76ers vs Nuggets Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Saturday, January 28, 2023

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The Philadelphia 76ers (31-16) host the Denver Nuggets (34-15) on January 28, 2023 at Wells Fargo Center. The 76ers are favored, by 3.5 points, in a contest featuring a pair of the league’s best players, the 76ers’ Joel Embiid and the Nuggets’ Nikola Jokic. The over/under for the matchup is 231 points.

How to bet 76ers vs. Nuggets

Philadelphia 76ers vs. Denver Nuggets Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 3.5 points, with sportsbooks listing the 76ers as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the 76ers have -174 odds to pick up the win, while the Nuggets are listed at +145 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 231 points.

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76ers vs. Nuggets Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, January 28, 2023
  • Game Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ABC
  • Location: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
  • Arena: Wells Fargo Center

76ers vs. Nuggets Betting Trends

The 76ers have 27 wins against the spread in 47 games this season. Philadelphia has come away with 23 wins in the 33 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season. 76ers games this year have hit the over on 28 of 49 set point totals.

The Nuggets are 25-22-2 against the spread this season. Denver has won six of the 11 games it was listed as the moneyline underdog this season (54.5%). Nuggets games this season have gone over the total in 22 of 49 opportunities (44.9%).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


76ers Leaders
Joel Embiid 35 33.4 9.8 4.1 1.1 1.7 1.1
James Harden 31 21.5 6.4 11.1 1.3 0.6 2.8
Tyrese Maxey 28 21.3 3 3.9 0.9 0.1 2.6
Tobias Harris 43 16.3 6.2 2.7 1.1 0.6 1.9
De’Anthony Melton 44 11.1 4.5 2.9 1.9 0.6 2.3


Nuggets Leaders
Nikola Jokic 42 25.1 11 9.9 1.4 0.6 0.9
Jamal Murray 41 19.1 4.1 5.7 1 0.2 2.2
Aaron Gordon 44 16.8 6.9 2.6 0.8 0.8 1
Michael Porter Jr. 32 16.2 5.7 1.1 0.6 0.5 2.7
Nah’Shon Hyland 40 12.4 2.1 3.1 0.7 0.3 2.3
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76ers: Joel Embiid: Questionable (Foot)

Nuggets: Bruce Brown: Questionable (Knee), Jamal Murray: Questionable (Hip), Nikola Jokic: Probable (Hamstring), Kentavious Caldwell-Pope: Probable (Wrist), Jack White: Out (Adductor), Collin Gillespie: Out (Lower Leg)

What you need to know about the Philadelphia 76ers

Philadelphia is putting up 114.6 points per game this season (13th-ranked in NBA), but it has really thrived on defense, ceding just 110.7 points per contest (fourth-best). When playing at home, the 76ers are averaging 2.4 more points per game (115.7) than they are on the road (113.3). In their last 10 games, the 76ers have been scoring 121.8 points per game, an average that’s significantly higher than the 114.6 they’ve scored over the course of the 2022-23 season.

With a 38.2% three-point percentage this season, Philadelphia is fourth-best in the NBA. It ranks 10th in the league by making 12.8 threes per contest. Of the shots taken by the 76ers in 2022-23, 60.5% of them have been two-pointers (68.8% of the team’s made baskets) and 39.5% have been from beyond the arc (31.2%).

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What you need to know about the Denver Nuggets

With 116.5 points scored per game and 112.4 points allowed, Denver is eighth in the league on offense and 11th defensively. The Nuggets score 119.7 points per game at home, and 112.9 on the road. While the Nuggets are posting 116.5 points per game in 2022-23, they have fallen short of that in their last 10 games, tallying 115.7 points per contest.

Beyond the arc, Denver is 13th in the NBA in 3-pointers made per game (12.1). It is best in 3-point percentage at 39.5%. The Nuggets take 35.7% percent of their shots from beyond the arc, and 27.8% of their made shots are from there. Inside the arc, they attempt 64.3% of their shots, with 72.2% of their makes coming from there.

Our pick to win this contest is the 76ers, and we expect that Nuggets will cover the spread (76ers -3.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 231 points.

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You can bet on 76ers vs. Nuggets at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s 76ers vs. Nuggets picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Smullen

Hailing all the way from Dublin, Ireland, Dan Smullen has BSC. in the Sports and Exercise Sciences from the University of Limerick. He is data obsessed. In the past he has worked both as a video performance analyst and provided biometric performance testing and analysis for professional rugby teams. Dan is obsessed about helping the average punter become more successful at sports betting through the assistance of good sports betting data analysis. He has worked with over 200 journalists at multiple editorial teams in his previous role as Head of Search for the largest national news publisher in Ireland.

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