Phillies vs Marlins NL Wild Card Game 1: Picks, Predictions, Moneyline and Odds – Tuesday, October 3

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The Philadelphia Phillies square off against the Miami Marlins in Game 1 of the NL Wild Card Series on Tuesday 8:08 PM ET at . Zack Wheeler (13-6) is the starter for the Phillies, and Jesus Luzardo (10-10) for the Marlins.

With the Marlins (+135) visiting, the Phillies (-160) are a solid favorite on the moneyline. The game has an over/under set at 7.5 runs.

Phillies vs. Marlins Odds

Run Line

Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)

Moneyline

Phillies (-160)

Total

7.5 Runs (Over: -104, Under: -118)

When, Where, at What Time is Phillies vs. Marlins

  • Game Day: Tuesday, October 3, 2023
  • Game Time: 8:08 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: ,
  • Stadium:

Phillies Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Dylan Covey 15-Day Injured List Back
Erich Uelmen 60-Day Injured List Hip Flexor
Rhys Hoskins 60-Day Injured List Knee

Marlins Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Avisaíl García 10-Day Injured List Hamstring
Sandy Alcantara 15-Day Injured List Right Forearm
Eury Perez 15-Day Injured List Back
Trevor Rogers 60-Day Injured List Bicep
Matt Barnes 60-Day Injured List Hip
Jonathan Davis 60-Day Injured List Knee
Tommy Nance 60-Day Injured List Oblique
Anthony Bender 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Max Meyer 60-Day Injured List Elbow

Last Time Out: Phillies and Marlins

The Phillies were vicotrious 9-1 over the Mets Tuesday in their most recent game. Brandon Marsh finished 2-for-5 with a home run and four RBI to lead them offensively while Nick Nelson was earned the victory after throwing 5 1/3 innings, giving up one earned run on two hits while striking out three.

Tuesday, the Marlins lost to the Pirates 3-0. Bryan Hoeing was the losing pitcher after throwing one inning, giving up three earned runs on three hits while striking out one. Xavier Edwards paced the Marlins’ offense, going 1-for-4.

Betting Trends

Phillies Betting Records and Team Stats

This season, the Phillies have won 65 out of the 109 games, or 59.6%, in which they’ve been favored. Philadelphia has a record of 30-16 in games where sportsbooks favor them by at least -160 on the moneyline. Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 61.5% chance to win. Philadelphia and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 75 of their 162 opportunities. The Phillies are 73-89-0 against the spread in their 162 chances this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Kyle Schwarber 160 .197 (136) .343 (46) .474 (37) 6.5% (5) 29.9% (130) 17.5% (2)
Trea Turner 155 .266 (54) .320 (89) .459 (53) 3.8% (47) 21.7% (73) 6.5% (102)
Alec Bohm 145 .274 (37) .327 (70) .437 (74) 3.3% (76) 15.4% (16) 6.9% (94)
Bryce Harper 126 .293 (10) .401 (7) .499 (21) 3.8% (47) 21.8% (74) 14.7% (6)
Bryson Stott 151 .280 (23) .329 (66) .419 (88) 2.3% (113) 15.6% (20) 6.1% (109)

Marlins Betting Records and Team Stats

The Marlins have been victorious in 41, or 47.1%, of the 87 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season. Miami has a mark of 11-18 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by +135 or worse on the moneyline. The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 42.6% chance of walking away with the win. Miami and their opponents have hit the over in 75 of their 162 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The Marlins are 73-89-0 against the spread in their 162 games that had a posted line this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Luis Arraez 147 .354 (1) .393 (8) .469 (43) 1.6% (126) 5.5% (1) 5.7% (118)
Jorge Soler 137 .250 (96) .341 (47) .512 (16) 6.2% (8) 24.3% (105) 11.4% (24)
Jake Burger 141 .248 (99) .307 (118) .516 (13) 6.3% (7) 27.6% (119) 5.9% (112)
Josh Bell 150 .247 (104) .325 (76) .419 (88) 3.6% (61) 21.8% (74) 10.2% (40)
Bryan De La Cruz 151 .257 (82) .304 (123) .411 (98) 3% (88) 22.7% (89) 6.4% (106)

Phillies vs. Marlins Picks and Predictions

Our prediction for Phillies vs. Marlins is the Phillies (-160 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. For the over/under, we recommend betting on the over on 7.5 runs.

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WRITTEN BY

Stacy Sailer

Stacy has been a baseball fan for as long as she can remember. She admits that she grew up as a spoiled Yankees fan in the late-90’s/early 2000’s, but has slowly evolved into a disgruntled Yankees fan due to their lone championship title in the last 21 seasons. She follows other sports, but her first love has always been baseball and loves getting to share her insight and knowledge with the Betsperts community.

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