Rangers vs Astros ALCS Game 5 Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – October 20, 2023

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The Texas Rangers and the Houston Astros face off in Game 5 of the ALCS on Friday at 5:07 PM ET at Globe Life Field. The series is tied 2-2. The Rangers will hand the ball to Jordan Montgomery (10-11), and the Astros will counter with Justin Verlander (13-8).

With moneyline odds of -115 for the Rangers versus -104 for the Astros, this game should be a close one. The game has an over/under of 8.5 runs.

Rangers vs. Astros Odds

Run Line

Texas Rangers (-1.5)

Moneyline

Rangers (-115)

Total

8.5 Runs (Over: -117, Under: -105)

When, Where, at What Time is Rangers vs. Astros

  • Game Day: Friday, October 20, 2023
  • Game Time: 5:07 PM ET
  • TV Channel: FS1
  • Location: Arlington, Texas
  • Stadium: Globe Life Field

Rangers Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Jacob deGrom 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Brad Miller 60-Day Injured List Hamstring
Ian Kennedy 60-Day Injured List Rotator Cuff
Jake Odorizzi 60-Day Injured List Shoulder
Brett Martin 60-Day Injured List Shoulder

Astros Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Luis Garcia 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Lance McCullers Jr. 60-Day Injured List Forearm

Last Time Out: Rangers and Astros

Yesterday, the Astros picked up a 10-3 victory over the Rangers, with Ryne Stanek (0.2 IP, 0 R, 0 H, 0 K) earning the win for the Astros. Jose Abreu finished 1-for-3 with a home run and three RBI to lead the offensive showing. Dane Dunning (2.2 IP, 3 R, 3 H, 4 K) was handed the loss for the Rangers.

Betting Trends

Rangers Betting Records and Team Stats

The Rangers have been favorites in 112 games this season and won 66 (58.9%) of those contests. Texas has entered 104 games this season favored by -115 or more and is 62-42 in those contests. The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 53.5% chance of a victory for the Rangers. Texas and its opponents have hit the over in 89 of their 171 games with a total this season. The Rangers are 93-78-0 against the spread in their 171 chances this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Marcus Semien 162 .276 (28) .348 (39) .478 (33) 3.9% (44) 14.6% (12) 9.6% (54)
Corey Seager 119 .327 (5) .390 (9) .623 (2) 6.2% (8) 16.4% (27) 9.1% (64)
Adolis García 148 .245 (106) .328 (68) .508 (17) 6.2% (8) 27.7% (121) 10.3% (36)
Nate Lowe 161 .262 (66) .360 (24) .414 (95) 2.3% (113) 22.8% (90) 12.8% (16)
Jonah Heim 128 .258 (76) .317 (95) .438 (71) 3.6% (61) 19.2% (53) 8% (83)

Astros Betting Records and Team Stats

The Astros have won in 31, or 67.4%, of the 46 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year. Houston has a mark of 26-13 in contests where bookmakers favor them by -104 or worse on the moneyline. The Astros have an implied victory probability of 51% according to the moneyline set for this matchup. Houston and their opponents have hit the over in 90 of their 170 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season. In 170 games with a line this season, the Astros have a mark of 85-85-0 against the spread.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Kyle Tucker 157 .284 (18) .369 (15) .517 (13) 4.3% (32) 13.8% (9) 12% (22)
Alex Bregman 161 .262 (66) .363 (20) .441 (69) 3.5% (65) 12% (7) 12.7% (17)
Yordan Alvarez 114 .293 (-) .407 (-) .583 (-) 6.3% (-) 18.5% (-) 13.9% (-)
Jose Altuve 90 .311 (-) .393 (-) .522 (-) 4.1% (-) 17.3% (-) 10.7% (-)
Jeremy Pena 149 .263 (61) .324 (80) .381 (120) 1.6% (126) 20.5% (64) 6.8% (95)

Rangers vs. Astros Picks and Predictions

Our pick for this matchup is the Rangers to win (-115 on the moneyline), while we project the total score will go over the total (8.5 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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