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The Minnesota Twins host the Houston Astros in Game 4 of the ALDS on Wednesday at 7:07 PM ET at Target Field. The Astros are ahead 2-1 in the series and can clinch with a win. On the hill for the Twins will be Joe Ryan (11-10), opposed by the Astros’ Jose Urquidy (3-3).
At home, the Twins are favored to win on the moneyline (-127) over the Astros (+107). The total in this contest is set at 8.5.
Twins vs. Astros Odds
Run Line
Minnesota Twins (-1.5)
Moneyline
Twins (-127)
Total
8.5 Runs (Over: -103, Under: -118)
When, Where, at What Time is Twins vs. Astros
- Game Day: Wednesday, October 11, 2023
- Game Time: 7:07 PM ET
- TV Channel: FOX
- Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
- Stadium: Target Field
Twins Injury Report
| Name | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Dallas Keuchel | 15-Day Injured List | Calf |
| Jovani Moran | 60-Day Injured List | Forearm |
| Tyler Mahle | 60-Day Injured List | Elbow |
| Jose Miranda | 60-Day Injured List | Shoulder |
| Nick Gordon | 60-Day Injured List | Shin |
| José De León | 60-Day Injured List | Elbow |
| Oliver Ortega | 60-Day Injured List | Back |
| Matt Canterino | 60-Day Injured List | Elbow |
Astros Injury Report
| Name | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Garcia | 60-Day Injured List | Elbow |
| Lance McCullers Jr. | 60-Day Injured List | Forearm |
Last Time Out: Twins and Astros
These clubs meet again after the Astros’ 9-1 victory over the Twins yesterday. Cristian Javier (5.0 IP, 0 R, 1 H, 9 K) earned the win for the Astros. Jose Abreu went 2-for-5 with two home runs and five RBI to lead the team on offense. Sonny Gray (4.0 IP, 4 R, 8 H, 6 K) took the loss on the mound for the Twins.
Betting Trends
Twins Betting Records and Team Stats
The Twins have entered the game as favorites 114 times this season and won 69, or 60.5%, of those games. Minnesota has entered 95 games this season favored by -127 or more and is 56-39 in those contests. Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Twins have a 55.9% chance to win. Minnesota’s games have gone over the total in 84 of their 167 chances. The Twins are 84-83-0 against the spread this season.
| Name | GP | AVG (Rank) | OBP (Rank) | SLG (Rank) | HR% (Rank) | K% (Rank) | BB% (Rank) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Kepler | 127 | .260 (-) | .332 (-) | .484 (-) | 4.9% (-) | 21.6% (-) | 9.2% (-) |
| Carlos Correa | 133 | .230 (126) | .312 (108) | .399 (107) | 3.1% (86) | 22.6% (86) | 10.2% (40) |
| Willi Castro | 112 | .257 (-) | .339 (-) | .411 (-) | 2.2% (-) | 24.3% (-) | 8.4% (-) |
| Edouard Julien | 107 | .263 (-) | .381 (-) | .459 (-) | 3.9% (-) | 31.4% (-) | 15.7% (-) |
| Royce Lewis | 58 | .309 (-) | .372 (-) | .548 (-) | 6.3% (-) | 23% (-) | 8.4% (-) |
Astros Betting Records and Team Stats
The Astros have won in 29, or 65.9%, of the 44 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year. This season, Houston has come away with a win 14 times in 25 chances when named as an underdog of at least +107 or longer on the moneyline. The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Astros have a 48.3% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest. Houston and their opponents have gone over in 87 of their 165 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The Astros are 82-83-0 against the spread in their 165 games that had a posted line this season.
| Name | GP | AVG (Rank) | OBP (Rank) | SLG (Rank) | HR% (Rank) | K% (Rank) | BB% (Rank) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Tucker | 157 | .284 (18) | .369 (15) | .517 (13) | 4.3% (32) | 13.8% (9) | 12% (22) |
| Alex Bregman | 161 | .262 (66) | .363 (20) | .441 (69) | 3.5% (65) | 12% (7) | 12.7% (17) |
| Yordan Alvarez | 114 | .293 (-) | .407 (-) | .583 (-) | 6.3% (-) | 18.5% (-) | 13.9% (-) |
| Jose Altuve | 90 | .311 (-) | .393 (-) | .522 (-) | 4.1% (-) | 17.3% (-) | 10.7% (-) |
| Jeremy Pena | 149 | .263 (61) | .324 (80) | .381 (120) | 1.6% (126) | 20.5% (64) | 6.8% (95) |
Twins vs. Astros Picks and Predictions
Our recommended pick for this matchup is the Twins to emerge victorious (-127 on the moneyline), while we project the scoring will go over the total (8.5 runs).