Phillies vs Diamondbacks NLCS Game 6 Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – October 23, 2023

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The Philadelphia Phillies are at home for Game 6 of the NLCS against the Arizona Diamondbacks on Monday at 5:07 PM ET at Citizens Bank Park. The Phillies have a 3-2 lead in the series, and will secure a place in the World Series with a win. The Phillies will hand the ball to Aaron Nola (12-9), and the Diamondbacks will turn to Merrill Kelly (12-8).

The oddsmakers have spoken, making the Phillies (-190) a moderate moneyline favorite to defeat the Diamondbacks (+158) at home. The contest has a total set at 8.

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Odds

Run Line

Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)

Moneyline

Phillies (-190)

Total

8 Runs (Over: -107, Under: -114)

When, Where, at What Time is Phillies vs. Diamondbacks

  • Game Day: Monday, October 23, 2023
  • Game Time: 5:07 PM ET
  • TV Channel: TBS
  • Location: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
  • Stadium: Citizens Bank Park

Phillies Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Erich Uelmen 60-Day Injured List Hip Flexor
Rhys Hoskins 60-Day Injured List Knee

Diamondbacks Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Tommy Henry 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Drey Jameson 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Dominic Fletcher 60-Day Injured List Finger
Austin Adams 60-Day Injured List Ankle
Mark Melancon 60-Day Injured List Shoulder
Corbin Martin 60-Day Injured List Back
Sebasrian Santana Restricted List Personal

Last Time Out: Phillies and Diamondbacks

These clubs meet again after the Phillies took down the Diamondbacks 6-1 Monday. Zack Wheeler earned the win for the Phillies (7.0 IP, 1 R, 6 H, 8 K), and Bryce Harper led the way offensively (2-for-4 with a home run and an RBI). Zac Gallen (6.0 IP, 4 R, 6 H, 1 K) took the loss for the Diamondbacks.

Betting Trends

Phillies Betting Records and Team Stats

This season, the Phillies have been favored 117 times and won 71, or 60.7%, of those games. Philadelphia has entered 27 games this season favored by -190 or more and is 16-11 in those contests. The Phillies have a 65.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline. So far this season, Philadelphia and its opponents have hit the over in 80 of their 173 games with a total. In 173 games with a spread this season, the Phillies are 82-91-0 ATS.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Kyle Schwarber 160 .197 (136) .343 (46) .474 (39) 6.5% (5) 29.9% (130) 17.5% (2)
Trea Turner 155 .266 (52) .320 (89) .459 (52) 3.8% (47) 21.7% (73) 6.5% (102)
Alec Bohm 145 .274 (36) .327 (70) .437 (74) 3.3% (76) 15.4% (16) 6.9% (94)
Bryce Harper 126 .293 (10) .401 (7) .499 (22) 3.8% (47) 21.8% (74) 14.7% (6)
Bryson Stott 151 .280 (23) .329 (65) .419 (88) 2.3% (113) 15.6% (20) 6.1% (109)

Diamondbacks Betting Records and Team Stats

The Diamondbacks have been victorious in 47, or 48.5%, of the 97 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season. This season, Arizona has been victorious eight times in 13 chances when named as an underdog of at least +158 or longer on the moneyline. The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Diamondbacks have a 38.8% chance of walking away with the win. Arizona and their opponents have hit the over in 76 of their 172 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The Diamondbacks have an against the spread record of 95-77-0 in 172 games with a line this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Corbin Carroll 153 .285 (15) .362 (23) .506 (18) 3.9% (44) 19.6% (57) 8.9% (67)
Christian Walker 157 .258 (76) .333 (58) .497 (23) 5% (18) 19.2% (53) 9.4% (61)
Ketel Marte 149 .276 (28) .358 (27) .485 (30) 3.8% (47) 16.8% (32) 10.9% (27)
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 145 .263 (61) .311 (111) .465 (48) 4.1% (37) 17.4% (36) 5.6% (119)
Tommy Pham 125 .256 (-) .328 (-) .446 (-) 3.3% (-) 22% (-) 9.8% (-)

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Picks and Predictions

We pick that the Phillies will pick up the win in this matchup, and they’re our choice on the moneyline (-190). If you’re looking for a pick on the over/under, we predict the final scoring winding up over the total (8 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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