Phillies vs Mets Today: Picks, Predictions, Moneyline and Odds – Sunday, October 1

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The New York Mets (74-86) face the Philadelphia Phillies (89-72), who will be trying to stop a three-game losing streak, Sunday at 3:10 PM ET, at Citi Field. The Phillies will give the start to Matt Strahm (9-5), and the Mets will counter with Jose Butto (1-3).

Even though the Phillies are playing on the road at the Mets, they are currently favored on the moneyline at -122, compared to the home team at +103. The game has an over/under set at 9 runs.

Phillies vs. Mets Odds

Run Line

Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)

Moneyline

Phillies (-122)

Total

9 Runs (Over: -102, Under: -120)

When, Where, at What Time is Phillies vs. Mets

  • Game Day: Sunday, October 1, 2023
  • Game Time: 3:10 PM ET
  • TV Channel: SNY
  • Location: Queens, New York
  • Stadium: Citi Field

Phillies Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Dylan Covey 15-Day Injured List Back
Erich Uelmen 60-Day Injured List Hip Flexor
Rhys Hoskins 60-Day Injured List Knee

Mets Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Jeff McNeil 10-Day Injured List Elbow
Brandon Nimmo 10-Day Injured List Shoulder
Starling Marte 10-Day Injured List Groin
Carlos Carrasco 15-Day Injured List Finger
Sean Reid-Foley 15-Day Injured List Back
John Curtiss 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Josh Walker 60-Day Injured List Oblique
Edwin Díaz 60-Day Injured List Knee
Elieser Hernandez 60-Day Injured List Pectoral
Bryce Montes de Oca 60-Day Injured List Elbow

Last Time Out: Phillies and Mets

The Mets beat the Phillies 11-4 yesterday, with Reed Garrett getting the win (3.0 IP, 0 R, 1 H, 4 K) and Francisco Alvarez leading the way offensively (going 2-for-5 with two home runs and six RBI). Michael Plassmeyer (3.2 IP, 9 R, 8 H, 4 K) took the loss for the Phillies.

Betting Trends

Phillies Betting Records and Team Stats

The Phillies have entered the game as favorites 109 times this season and won 65, or 59.6%, of those games. Philadelphia has entered 87 games this season favored by -122 or more and is 56-31 in those contests. The implied probability of a win from the Phillies, based on the moneyline, is 55%. Games involving Philadelphia have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 74 of 161 chances this season. The Phillies have an ATS record of 72-89-0 in 161 games with a spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Kyle Schwarber 159 .197 (136) .344 (45) .475 (37) 6.5% (4) 29.9% (130) 17.5% (2)
Trea Turner 155 .266 (55) .320 (90) .459 (53) 3.8% (48) 21.7% (73) 6.5% (102)
Alec Bohm 144 .273 (38) .327 (68) .431 (78) 3.1% (85) 15.3% (16) 6.9% (93)
Bryce Harper 126 .293 (10) .401 (7) .499 (21) 3.8% (48) 21.8% (74) 14.7% (6)
Bryson Stott 150 .277 (27) .325 (74) .415 (95) 2.4% (112) 15.8% (23) 6% (110)

Mets Betting Records and Team Stats

The Mets have been victorious in 23, or 33.3%, of the 69 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season. New York has a win-loss record of 11-37 when favored by +103 or worse by oddsmakers this year. The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mets have a 49.3% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest. New York and their opponents have gone over in 67 of their 161 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The Mets have an against the spread record of 75-86-0 in 161 games with a line this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Francisco Lindor 158 .255 (89) .336 (54) .472 (40) 4.6% (26) 20.1% (62) 9.5% (57)
Pete Alonso 152 .220 (129) .322 (85) .511 (17) 7.1% (3) 22.8% (89) 10% (45)
Francisco Alvarez 118 .210 (-) .285 (-) .440 (-) 6% (-) 26.1% (-) 8.1% (-)
Daniel Vogelbach 104 .233 (-) .339 (-) .404 (-) 4.1% (-) 25.4% (-) 13.2% (-)
Brett Baty 105 .213 (-) .277 (-) .326 (-) 2.4% (-) 28.8% (-) 7.7% (-)

Phillies vs. Mets Picks and Predictions

Our prediction for Phillies vs. Mets is the Mets (+103 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. As for the over/under, we prefer the under on 9 runs.

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WRITTEN BY

Stacy Sailer

Stacy has been a baseball fan for as long as she can remember. She admits that she grew up as a spoiled Yankees fan in the late-90’s/early 2000’s, but has slowly evolved into a disgruntled Yankees fan due to their lone championship title in the last 21 seasons. She follows other sports, but her first love has always been baseball and loves getting to share her insight and knowledge with the Betsperts community.

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