Yankees vs Guardians ALDS Game 5 Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – October 17, 2022

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The New York Yankees host the Cleveland Guardians in Game 5 of the ALDS on Monday 7:07 PM ET at Yankee Stadium. The winner moves on to the ALCS. Jameson Taillon (13-5) will start for the Yankees, and Aaron Civale (5-6) for the Guardians.

Oddsmakers have made the Yankees a decent moneyline favorite (-155) at home over the Guardians (+133). The over/under for this contest is 7.5.

Yankees vs. Guardians Odds

Run Line

New York Yankees (-1.5)

Moneyline

Yankees (-155)

Total

7.5 Runs (Over: +101, Under: -121)

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When, Where, at What Time is Yankees vs. Guardians

  • Game Day: Monday, October 17, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:07 PM ET
  • TV Channel: TBS
  • Location: The Bronx, New York
  • Stadium: Yankee Stadium

Yankees Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Andrew Benintendi 40 Man Active Wrist
Michael King 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Chad Green 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Zack Britton 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
Luis Gil 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Stephen Ridings 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
Derek Dietrich Suspended List Suspension

Guardians Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Nick Sandlin 40 Man Active Arm
Anthony Gose 60 Day Injury List Tricep

Last Time Out: Yankees and Guardians

Gerrit Cole (7.00 IP, 2 R, 6 H, 8 K) was credited with the win in the Yankees’ 4-2 victory over the Guardians yesterday. Harrison Bader led the way offensively, going 1-for-3 with a home run and two RBI. Cal Quantrill (5.00 IP, 3 R, 4 H, 3 K) took the loss for the Guardians.

Betting Trends

Yankees Betting Records and Team Stats

The Yankees have entered the game as favorites 149 times this season and won 95, or 63.8%, of those games. New York has entered 107 games this season favored by -155 or more and is 70-37 in those contests. Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Yankees have a 60.8% chance to win. New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 80 of their 169 opportunities. The Yankees are 74-95-0 against the spread in their 169 chances this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Aaron Judge 157 .311 (5) .425 (1) .686 (1) 9.0% (1) 25.3% (109) 16.0% (2)
Anthony Rizzo 132 .222 (115) .336 (51) .477 (22) 5.8% (5) 18.4% (52) 10.6% (28)
Gleyber Torres 143 .255 (68) .308 (95) .447 (49) 4.2% (37) 22.6% (84) 6.8% (95)
Isiah Kiner-Falefa 142 .263 (55) .316 (79) .329 (124) 0.8% (126) 13.6% (17) 6.6% (100)
Giancarlo Stanton 110 .211 (-) .297 (-) .462 (-) 6.9% (-) 30.4% (-) 11.1% (-)

Guardians Betting Records and Team Stats

The Guardians have won in 38, or 45.8%, of the 83 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year. Cleveland has a win-loss record of 17-20 when favored by +133 or worse by oddsmakers this year. The Guardians have an implied victory probability of 42.9% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup. Cleveland’s games have gone over the total in 80 of their 172 opportunities. In 172 games with a line this season, the Guardians have a mark of 91-81-0 against the spread.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
José Ramírez 157 .277 (31) .353 (29) .512 (12) 4.3% (34) 12.0% (9) 10.1% (35)
Steven Kwan 147 .299 (11) .373 (12) .400 (91) 0.9% (125) 9.4% (2) 9.8% (42)
Amed Rosario 153 .281 (25) .311 (93) .403 (85) 1.6% (115) 16.6% (35) 3.7% (127)
Andrés Giménez 146 .294 (17) .368 (15) .463 (34) 3.1% (67) 20.3% (71) 6.2% (104)
Josh Naylor 125 .257 (-) .319 (-) .453 (-) 4.0% (-) 15.9% (-) 7.5% (-)

Yankees vs. Guardians Picks and Predictions

Our top pick for Yankees vs. Guardians sees the Yankees (-155 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. For the total, we recommend betting on the over on 7.5 runs.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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