee at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Indiana vs. Milwaukee picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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