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The Dallas Mavericks (16-9) will attempt to extend a three-game road winning streak when squaring off versus the Denver Nuggets (17-10) on December 18, 2023 at Ball Arena.
The Nuggets take the court as 8.5-point favorites against the Mavericks. The over/under for the matchup is set at 237.5.
Nuggets vs. Mavericks Odds
Point Spread for Nuggets vs. Mavericks
The spread for this matchup is set at 8.5 points, with sportsbooks listing the Nuggets as the favorite.
Denver vs. Dallas Moneyline
As for the moneyline, Denver has -375 odds to win the game, while Dallas is listed at +295 to claim victory.
Over/Under
Finally, the total for the game is set at 237.5 points.
Game Time and How to Watch
- When: Monday, December 18, 2023 at 9:00 PM ET
- Where: Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado
- TV: NBA
Nuggets vs. Mavericks Betting Trends
The Nuggets are 11-15-1 against the spread this season. Denver has entered the game as favorites 24 times this season and won 16, or 66.7%, of those games. Nuggets games have gone over the total 11 times out of 25 chances this season.
The Mavericks have put together a 14-11-0 record against the spread this season. Dallas has been chosen as underdogs in seven games this year and has walked away with the win two times (28.6%) in those games. This season, Mavericks games have hit the over 18 times.
Nuggets vs. Mavericks Key Players to Watch
Nuggets
Nikola Jokic puts up 27.0 points, 12.4 boards and 9.5 assists per contest, making 54.1% of shots from the floor and 30.9% from downtown with 1.2 made 3-pointers per contest. Michael Porter Jr. is averaging 16.8 points, 1.5 assists and 8.0 boards per contest. Aaron Gordon’s numbers for the season are 13.0 points, 7.2 boards and 3.6 assists per contest, shooting 50.0% from the floor. Reggie Jackson’s numbers for the season are 13.4 points, 2.3 boards and 4.6 assists per contest, shooting 48.5% from the field and 40.9% from beyond the arc, with 1.7 made 3-pointers per game.
Mavericks
Luka Doncic averages 32.7 points, 8.3 boards and 9.1 assists, making 48.8% of his shots from the floor and 37.9% from beyond the arc, with 3.8 triples per contest (second in NBA). Tim Hardaway Jr. averages 17.7 points, 3.5 boards and 1.5 assists, making 41.7% of his shots from the field and 37.3% from beyond the arc, with 3.5 triples per contest (fourth in NBA). Derrick Jones Jr. gets the Mavericks 10.0 points, 3.7 boards and 1.0 assists per contest, plus 0.8 steals and 0.8 blocks. Grant Williams gives the Mavericks 9.7 points, 3.7 boards and 1.7 assists per contest, plus 0.4 steals and 0.5 blocks.
What you need to know about the Nuggets
The Nuggets are 15th in the NBA with 114.7 points per game so far this year. At the other end of the court, they rank sixth with 110.8 points allowed per game. With 44.6 rebounds per game, the Nuggets are 11th in the NBA. They allow 42.9 rebounds per contest, which ranks ninth in the league. With 29.7 assists per game, the Nuggets are second-best in the league in the category.
Denver is posting 120.3 points per game this year when playing at home, which is 10.0 more points than it is averaging in away games (110.3). So far this year, Denver is draining 11.6 three-pointers per game (23rd-ranked in NBA) and is shooting 36.9% (15th-ranked) from beyond the arc. Denver ranks top-five this year in three-pointers allowed, currently fourth-best in the league with 11.1 threes allowed per game. Meanwhile, it ranks 11th with a 35.8% shooting percentage allowed from beyond the arc.
The Nuggets are 5-4-1 against the spread and 6-4 overall in their past 10 contests. Denver has gone over the total in five of its last 10 contests. In their last 10 games, the Nuggets have been putting up 117.5 points per game, an average that’s slightly higher than the 114.7 they’ve scored over the course of the 2023-24 season. Denver’s defense has been more porous lately, as the team has allowed 113.4 points per game over its past 10 compared to the 110.8 points per game its opponents are averaging on the season.
What you need to know about the Mavericks
In 2023-24, the Mavericks are sixth in the league offensively (119.9 points scored per game) and 22nd on defense (117.1 points conceded). On the glass, Dallas is 23rd in the league in rebounds (42.2 per game). It is fourth-worst in rebounds allowed (45.9 per game). At 25.7 assists per game, the Mavericks are 16th in the NBA.
In 2023-24 the Mavericks are averaging 1.2 more points per game at home (120.5) than away (119.3). In 2023-24 the Mavericks are best in the league in 3-point makes (15.9 per game), and they rank No. 12 in 3-point percentage (37.2%). Dallas is 16th in the NBA in 3-pointers conceded (13.0 per game) and 16th in 3-point percentage defensively (36.8%).
The Mavericks have gone 6-4 over their last 10 contests, with a 6-4 record against the spread in that span. Dallas has hit the over in seven of its past 10 outings. Over its past 10 games, Dallas is scoring 117.4 points per game, 2.5 fewer points than its season average (119.9). Over their past 10 games, the Mavericks are giving up 114.2 points per game, compared to their season average of 117.1 points allowed.
Nuggets vs. Mavericks Prediction & Pick
Our pick to win this matchup is Nuggets, and we predict that Mavericks will cover the spread (Nuggets -8.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 237.5 points.
How to bet Nuggets vs. Mavericks
You can bet on Denver vs. Dallas at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.
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