Twins vs Blue Jays AL Wild Card Game 1 Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – October 3, 2023

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The Minnesota Twins host the Toronto Blue Jays to begin the AL Wild Card Series on Tuesday 4:38 PM ET at . The Twins will hand the ball to Pablo Lopez (11-8), and the Blue Jays will counter with Kevin Gausman (12-9).

The moneyline odds for the Twins (-114) versus the Blue Jays (-106) indicate a tight game. The contest has an over/under set at 7.5.

Twins vs. Blue Jays Odds

Run Line

Minnesota Twins (-1.5)

Moneyline

Twins (-114)

Total

7.5 Runs (Over: -106, Under: -116)

When, Where, at What Time is Twins vs. Blue Jays

  • Game Day: Tuesday, October 3, 2023
  • Game Time: 4:38 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: ,
  • Stadium:

Twins Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Joey Gallo 10-Day Injured List Foot
Carlos Correa 10-Day Injured List Foot
Byron Buxton 10-Day Injured List Hamstring
Royce Lewis 10-Day Injured List Hamstring
Dallas Keuchel 15-Day Injured List Calf
Jovani Moran 60-Day Injured List Forearm
Tyler Mahle 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Oliver Ortega 60-Day Injured List Back
José De León 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Nick Gordon 60-Day Injured List Shin
Jose Miranda 60-Day Injured List Shoulder
Matt Canterino 60-Day Injured List Elbow

Blue Jays Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Danny Jansen 10-Day Injured List Finger
Adam Cimber 60-Day Injured List Shoulder
Hagen Danner 60-Day Injured List Oblique
Otto Lopez 60-Day Injured List Oblique

Last Time Out: Twins and Blue Jays

The Twins’ matchup Tuesday versus the Rockies resulted in a 3-2 loss. Alex Kirilloff went 2-for-3 with an RBI in the defeat, while Jordan Luplow threw 1/3 of an inning without giving up a hit or an earned run en route to taking the loss.

The Blue Jays lost to the Rays Tuesday, with Wes Parsons registering the loss while pitching four innings, giving up nine earned runs on 10 hits while striking out three. Tyler Heineman went 2-for-3 with a triple and three RBI to pace the Blue Jays’ offense.

Betting Trends

Twins Betting Records and Team Stats

The Twins have entered the game as favorites 111 times this season and won 67, or 60.4%, of those games. This season, Minnesota has won 65 of its 108 games, or 60.2%, when favored by at least -114 on the moneyline. The implied probability of a win from the Twins, based on the moneyline, is 53.3%. Minnesota and its opponents have hit the over in 81 of their 162 games with a total this season. The Twins are 81-81-0 ATS in their 162 games with a spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Max Kepler 127 .260 (-) .332 (-) .484 (-) 4.9% (-) 21.6% (-) 9.2% (-)
Willi Castro 112 .257 (-) .339 (-) .411 (-) 2.2% (-) 24.3% (-) 8.4% (-)
Edouard Julien 107 .260 (-) .378 (-) .456 (-) 3.9% (-) 31.4% (-) 15.7% (-)
Dónovan Solano 133 .282 (-) .369 (-) .391 (-) 1.1% (-) 22.2% (-) 8.9% (-)
Jorge Polanco 80 .255 (-) .335 (-) .454 (-) 4.1% (-) 25.7% (-) 10.5% (-)

Blue Jays Betting Records and Team Stats

The Blue Jays have been victorious in 23, or 54.8%, of the 42 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season. Toronto has a mark of 19-16 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by -106 or worse on the moneyline. The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Blue Jays have a 51.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest. Toronto and their opponents have gone over in 71 of their 162 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The Blue Jays have an against the spread mark of 74-88-0 in 162 games with a line this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 156 .264 (58) .345 (43) .444 (67) 3.8% (47) 14.7% (14) 9.8% (49)
George Springer 153 .256 (83) .326 (73) .403 (104) 3.1% (86) 18.4% (45) 8.8% (68)
Bo Bichette 135 .305 (8) .338 (50) .473 (38) 3.3% (76) 19.1% (50) 4.5% (132)
Whit Merrifield 143 .272 (41) .318 (93) .382 (120) 1.9% (120) 17.1% (34) 6.1% (109)
Daulton Varsho 152 .222 (129) .287 (132) .391 (112) 3.5% (65) 23.3% (96) 7.8% (86)

Twins vs. Blue Jays Picks and Predictions

We pick that the Twins will pick up the win in this contest, and they’re our choice on the moneyline (-114). If you’re looking for a pick on the over/under, we predict the final scoring winding up over the total (7.5 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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