Phillies vs Marlins NL Wild Card Game 2: Picks, Predictions, Moneyline and Odds – Wednesday, October 4

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The Philadelphia Phillies and the Miami Marlins square off for Game 2 of the NL Wild Card Series on Wednesday 8:08 PM ET at Citizens Bank Park. The Phillies have a 1-0 series lead. On the mound for the Phillies will be Aaron Nola (12-9), matched up against the Marlins’ Braxton Garrett (9-7).

The Phillies (-155) are moneyline favorites at home over the Marlins (+129). The game’s over/under is set at 8.

Phillies vs. Marlins Odds

Run Line

Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)

Moneyline

Phillies (-155)

Total

8 Runs (Over: -108, Under: -113)

When, Where, at What Time is Phillies vs. Marlins

  • Game Day: Wednesday, October 4, 2023
  • Game Time: 8:08 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
  • Stadium: Citizens Bank Park

Phillies Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Erich Uelmen 60-Day Injured List Hip Flexor
Rhys Hoskins 60-Day Injured List Knee

Marlins Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Eury Perez 15-Day Injured List Back
Matt Barnes 60-Day Injured List Hip
Trevor Rogers 60-Day Injured List Bicep
Jonathan Davis 60-Day Injured List Knee
Tommy Nance 60-Day Injured List Oblique
Anthony Bender 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Max Meyer 60-Day Injured List Elbow

Last Time Out: Phillies and Marlins

These clubs meet again following the Phillies’ 4-1 victory over the Marlins yesterday. Zack Wheeler (6.2 IP, 1 R, 5 H, 8 K) picked up the win for the Phillies. Trea Turner went 2-for-3 with a double to lead the team on offense. Jesus Luzardo (4.0 IP, 3 R, 8 H, 5 K) was credited with the loss on the mound for the Marlins.

Betting Trends

Phillies Betting Records and Team Stats

The Phillies have entered the game as favorites 110 times this season and won 66, or 60%, of those games. Philadelphia has a record of 31-18 in games where sportsbooks favor them by at least -155 on the moneyline. The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 60.8% chance of a victory for the Phillies. Games involving Philadelphia have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 75 of 163 chances this season. The Phillies are 74-89-0 against the spread in their 163 chances this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Kyle Schwarber 160 .197 (136) .343 (46) .474 (37) 6.5% (5) 29.9% (130) 17.5% (2)
Trea Turner 155 .266 (54) .320 (89) .459 (53) 3.8% (47) 21.7% (73) 6.5% (102)
Alec Bohm 145 .274 (37) .327 (70) .437 (74) 3.3% (76) 15.4% (16) 6.9% (94)
Bryce Harper 126 .293 (10) .401 (7) .499 (21) 3.8% (47) 21.8% (74) 14.7% (6)
Bryson Stott 151 .280 (23) .329 (66) .419 (88) 2.3% (113) 15.6% (20) 6.1% (109)

Marlins Betting Records and Team Stats

The Marlins have been underdogs in 88 games this season and have come away with the win 41 times (46.6%) in those contests. This season, Miami has been victorious 12 times in 31 chances when named as an underdog of at least +129 or longer on the moneyline. Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 43.7% chance of pulling out a win. Contests with Miami have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 75 of 163 chances this season. The Marlins have an against the spread record of 73-90-0 in 163 games with a line this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Luis Arraez 147 .354 (1) .393 (8) .469 (43) 1.6% (126) 5.5% (1) 5.7% (118)
Jorge Soler 137 .250 (96) .341 (47) .512 (16) 6.2% (8) 24.3% (105) 11.4% (24)
Jake Burger 141 .248 (99) .307 (118) .516 (13) 6.3% (7) 27.6% (119) 5.9% (112)
Josh Bell 150 .247 (104) .325 (76) .419 (88) 3.6% (61) 21.8% (74) 10.2% (40)
Bryan De La Cruz 151 .257 (82) .304 (123) .411 (98) 3% (88) 22.7% (89) 6.4% (106)

Phillies vs. Marlins Picks and Predictions

Our prediction for this matchup is the Phillies to win (-155 on the moneyline), while we project the total score will go over the total (8 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Stacy Sailer

Stacy has been a baseball fan for as long as she can remember. She admits that she grew up as a spoiled Yankees fan in the late-90’s/early 2000’s, but has slowly evolved into a disgruntled Yankees fan due to their lone championship title in the last 21 seasons. She follows other sports, but her first love has always been baseball and loves getting to share her insight and knowledge with the Betsperts community.

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