Cleveland vs. Miami Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Friday, December 8, 2023

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The Cleveland Cavaliers (12-9) hope to build on a three-game road winning streak when visiting the Miami Heat (12-9) on December 8, 2023.

The Cavaliers are just a 1-point favorite when they and the Heat hit the court in a game oddsmakers project to be a hard-fought matchup. The matchup features an over/under of 221.5.

Cavaliers vs. Heat Odds

Point Spread for Cavaliers vs. Heat

The spread for this matchup is set at 1 point, with oddsmakers listing the Cavaliers as the favorite.

Cleveland vs. Miami Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Cleveland has -118 odds to win the game, while Miami is listed at -102 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 221.5 points.

Game Time and How to Watch

  • When: Friday, December 8, 2023 at 8:00 PM ET
  • Where: FTX Arena in Miami, Florida
  • TV: BSSU

Cavaliers vs. Heat Betting Trends

The Cavaliers have covered the spread eight times in 21 games with a set spread. Cleveland has won eight, or 57.1%, of the 14 games it has played as the favorite this season. Cavaliers games have gone over the total 11 times this season.

The Heat have compiled a 10-10-1 record against the spread this year. Miami has won in three of the nine contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year. Games involving the Heat have hit the over 10 times this year.

Cavaliers vs. Heat Key Players to Watch

Cavaliers

Evan Mobley averages 16.0 points, 10.5 boards and 2.9 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 0.8 steals and 1.7 blocks (10th in league). Donovan Mitchell posts 27.6 points, 5.4 boards and 5.3 assists per game, shooting 45.1% from the floor and 35.6% from beyond the arc, with 3.0 made 3-pointers per contest. Max Strus is putting up 14.5 points, 4.1 assists and 5.5 boards per game. Darius Garland puts up 19.7 points, 2.7 boards and 6.1 assists per contest, shooting 46.9% from the field and 32.9% from beyond the arc, with 1.6 made 3-pointers per contest.

Heat

Jimmy Butler averages 22.2 points, 5.2 boards and 4.2 assists, making 46.6% of his shots from the floor and 40.9% from 3-point range, with 1.1 triples per game. Jaime Jaquez Jr. contributes with 12.1 points per game, plus 3.7 boards and 2.5 assists. The Heat receive 9.1 points, 4.2 boards and 4.3 assists per game from Kyle Lowry. Duncan Robinson averages 15.0 points, 2.8 boards and 2.9 assists, making 48.8% of his shots from the field and 43.6% from 3-point range, with 3.1 treys per contest.

What you need to know about the Cavaliers

Offensively, the Cavaliers are putting up 111.3 points per game (22nd-ranked in league). They are surrendering 111.1 points per contest at the other end of the court (eighth-ranked). The Cavaliers are 14th in the NBA with 44.3 rebounds per game so far this season. Meanwhile, they rank 14th with 43.9 rebounds allowed per contest. This season, the Cavaliers rank 17th in the league in assists, putting up 25.6 per game.

Offensively Cleveland has played worse when playing at home this year, posting 109.4 points per game, compared to 113.8 per game in road games. Cleveland is sinking 11.1 threes per game (fifth-worst in NBA), and it has a 34.7% three-point percentage (23rd-ranked). This season, Cleveland is ceding 12.0 three-pointers per game (ninth-ranked in NBA) and is allowing opposing teams to shoot 36.1% (12th-ranked) from beyond the arc.

The Cavaliers have gone 7-3 over their last 10 games, with a 4-4-2 record against the spread in that span. Five of Cleveland’s last 10 games have hit the over. In their last 10 games, the Cavaliers have been putting up 112.1 points per contest, an average that’s slightly higher than the 111.3 they’ve scored over the course of the 2023-24 season. Cleveland has been a little improved on the defensive end of the floor of late, allowing 110.0 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 111.1 it has conceded per game this season.

What you need to know about the Heat

In 2023-24, the Heat are 18th in the league on offense (113.0 points scored per game) and 11th defensively (111.6 points conceded). Miami is the fourth-worst team in the league in rebounds per game (40.9) and eighth in rebounds allowed (42.7). This season the Heat are ranked 10th in the league in assists at 26.3 per game.

The Heat are putting up more points at home (119.3 per game) than away (109.2). The Heat are 14th in the NBA in 3-pointers made (12.5 per game) and fourth-best in 3-point percentage (38.5%). In 2023-24 Miami is 20th in the league in 3-pointers conceded (13.5 per game) and fifth-worst in defensive 3-point percentage (37.8%).

The Heat are 6-4 against the spread and 5-5 overall over their last 10 games. In its past 10 contests, Miami has hit the over six times. While Miami is averaging 113.0 points per game in 2023-24, it has bettered that mark in its last 10 games, tallying 116.8 a contest. While the Heat are surrendering 111.6 points per game in 2023-24, they have been worse over their last 10 games, allowing 113.5 points per contest.

Cavaliers vs. Heat Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this game is Heat, and we predict that Heat will cover the spread (Cavaliers -1). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 221.5 points.

How to bet Cavaliers vs. Heat

You can bet on Cleveland vs. Miami at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Cleveland vs. Miami picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

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WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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