Twins vs Cubs Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – May 12, 2023

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A series opener between the Chicago Cubs (18-19) and Minnesota Twins (21-17) is scheduled for Friday at 8:10 PM ET, at Target Field. The scheduled starters are Sonny Gray (4-0) for the Twins, and Drew Smyly (3-1) for the Cubs.

At home, the Twins are favored to win on the moneyline (-158) over the Cubs (+133). The total for the Twins-Cubs game is 7.5.

Twins vs. Cubs Odds

Run Line

Minnesota Twins (-1.5)

Moneyline

Twins (-158)

Total

7.5 Runs (Over: -114, Under: -107)

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When, Where, at What Time is Twins vs. Cubs

  • Game Day: Friday, May 12, 2023
  • Game Time: 8:10 PM ET
  • TV Channel: APLTV
  • Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • Stadium: Target Field

Twins Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Kenta Maeda 15-Day Injured List Tricep
Caleb Thielbar 15-Day Injured List Oblique
Ronny Henriquez 15-Day Injured List Elbow
Tyler Mahle 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Chris Paddack 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Gilberto Celestino 60-Day Injured List Thumb
Royce Lewis 60-Day Injured List Knee
Max Kepler Day-to-day Leg

Cubs Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Brandon Hughes 15-Day Injured List Knee
Adrian Sampson 15-Day Injured List Knee
Kyle Hendricks 15-Day Injured List Shoulder
Codi Heuer 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Ethan Roberts 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Nico Hoerner Day-to-day Hamstring

Last Time Out: Twins and Cubs

The Twins defeated the Padres by a 5-3 score in their last game yesterday. Kyle Farmer went 1-for-3 with a home run and an RBI to lead them offensively while Emilio Pagan got the win after throwing one inning without giving up a hit or an earned run while striking out one.

Friday, the Cubs defeated the Cardinals 10-4. Justin Steele was the winning pitcher after throwing six innings, giving up three earned runs on seven hits while striking out three. Yan Gomes led the Cubs’ offense, going 3-for-3 with a home run and two RBI.

Betting Trends

Twins Betting Records and Team Stats

This season, the Twins have been favored 25 times and won 18, or 72%, of those games. Minnesota has a record of 8-4 in games where sportsbooks favor them by at least -158 on the moneyline. Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Twins have a 61.2% chance to win. So far this season, Minnesota and its opponents have hit the over in 14 of their 38 games with a total. The Twins are 20-18-0 against the spread in their 38 chances this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Byron Buxton 35 .220 (140) .329 (84) .480 (49) 5.4% (19) 29.5% (153) 13.4% (26)
Max Kepler 26 .214 (-) .301 (-) .449 (-) 5.3% (-) 19.5% (-) 8.8% (-)
Carlos Correa 34 .191 (163) .272 (160) .374 (116) 3.4% (70) 21.8% (95) 10.2% (72)
Joey Gallo 28 .200 (-) .333 (-) .538 (-) 7.3% (-) 33.3% (-) 15.6% (-)
Michael A. Taylor 31 .242 (-) .294 (-) .400 (-) 3.9% (-) 34.3% (-) 4.9% (-)

Cubs Betting Records and Team Stats

The Cubs have won in seven, or 50%, of the 14 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year. Chicago has not lost in four games this year when given odds of +133 or worse on the moneyline. The Cubs have an implied victory probability of 42.9% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup. Chicago’s games have gone over the total in 16 of their 37 opportunities. In 37 games with a line this season, the Cubs have a mark of 21-16-0 against the spread.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Cody Bellinger 34 .288 (39) .360 (48) .530 (22) 4.7% (35) 18.7% (59) 9.3% (87)
Nico Hoerner 35 .303 (22) .348 (62) .395 (104) 1.2% (151) 10.4% (8) 5.5% (146)
Ian Happ 36 .300 (26) .425 (5) .469 (59) 2.5% (99) 20.6% (81) 18.1% (7)
Patrick Wisdom 33 .237 (116) .336 (76) .605 (3) 9.2% (1) 34.4% (170) 12.2% (36)
Dansby Swanson 36 .289 (35) .392 (17) .423 (84) 1.8% (136) 22.9% (106) 14.5% (17)

Twins vs. Cubs Picks and Predictions

Our pick for Twins vs. Cubs sees the Twins (-158 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. As for the over/under, we prefer the under on 7.5 runs.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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