Blue Jays vs Red Sox Today: Picks, Predictions, Moneyline and Odds – Thursday, May 4

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The Toronto Blue Jays (18-13) will visit the Boston Red Sox (18-14), Thursday at 6:10 PM ET, with the Blue Jays on a four-game losing streak. The scheduled starters are Kevin Gausman (2-2) for the Blue Jays, and Brayan Bello (0-1) for the Red Sox.

Despite being on the road the Blue Jays are a moderate moneyline favorite (-165) over the Red Sox (+139). The game’s over/under is set at 8.5.

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Odds

Run Line

Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)

Moneyline

Blue Jays (-165)

Total

8.5 Runs (Over: -112, Under: -109)

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When, Where, at What Time is Blue Jays vs. Red Sox

  • Game Day: Thursday, May 4, 2023
  • Game Time: 6:10 PM ET
  • TV Channel: NESN
  • Location: Boston, Massachusetts
  • Stadium: Fenway Park

Blue Jays Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Mitchell White 15-Day Injured List Elbow
Adam Cimber 15-Day Injured List Back
Hyun-Jin Ryu 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Chad Green 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Matt Peacock Minors Illness

Red Sox Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Adam Duvall 10-Day Injured List Wrist
Yu Chang 10-Day Injured List Wrist
Garrett Whitlock 15-Day Injured List Elbow
Joely Rodriguez 15-Day Injured List Oblique
James Paxton 15-Day Injured List Hamstring
Adalberto Mondesi 60-Day Injured List Hamstring
Wyatt Mills 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Trevor Story 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Zack Kelly 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Kenley Jansen Day-to-day Back
Brayan Bello Day-to-day Finger

Last Time Out: Blue Jays and Red Sox

Nick Pivetta (6.0 IP, 3 R, 5 H, 6 K) earned a win in the Red Sox’s 8-3 victory over the Blue Jays yesterday. Jarren Duran led the way offensively, going 1-for-2 with a double and an RBI. Alek Manoah (5.0 IP, 2 R, 8 H, 3 K) was handed the loss for the Blue Jays.

Betting Trends

Blue Jays Betting Records and Team Stats

This season, the Blue Jays have been favored 22 times and won 13, or 59.1%, of those games. Toronto is 8-2 this season when entering a game favored by -165 or more on the moneyline. The moneyline for this contest implies a 62.3% chance of a victory for the Blue Jays. Toronto and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 13 of their 31 opportunities. In 31 games with a spread this season, the Blue Jays are 16-15-0 ATS.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 31 .317 (12) .393 (20) .512 (36) 4.3% (44) 11.4% (10) 9.3% (89)
Matt Chapman 31 .364 (2) .453 (2) .636 (2) 3.9% (56) 22.8% (105) 13.4% (31)
Bo Bichette 31 .328 (6) .371 (40) .527 (28) 5% (35) 15.7% (32) 5.7% (152)
Daulton Varsho 31 .209 (160) .302 (133) .364 (128) 3.2% (76) 23.8% (114) 10.3% (75)
George Springer 30 .208 (161) .264 (171) .292 (171) 2.3% (114) 17.8% (56) 6.2% (143)

Red Sox Betting Records and Team Stats

The Red Sox have been chosen as underdogs in 17 games this year and have walked away with the win eight times (47.1%) in those games. Boston has a mark of 3-2 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by +139 or worse on the moneyline. The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 41.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup. Contests with Boston have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 22 of 32 chances this season. In 32 games with a line this season, the Red Sox have a mark of 20-12-0 against the spread.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Alex Verdugo 32 .315 (13) .382 (30) .515 (33) 3.5% (71) 12.5% (17) 7.6% (118)
Rafael Devers 32 .226 (140) .290 (152) .524 (29) 7.4% (5) 19.9% (74) 8.1% (110)
Masataka Yoshida 32 .303 (25) .391 (21) .515 (33) 4.3% (44) 9.6% (6) 11.3% (59)
Justin Turner 32 .273 (62) .369 (47) .380 (115) 1.4% (146) 12.1% (13) 10.6% (68)
Kiké Hernández 30 .243 (105) .309 (125) .378 (117) 2.4% (108) 22% (101) 8.1% (110)

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Picks and Predictions

Our prediction for Blue Jays vs. Red Sox sees the Red Sox (+139 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. For the total, we recommend betting on the over on 8.5 runs.

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WRITTEN BY

Stacy Sailer

Stacy has been a baseball fan for as long as she can remember. She admits that she grew up as a spoiled Yankees fan in the late-90’s/early 2000’s, but has slowly evolved into a disgruntled Yankees fan due to their lone championship title in the last 21 seasons. She follows other sports, but her first love has always been baseball and loves getting to share her insight and knowledge with the Betsperts community.

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