Yankees vs Guardians ALDS Game 4: Picks, Predictions, Moneyline and Odds – Sunday, October 16

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The New York Yankees and the Cleveland Guardians play in Game 4 of the ALDS on Sunday 7:07 PM ET at Progressive Field. The Guardians are up 2-1 in the series and would clinch with a win. The scheduled starters are Gerrit Cole (13-8) for the Yankees, and Cal Quantrill (16-5) for the Guardians.

Despite playing on the road, the Yankees are still a decent moneyline favorite (-174) over the Guardians (+147). The contest has an over/under set at 7.

Yankees vs. Guardians Odds

Run Line

New York Yankees (-1.5)

Moneyline

Yankees (-174)

Total

7 Runs (Over: +104, Under: -125)

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When, Where, at What Time is Yankees vs. Guardians

  • Game Day: Sunday, October 16, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:07 PM ET
  • TV Channel: TBS
  • Location: Cleveland, Ohio
  • Stadium: Progressive Field

Yankees Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Andrew Benintendi 40 Man Active Wrist
Michael King 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Chad Green 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Zack Britton 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
Luis Gil 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Stephen Ridings 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
Derek Dietrich Suspended List Suspension

Guardians Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Nick Sandlin 40 Man Active Arm
Anthony Gose 60 Day Injury List Tricep

Last Time Out: Yankees and Guardians

Yesterday, the Guardians picked up a 6-5 win over the Yankees, with Eli Morgan (1.00 IP, 0 R, 0 H, 1 K) earning the win for the Guardians. Steven Kwan finished 3-for-5 with a double and an RBI to lead the offensive showing. Clarke Schmidt (0.00 IP, 1 R, 3 H, 1 K) picked up the loss for the Yankees.

Betting Trends

Yankees Betting Records and Team Stats

The Yankees have won 94, or 63.5%, of the 148 games they’ve played as favorites this season. New York has a record of 55-23 in games where oddsmakers favor them by at least -174 on the moneyline. The implied probability of a win from the Yankees, based on the moneyline, is 63.5%. So far this season, New York and its opponents have hit the over in 80 of their 168 games with a total. The Yankees have an ATS record of 73-95-0 in 168 games with a spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Aaron Judge 157 .311 (5) .425 (1) .686 (1) 9.0% (1) 25.3% (109) 16.0% (2)
Anthony Rizzo 132 .222 (115) .336 (51) .477 (22) 5.8% (5) 18.4% (52) 10.6% (28)
Gleyber Torres 143 .255 (68) .308 (95) .447 (49) 4.2% (37) 22.6% (84) 6.8% (95)
Isiah Kiner-Falefa 142 .263 (55) .316 (79) .329 (124) 0.8% (126) 13.6% (17) 6.6% (100)
Giancarlo Stanton 110 .211 (-) .297 (-) .462 (-) 6.9% (-) 30.4% (-) 11.1% (-)

Guardians Betting Records and Team Stats

The Guardians have been victorious in 38, or 46.3%, of the 82 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season. Cleveland has a mark of 7-13 in contests where bookmakers favor them by +147 or worse on the moneyline. The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Guardians have a 40.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest. Cleveland and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 80 of their 171 opportunities. The Guardians have posted a record of 91-80-0 against the spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
José Ramírez 157 .277 (31) .353 (29) .512 (12) 4.3% (34) 12.0% (9) 10.1% (35)
Steven Kwan 147 .299 (11) .373 (12) .400 (91) 0.9% (125) 9.4% (2) 9.8% (42)
Amed Rosario 153 .281 (25) .311 (93) .403 (85) 1.6% (115) 16.6% (35) 3.7% (127)
Andrés Giménez 146 .294 (17) .368 (15) .463 (34) 3.1% (67) 20.3% (71) 6.2% (104)
Josh Naylor 125 .257 (-) .319 (-) .453 (-) 4.0% (-) 15.9% (-) 7.5% (-)

Yankees vs. Guardians Picks and Predictions

Our top pick for Yankees vs. Guardians is the Yankees (-174 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. As for the total, we recommend betting on the over on 7 runs.

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WRITTEN BY

Stacy Sailer

Stacy has been a baseball fan for as long as she can remember. She admits that she grew up as a spoiled Yankees fan in the late-90’s/early 2000’s, but has slowly evolved into a disgruntled Yankees fan due to their lone championship title in the last 21 seasons. She follows other sports, but her first love has always been baseball and loves getting to share her insight and knowledge with the Betsperts community.

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