Twins vs Blue Jays AL Wild Card Game 2 Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – October 4, 2023

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The Minnesota Twins are at home for Game 2 of the AL Wild Card Series against the Toronto Blue Jays on Wednesday 4:38 PM ET at Target Field. The Twins lead the series 1-0. The starting pitchers are Sonny Gray (8-8) for the Twins, and Jose Berrios (11-12) for the Blue Jays.

With the Blue Jays (+115) visiting, the Twins (-138) are a solid favorite on the moneyline. The total for the Twins-Blue Jays game is set at 8.

Twins vs. Blue Jays Odds

Run Line

Minnesota Twins (-1.5)

Moneyline

Twins (-138)

Total

8 Runs (Over: -104, Under: -118)

When, Where, at What Time is Twins vs. Blue Jays

  • Game Day: Wednesday, October 4, 2023
  • Game Time: 4:38 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • Stadium: Target Field

Twins Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Dallas Keuchel 15-Day Injured List Calf
Jovani Moran 60-Day Injured List Forearm
Tyler Mahle 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Nick Gordon 60-Day Injured List Shin
Jose Miranda 60-Day Injured List Shoulder
Oliver Ortega 60-Day Injured List Back
José De León 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Matt Canterino 60-Day Injured List Elbow

Blue Jays Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Adam Cimber 60-Day Injured List Shoulder
Hagen Danner 60-Day Injured List Oblique
Otto Lopez 60-Day Injured List Oblique

Last Time Out: Twins and Blue Jays

These teams meet again after the Twins took down the Blue Jays 3-1 yesterday. Pablo Lopez earned the win for the Twins (5.2 IP, 1 R, 5 H, 3 K), and Royce Lewis led the way offensively (2-for-3 with two home runs and three RBI). Kevin Gausman (4.0 IP, 3 R, 3 H, 5 K) took the loss for the Blue Jays.

Betting Trends

Twins Betting Records and Team Stats

The Twins have entered the game as favorites 112 times this season and won 68, or 60.7%, of those games. This season, Minnesota has won 42 of its 75 games, or 56%, when favored by at least -138 on the moneyline. The moneyline for this contest implies a 58% chance of a victory for the Twins. Games involving Minnesota have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 81 of 163 chances this season. The Twins have an ATS record of 82-81-0 in 163 games with a spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Max Kepler 127 .260 (-) .332 (-) .484 (-) 4.9% (-) 21.6% (-) 9.2% (-)
Carlos Correa 133 .230 (126) .312 (107) .399 (108) 3.1% (86) 22.6% (86) 10.2% (40)
Willi Castro 112 .257 (-) .339 (-) .411 (-) 2.2% (-) 24.3% (-) 8.4% (-)
Edouard Julien 107 .260 (-) .378 (-) .456 (-) 3.9% (-) 31.4% (-) 15.7% (-)
Royce Lewis 58 .309 (-) .372 (-) .548 (-) 6.3% (-) 23% (-) 8.4% (-)

Blue Jays Betting Records and Team Stats

The Blue Jays have been chosen as underdogs in 43 games this year and have walked away with the win 23 times (53.5%) in those games. This season, Toronto has been victorious six times in 13 chances when named as an underdog of at least +115 or worse on the moneyline. Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Blue Jays have a 46.5% chance of pulling out a win. Contests with Toronto have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 71 of 163 chances this season. The Blue Jays are 74-89-0 against the spread in their 163 games that had a posted line this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 156 .264 (58) .345 (43) .444 (67) 3.8% (47) 14.7% (14) 9.8% (49)
George Springer 153 .256 (83) .326 (73) .403 (104) 3.1% (86) 18.4% (45) 8.8% (68)
Bo Bichette 135 .305 (8) .338 (50) .473 (38) 3.3% (76) 19.1% (50) 4.5% (132)
Whit Merrifield 143 .272 (41) .318 (93) .382 (120) 1.9% (120) 17.1% (34) 6.1% (109)
Daulton Varsho 152 .220 (130) .285 (134) .389 (115) 3.5% (65) 23.3% (96) 7.8% (86)

Twins vs. Blue Jays Picks and Predictions

Our recommended pick for this matchup is the Twins to emerge victorious (-138 on the moneyline), while we predict the scoring will go over the total (8 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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