Utah vs. Baylor Prediction: Picks & Start Time – September 9, 2023

The No. 14 Utah Utes (1-0) and Baylor Bears (0-1) will clash at McLane Stadium in Waco, Texas.

Utah vs. Baylor Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 5.5 points, with sportsbooks listing Utah as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Utah has -225 odds to pick up the win, while Baylor is listed at +180 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 51 points.

Game Info

How to Watch Utah vs. Baylor Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, September 9, 2023
  • Game Time: 12:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Waco, Texas
  • Stadium: McLane Stadium
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Betting Preview

Utah

Utah scored 11.8 more points per game (38.6) than Baylor surrendered (26.8) last year. When Utah put up over 26.8 points last season, it went 7-2 against the spread and 8-1 overall. When Baylor surrendered fewer than 38.6 points last year, it had a 7-4 record against the spread and a 6-5 record overall. Utah racked up 95.9 more yards per game (466.9) than Baylor allowed per outing (371) last season.

Baylor

Last year Baylor averaged 10.8 more points per game (32.2) than Utah allowed (21.4). When Baylor put up more than 21.4 points last year, it was 7-3 against the spread and 6-4 overall. Utah had a 7-3 record against the spread and an 8-2 record overall in games when it allowed less than 32.2 points last year. Baylor collected 79.7 more yards per game (413.8) than Utah allowed per contest (334.1) last season.

Utah vs. Baylor Betting Analysis

Utah Betting Insights

Utah has covered the spread one time this season (1-0-0). In games they have played as 5.5-point favorites or more, Utah has a perfect ATS record of 1-0. The Utes have been listed as the moneyline favorite just one other time so far this season, a game they won. The Utes have played as a moneyline favorite of -225 or shorter in just one game this season, which they won.

Baylor Betting Insights

Baylor is winless against the spread this year (0-1-0). Games involving Baylor has hit the over once this season. This is the first time the Bears will play as underdogs this season. The Bears have not entered a game this season as a bigger underdog on the moneyline than the +180 odds on them winning this game.

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Utah vs. Baylor Against The Spread & Betting Records

Utah

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 57.8 57.5 58.1
Implied Total AVG 35.6 37.7 33.6
ATS Record 8-6-0 5-2-0 3-4-0
Over/Under Record 8-6-0 4-3-0 4-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 7-3 5-0 2-3
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-1 0-1 1-0

Baylor

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 53.7 53.8 53.7
Implied Total AVG 31.5 34.7 28.9
ATS Record 7-6-0 4-2-0 3-4-0
Over/Under Record 9-4-0 3-3-0 6-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-4 2-2 0-2
Moneyline Underdog Record 3-3 0-1 3-2

Last Season’s Leaders

Utah

  • In 13 games last year, Cameron Rising threw for 3,034 yards (233.4 per game), with 26 touchdowns and eight interceptions, and a completion percentage of 64.6%.
  • In addition, Rising ran for 466 yards and six TDs.
  • Dalton Kincaid had 70 receptions for 890 yards (74.2 per game) and eight touchdowns in 12 games.
  • In 10 games a season ago, Tavion Thomas rushed for 687 yards (68.7 per game) and seven TDs.
  • On the ground, Micah Bernard scored four touchdowns and accumulated 533 yards (38.1 per game).
  • In the passing game, Bernard scored one touchdown, with 34 catches for 314 yards.
  • R.J. Hubert had three interceptions to go with 75 tackles, three TFL, and two passes defended last year.
  • Karene Reid posted four sacks to go with four TFL, 68 tackles, and one interception in 14 games.
  • Cole Bishop compiled one sack to go with four TFL, 73 tackles, and one interception in 13 games played a season ago.
  • Mohamoud Diabate posted four sacks to go with 11 TFL and 58 tackles in 13 games.

Baylor

  • Last season Richard Reese rushed for 972 yards (74.8 yards per carry) and 14 rushing touchdowns.
  • Blake Shapen hit the gridiron for 13 games last year, and piled up 2,790 passing yards, 18 touchdowns, 10 interceptions and a 63.3% completion percentage.
  • When he wasn’t airing it out, Shapen ran for 96 yards (7.4 yards per game) and two touchdowns.
  • Qualan Jones rushed for 457 yards (38.1 yards per game) and seven TDs.
  • In the receiving game, Jones reeled in 23 balls on zero targets for 135 yards and zero touchdowns.
  • Monaray Baldwin was targeted zero times leading to 33 catches, 565 yards and four touchdowns in nine games.
  • Dillon Doyle helped lead the defense with 93 tackles and two interceptions in 12 games.
  • Al Walcott was on the field for 12 games, collecting one interception to go along with 73 tackles, seven TFL, two sacks, and five passes defended.
  • Christian Morgan was on the field for 11 games and registered three interceptions to go along with 51 tackles, two TFL, one sack, and three passes defended.
  • Matt Jones collected one sack to go with two TFL and 59 tackles in 11 games.

Utah vs. Baylor Predictions and Pick

Utah vs. Baylor betting card

  • Pick ATS:

    Utah (-5.5)

  • Pick OU: Over (51)

How to Bet on Utah vs. Baylor

You can bet on Utah vs. Baylor at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Utah vs. Baylor picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this game is Utah, and we expect that Utah will cover the spread (Utah -5.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 51 points.

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