Providence vs. Xavier Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets

The No. 20 Providence Friars (21-8, 13-5 Big East) are favored (by 3.5 points) to extend a 12-game home win streak when they host the No. 19 Xavier Musketeers (21-8, 13-5 Big East) on Wednesday, March 1, 2023 at 6:30 PM ET. The over/under is 151.5 in the matchup.

Providence vs. Xavier Odds

Providence odds to win: -172
Xavier odds to win: +145
Spread: Providence (-3.5)
Total: 151.5

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Game Time and Information

Date: Wednesday, March 1, 2023
Time: 6:30 PM ET
TV: Fox Sports 1
Where: Providence, Rhode Island
Venue: Amica Mutual Pavilion

Who Will Win Providence vs. Xavier?

Providence and Xavier Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

Providence has a 10-6 record against the spread in games it was favored by 3.5 points or more this season.

Xavier has a 3-2 record against the spread when an underdog by 3.5 points or more this season.

The two teams average a combined 9.2 more points per game (160.7) than this matchup’s over/under of 151.5 points.

Providence and Xavier have seen their opponents average a combined 7.1 fewer points per game than the over/under of 151.5 set in this outing.

The average over/under Providence has had set in matchups this year is 2.6 fewer points than this outing’s point total.

The average over/under in Musketeers games this season is 4.6 more points than the point total of 151.5 in this outing.

So far this season, the Friars have compiled an 18-11-0 record against the spread.

The Musketeers’ ATS record is 16-12-1 this year.

Providence Stats & Insights

Providence outscores opponents by 8.7 points per game (scoring 78.8 per game to rank 30th in college basketball while giving up 70.1 per outing to rank 187th in college basketball) and has a +253 scoring differential overall.

Providence wins the rebound battle by 6.9 boards on average. It records 35.9 rebounds per game, which ranks 17th in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 29 per outing.

The Friars connect on 6.6 three-pointers per game (264th in college basketball), while their opponents have made 6.4 on average.

Providence ranks 40th in college basketball by averaging 99.7 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 108th in college basketball, allowing 88.7 points per 100 possessions.

The Friars are putting up 84.1 points per game this season when playing at home, which is 10.2 more points than they’re averaging on the road (73.9).

Xavier Stats & Insights

Xavier puts up 81.9 points per game (11th in college basketball) while allowing 74.3 per contest (297th in college basketball). It has a +220 scoring differential and outscores opponents by 7.6 points per game.

Xavier ranks 33rd in the country at 34.8 rebounds per game. That’s 5.5 more than the 29.3 its opponents average.

Xavier knocks down 7.7 three-pointers per game (147th in college basketball) at a 39.6% rate (sixth-best in college basketball), compared to the 7.6 its opponents make, shooting 36.1% from deep.

Xavier’s 101.2 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 21st in college basketball, and the 91.8 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 193rd in college basketball.

At home the Musketeers are scoring 84 points per game, 4.8 more than they are averaging on the road (79.2).

Providence Key Players to Watch

The Friars leader in points and rebounds is Bryce Hopkins, who scores 16.4 points and pulls down 8.8 rebounds per game.

Jared Bynum leads Providence in assists, averaging 4.5 per game while also scoring 9.8 points per contest.

The Friars get the most three-point shooting production out of Noah Locke, who knocks down 2.2 threes per game.

The Providence steals leader is Devin Carter, who averages 1.7 takeaways per game, while its blocks leader is Clifton Moore, who compiles 1.3 rejections per contest.

Xavier Key Players to Watch

Souley Boum’s points (16.5 per game) and assists (4.6 per game) stat lines give him the top scoring and assists spots on the Musketeers’ leaderboards.

Zach Freemantle’s stat line of 8.1 rebounds, 15.2 points and 2.9 assists per game helps him grab the top spot on the Xavier rebounding leaderboard.

Boum averages 2.2 three-pointers per game, the most on the Musketeers.

Colby Jones (1.5 steals per game) is the steal leader for Xavier while Jack Nunge (1.2 blocks per game) is the block leader.