Houston vs. San Antonio Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Monday, December 11, 2023

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The San Antonio Spurs (3-18) travel to face the Houston Rockets (10-9) after losing seven road games in a row.

The Rockets take the court as 9-point favorites against the Spurs. The game features a point total of 223.5.

Rockets vs. Spurs Odds

Point Spread for Rockets vs. Spurs

The spread for this matchup is set at 9 points, with bookmakers listing the Rockets as the favorite.

Houston vs. San Antonio Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Houston has -395 odds to win the game, while San Antonio is listed at +310 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 223.5 points.

Game Time and How to Watch

  • When: Monday, December 11, 2023 at 8:00 PM ET
  • Where: Toyota Center in Houston, Texas
  • TV: Spac

Rockets vs. Spurs Betting Trends

The Rockets are 12-5-2 against the spread this season. This season, Houston has been listed as the favorite in three games and won them all. Games involving the Rockets have hit the over six times out of 21 chances this season.

The Spurs have registered an 8-13-0 record against the spread this year. San Antonio has been an underdog in 20 games this season and has come away with the win two times (10%) in those contests. This season, Spurs games have hit the over 14 times.

Rockets vs. Spurs Key Players to Watch

Rockets

Alperen Sengun’s numbers for the season are 20.8 points, 5.7 assists and 9.1 boards per contest, shooting 54.2% from the field. Fred VanVleet’s numbers on the season are 16.7 points, 8.7 assists and 4.1 boards per contest. Jalen Green posts 19.1 points, 4.6 boards and 3.1 assists per game, shooting 42.7% from the floor and 33.9% from beyond the arc, with 2.1 made 3-pointers per contest. Jabari Smith Jr. averages 12.7 points, 8.5 boards and 1.6 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 0.6 steals and 0.7 blocks.

Spurs

Victor Wembanyama’s averages for the season are 19.0 points, 10.2 rebounds and 2.6 assists, making 43.0% of his shots from the floor and 25.5% from 3-point range, with 1.3 triples per contest. Keldon Johnson averages 17.0 points, 6.5 boards and 4.1 assists, making 47.9% of his shots from the field and 37.8% from 3-point range, with 2.1 treys per contest. Zach Collins gives the Spurs 13.7 points, 6.3 boards and 4.0 assists per contest, plus 0.7 steals and 0.7 blocks. Jeremy Sochan’s averages for the season are 11.0 points, 5.1 rebounds and 4.2 assists, making 43.7% of his shots from the field.

What you need to know about the Rockets

Although the Rockets are averaging just 110.3 points per game (fifth-worst in NBA), their defense has been helping to pick up the slack, as they rank second-best in the league by ceding 106.8 points per game. The Rockets are 13th in the NBA with 44.5 boards per game this season. Meanwhile, they rank 14th with 43.7 rebounds allowed per game. The Rockets rank 10th in the NBA with 26.1 dimes per game.

Houston averages 111.7 points per game when playing at home, compared to 108.7 points per game in road games, a difference of 3.0 points per contest. Houston is draining 12.5 three-pointers per game (15th-ranked in league). It sports a 36.2% shooting percentage (17th-ranked) from three-point land. When it comes to defending three-pointers, it’s been a dominant stretch for Houston, who is allowing 11.1 treys per game (fifth-best in NBA) and a 33.0% shooting percentage from beyond the arc (second-best).

The Rockets are 7-2-1 against the spread and 4-6 overall over their last 10 games. Houston has gone over the total in three of its last 10 games. The Rockets have seen a decrease in scoring recently, putting up 109.6 points per game in their last 10 outings, 0.7 points fewer than the 110.3 they’ve scored this season. Houston has been slightly suspect on the defensive end of the floor of late, allowing 107.8 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 106.8 it has conceded this season.

What you need to know about the Spurs

In 2023-24, the Spurs are 25th in the NBA on offense (110.7 points scored per game) and third-worst defensively (122.8 points allowed). San Antonio is 22nd in the NBA in rebounds per game (42.7) and 25th in rebounds allowed (45.5). This season the Spurs are third-best in the NBA in assists at 29.2 per game.

At home the Spurs are putting up 114.5 points per game, 8.0 more than they are averaging on the road (106.5). Beyond the arc, the Spurs are 11th in the NBA in 3-pointers made per game (12.9). They are 24th in 3-point percentage at 34.7%. San Antonio is the third-worst team in the league in 3-pointers allowed (14.2 per game) and second-worst in 3-point percentage defensively (39.3%).

The Spurs have gone 0-10 over their past 10 contests, with a 4-6 record against the spread in that span. Five of San Antonio’s last 10 contests have hit the over. While San Antonio is posting 110.7 points per game in 2023-24, it has bettered that mark over its last 10 games, tallying 110.8 a contest. While the Spurs are allowing 122.8 points per game in 2023-24, they have improved that mark over their last 10 games, allowing 121.3 points per contest.

Rockets vs. Spurs Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this matchup is Rockets, and we project that Rockets will cover the spread (Rockets -9). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 223.5 points.

How to bet Rockets vs. Spurs

You can bet on Houston vs. San Antonio at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Houston vs. San Antonio picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

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WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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