Denver vs. Atlanta Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Monday, December 11, 2023

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Two struggling squads square off when the Denver Nuggets (14-9) visit the Atlanta Hawks (9-12) on December 11, 2023. The Nuggets will look to break a three-game losing run versus the Hawks, who have lost three in a row.

The Nuggets face off against the Hawks. The Nuggets are favored by 2.5 points against the Hawks. The over/under for the game is set at 242.

Nuggets vs. Hawks Odds

Point Spread for Nuggets vs. Hawks

The spread for this matchup is set at 2.5 points, with bookmakers listing the Nuggets as the favorite.

Denver vs. Atlanta Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Denver has -142 odds to win the game, while Atlanta is listed at +120 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 242 points.

Game Time and How to Watch

  • When: Monday, December 11, 2023 at 7:30 PM ET
  • Where: State Farm Arena in Atlanta, Georgia
  • TV: BSSE

Nuggets vs. Hawks Betting Trends

The Nuggets have gone 8-14-1 against the spread this season. Denver has been the favorite in 20 games this season and won 13 (65%) of those contests. Games involving the Nuggets have hit the over nine times out of 21 chances this season.

The Hawks are 5-16-0 against the spread this season. Atlanta has been an underdog in 10 games this season and has come away with the win three times (30%) in those contests. Games involving the Hawks have hit the over 12 times this season.

Nuggets vs. Hawks Key Players to Watch

Nuggets

Nikola Jokic averages 28.4 points, 13.0 boards and 9.6 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 1.1 steals and 0.8 blocks. Michael Porter Jr.’s numbers for the season are 17.6 points, 8.1 boards and 1.6 assists per contest, shooting 49.4% from the floor and 39.8% from beyond the arc, with 3.0 made 3-pointers per game. Aaron Gordon is putting up 12.5 points, 3.6 assists and 7.1 boards per contest. Reggie Jackson is posting 13.3 points, 4.5 assists and 2.4 boards per game.

Hawks

Trae Young averages 26.4 points, 2.7 boards and 10.7 assists, making 41.0% of his shots from the field and 35.3% from beyond the arc, with 2.9 triples per game. Dejounte Murray’s averages on the season are 20.2 points, 4.5 rebounds and 5.7 assists per contest, making 45.4% of his shots from the field and 38.3% from 3-point range, with 2.2 triples per game. Clint Capela gives the Hawks 11.0 points, 10.5 boards and 1.0 assists per game, plus 0.7 steals and 1.7 blocks (10th in NBA). The Hawks get 16.2 points, 3.4 boards and 2.2 assists per game from Bogdan Bogdanovic.

What you need to know about the Nuggets

The Nuggets rank 14th in the NBA with 113.6 points per game this season. At the other end of the court, they rank seventh with 110.6 points allowed per contest. With 44.1 rebounds per game, the Nuggets rank 15th in the NBA. They give up 43.0 rebounds per contest, which ranks eighth in the league. The Nuggets have been one of the best teams in the league in terms of assists, as they are delivering 29.7 per game (second-best in NBA).

Denver is posting 120.2 points per game in home games. In road games, it is averaging 108.5 points per contest. Denver is draining 11.5 three-pointers per game (23rd-ranked in league). It owns a 36.4% shooting percentage (15th-ranked) from beyond the arc. Denver is allowing opposing teams to post a 36.3% three-point percentage this season (15th-ranked in NBA), but it has provided a lift by allowing only 11.0 three-pointers per contest (third-best).

The Nuggets have gone 5-5 over their last 10 games, with a 3-6-1 record against the spread during that span. In its past 10 games, Denver has hit the over five times. On the offensive side of the ball, the Nuggets have struggled over their last 10 games, scoring 113.5 points per contest over that span as opposed to the 113.6 they’ve racked up over the course of this year. Denver has been slightly suspect on the defensive end of the floor of late, giving up 113.9 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 110.6 it has conceded this year.

What you need to know about the Hawks

In 2023-24, the Hawks are second-best in the league offensively (122.2 points scored per game) but fourth-worst defensively (122.5 points conceded). With 45.0 rebounds per game and 44.3 rebounds allowed, Atlanta is ninth and 19th in the NBA, respectively. At 25.1 assists per game, the Hawks are 22nd in the league.

In 2023-24 the Hawks are averaging 5.4 more points per game at home (125.3) than away (119.9). In 2023-24, the Hawks are eighth in the league in 3-point makes (13.8 per game) and 12th in 3-point percentage (36.9%). Giving up 13.5 3-pointers per game and conceding 37.5% from beyond the arc, Atlanta is 20th and 24th in the NBA, respectively, in those categories.

The Hawks have covered the spread once, and are 3-7 overall, over their last 10 contests. Six of Atlanta’s past 10 outings have hit the over. Atlanta has played better offensively over its last 10 games, compiling 124.4 points per contest, 2.2 more than its season average of 122.2. The Hawks have performed worse defensively over their past 10 games, surrendering 128.3 points per contest, 5.8 more points their than season average of 122.5.

Nuggets vs. Hawks Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this game is Nuggets, and we expect that Hawks will cover the spread (Nuggets -2.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 242 points.

How to bet Nuggets vs. Hawks

You can bet on Denver vs. Atlanta at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Denver vs. Atlanta picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

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WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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