Lightning vs. Maple Leafs: How to Watch, Odds, Picks & Predictions

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The Tampa Bay Lightning (44-29-8) have -142 moneyline odds to win when they host the Toronto Maple Leafs (46-25-10), who have +120 odds, on Wednesday, April 17 at 7:00 PM ET on ESPN+ and BSSUN.

You can see the Maple Leafs-Lightning matchup on ESPN+ and BSSUN.

Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Game Info & Odds

  • When: Wednesday, April 17, 2024 at 7:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+ and BSSUN
  • Where: Amalie Arena in Tampa, Florida
  • TV Channel: ESPN+ and BSSUN
  • Favorite: Lightning (-142)
  • Underdog: Maple Leafs (+120)
  • Over/under: 6.5

Lightning and Maple Leafs Betting Trends

  • Tampa Bay’s games this season have finished above this matchup’s total of 6.5 goals 39 times.
  • Toronto’s games this season have had more than 6.5 goals 44 of 80 times.
  • These teams rack up a combined 7.1 goals per game, 0.6 more than this game’s total.
  • Combined, these teams allow 6.4 goals per game, 0.1 fewer than this game’s total.
  • The Lightning are 28-20 when favored on the moneyline this season.
  • The Maple Leafs have won six, or 40.0%, of the 15 games they have played while the underdog this season.

Lightning Stats & Insights

  • The Lightning create the fifth-most goals in the league, averaging 3.5 per game for a total of 282 this season.
  • On defense, the Lightning have allowed 263 goals (3.2 per game) to rank 22nd in NHL action.
  • Their goal differential (+19) ranks them 13th in the league.
  • The Lightning connect on 11.9% of their shots, ranking second in the NHL.
  • The Lightning have secured four shutouts this season with their skaters averaging 21.3 hits and 15.2 blocked shots per game.
  • In the past 10 contests, the Lightning are 5-4-1 (70.0% of possible points).
  • They have totaled 35 goals over that time.
  • Over on the defensive side, the Lightning have allowed 27 goals (2.7 per game) over those 10 outings.

Maple Leafs Stats & Insights

  • The Maple Leafs have the league’s second-best scoring offense (294 total goals, 3.6 per game).
  • The Maple Leafs’ 255 total goals allowed (3.2 per game) rank 19th in the league.
  • Their +39 goal differential ranks 11th in the league.
  • The Maple Leafs’ collective 11.2% shooting percentage ranks fifth in the league.
  • The Maple Leafs have shut out their opponent five times this season.
  • In their past 10 games, the Maple Leafs are 6-3-1 to earn 75.0% of the possible points.
  • They have put up 38 goals over that time.
  • Defensively, the Maple Leafs have given up 30 goals (three per game) in those 10 outings.

Lightning Key Players to Watch

  • Nikita Kucherov is currently one of Tampa Bay’s leading contributors (142 total points), having put up 43 goals and 99 assists.
  • Brayden Point has 45 goals and 44 assists to total 89 points (1.1 per game).
  • Andrei Vasilevskiy has a record of 30-20-2. He has conceded 148 goals (2.9 goals against average) and racked up 1330 saves with a .900 save percentage (41st in the league).

Lightning Player Props

  • Nikita Kucherov Points Prop: 1.50 (Over Odds: +100, Under Odds: -130)
  • Nikita Kucherov Assists Prop: 0.50 (Over Odds: -215, Under Odds: +165)
  • Brayden Point Points Prop: 0.50 (Over Odds: -238, Under Odds: +180)
  • Brayden Point Assists Prop: 0.50 (Over Odds: -105, Under Odds: -125)
  • Steven Stamkos Points Prop: 0.50 (Over Odds: -195, Under Odds: +150)
  • Steven Stamkos Assists Prop: 0.50 (Over Odds: +100, Under Odds: -130)

Maple Leafs Key Players to Watch

  • Auston Matthews’ 69 goals and 38 assists in 80 contests give him 107 points on the season, making him a key part of his team’s offense.
  • William Nylander is pivotal for Toronto’s attack with 98 total points (1.2 per game), including 40 goals and 58 assists through 81 games.
  • Ilya Samsonov has an .890 save percentage (57th in the league), with 966 total saves, while conceding 120 goals (3.1 goals against average). He has compiled a 23-7-8 record between the posts for Toronto this season.

Maple Leafs Player Props

  • Mitchell Marner Points Prop: 1.50 (Over Odds: +160)
  • Mitchell Marner Assists Prop: 0.50 (Over Odds: -160)
  • William Nylander Points Prop: 1.50 (Over Odds: +140)
  • William Nylander Assists Prop: 0.50 (Over Odds: -140)
  • Auston Matthews Points Prop: 1.50 (Over Odds: +120)
  • Auston Matthews Assists Prop: 0.50 (Over Odds: -105)

Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Injuries

  • Lightning: Jonas Johansson: Lower Body (Out), Mikhail Sergachev: Lower Body (Out), Haydn Fleury: Upper Body (Questionable), Tyler Motte: Lower Body (Questionable)
  • Maple Leafs: Jake Muzzin: Back (Out For Season), John Klingberg: Hip (Out For Season), Matt Murray: Hip (Out), Calle Jarnkrok: Hand (Out), Max Domi: Undisclosed (Out), Bobby McMann: Lower Body (Questionable)

Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Prediction

  • Puck Line Pick:

    Maple Leafs (+1.5)

  • Pick OU:

    Over (6.5)

  • Score Prediction:
    Lightning 4 – Maple Leafs 3

You can check our live NHL lines for the latest NHL odds, including money lines, spreads, and over/under totals.

Tip: If you want to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Lightning vs. Maple Leafs picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

What is a parlay? Or even how to bet on hockey? Check out our complete guide to the best NHL betting sites.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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