Phillies vs Mets Today: Picks, Predictions, Moneyline and Odds – Friday, September 29

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A pair of squads in the NL East — the New York Mets (72-86) and the Philadelphia Phillies (89-70) — play on Friday at 7:10 PM ET, at Citi Field. On the hill for the Phillies will be Taijuan Walker (15-5), matched up against the Mets’ Tylor Megill (8-8).

Despite playing away from home the Phillies are at -123 to win, compared to the Mets at +103. The game’s over/under is set at 8.5.

Phillies vs. Mets Odds

Run Line

Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)

Moneyline

Phillies (-123)

Total

8.5 Runs (Over: -106, Under: -116)

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When, Where, at What Time is Phillies vs. Mets

  • Game Day: Friday, September 29, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • TV Channel: SNY
  • Location: Queens, New York
  • Stadium: Citi Field

Phillies Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Rhys Hoskins 60-Day Injured List Knee

Mets Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Starling Marte 10-Day Injured List Groin
Carlos Carrasco 15-Day Injured List Finger
Sean Reid-Foley 15-Day Injured List Back
Josh Walker 60-Day Injured List Oblique
John Curtiss 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Edwin Díaz 60-Day Injured List Knee
Elieser Hernandez 60-Day Injured List Pectoral
Bryce Montes de Oca 60-Day Injured List Elbow

Last Time Out: Phillies and Mets

The Phillies’ matchup yesterday versus the Pirates ended in a 3-2 loss. Trea Turner went 3-for-4 with two doubles in the defeat, while Matt Strahm threw one inning, giving up two earned runs on three hits while striking out one en route to taking the loss.

The Mets were handed a 4-2 loss to the Marlins Friday. Francisco Lindor (2-for-3 with two home runs and two RBI) led the way offensively, while Adam Ottavino took the loss on the mound after going one inning, giving up one earned run on three hits while striking out two.

Betting Trends

Phillies Betting Records and Team Stats

This season, the Phillies have been favored 108 times and won 65, or 60.2%, of those games. Philadelphia has entered 86 games this season favored by -123 or more and is 56-30 in those contests. Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 55.2% chance to win. Philadelphia’s games have gone over the total in 73 of their 159 chances. The Phillies are 72-87-0 against the spread in their 159 chances this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Trea Turner 154 .266 (56) .319 (95) .459 (56) 3.8% (52) 21.7% (72) 6.6% (101)
Kyle Schwarber 157 .197 (136) .344 (43) .473 (40) 6.5% (4) 29.9% (131) 17.6% (2)
Alec Bohm 143 .275 (35) .329 (66) .435 (76) 3.2% (82) 15.3% (17) 7% (93)
Bryce Harper 125 .295 (10) .402 (7) .502 (22) 3.9% (45) 21.8% (74) 14.6% (7)
Bryson Stott 149 .279 (26) .327 (69) .418 (92) 2.4% (112) 15.9% (24) 6% (112)

Mets Betting Records and Team Stats

The Mets have been chosen as underdogs in 68 games this year and have walked away with the win 22 times (32.4%) in those games. This year, New York has won 11 of 48 games when listed as at least +103 or worse on the moneyline. The Mets have an implied victory probability of 49.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup. New York and their opponents have hit the over in 66 of their 159 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The Mets are 73-86-0 against the spread in their 159 games that had a posted line this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Francisco Lindor 156 .254 (89) .334 (58) .469 (44) 4.5% (30) 20.1% (61) 9.5% (59)
Pete Alonso 150 .222 (130) .323 (89) .517 (13) 7.2% (3) 23.1% (94) 10.1% (44)
Brandon Nimmo 151 .273 (40) .362 (21) .466 (48) 3.5% (66) 21.4% (71) 10.9% (28)
Jeff McNeil 156 .270 (45) .333 (60) .378 (120) 1.6% (127) 10.1% (2) 6% (112)
Francisco Alvarez 117 .206 (-) .280 (-) .422 (-) 5.6% (-) 26.1% (-) 8% (-)

Phillies vs. Mets Picks and Predictions

Our pick for this matchup is the Mets to emerge victorious (+103 on the moneyline), while we predict the scoring will go over the total (8.5 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Stacy Sailer

Stacy has been a baseball fan for as long as she can remember. She admits that she grew up as a spoiled Yankees fan in the late-90’s/early 2000’s, but has slowly evolved into a disgruntled Yankees fan due to their lone championship title in the last 21 seasons. She follows other sports, but her first love has always been baseball and loves getting to share her insight and knowledge with the Betsperts community.

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