Phillies vs Diamondbacks NLCS Game 5: Picks, Predictions, Moneyline and Odds – Saturday, October 21

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The Philadelphia Phillies hit the road for Game 5 of the NLCS against the Arizona Diamondbacks on Saturday at 8:07 PM ET at Chase Field. The teams are knotted up 2-2 in the series. On the hill for the Phillies will be Zack Wheeler (13-6), opposed by the Diamondbacks’ Zac Gallen (17-9).

Despite playing away from their home ballpark, the Phillies are favored to win (-134) over the Diamondbacks (+112). The over/under for this contest is 7.5.

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Odds

Run Line

Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)

Moneyline

Phillies (-134)

Total

7.5 Runs (Over: -120, Under: -103)

When, Where, at What Time is Phillies vs. Diamondbacks

  • Game Day: Saturday, October 21, 2023
  • Game Time: 8:07 PM ET
  • TV Channel: TBS
  • Location: Phoenix, Arizona
  • Stadium: Chase Field

Phillies Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Erich Uelmen 60-Day Injured List Hip Flexor
Rhys Hoskins 60-Day Injured List Knee

Diamondbacks Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Tommy Henry 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Drey Jameson 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Dominic Fletcher 60-Day Injured List Finger
Austin Adams 60-Day Injured List Ankle
Mark Melancon 60-Day Injured List Shoulder
Corbin Martin 60-Day Injured List Back
Sebasrian Santana Restricted List Personal

Last Time Out: Phillies and Diamondbacks

These clubs play again after the Diamondbacks’ 6-5 victory over the Phillies yesterday. Kevin Ginkel (1.0 IP, 0 R, 1 H, 0 K) earned the win for the Diamondbacks. Alek Thomas went 1-for-1 with a home run and two RBI to lead the team on offense. Craig Kimbrel (0.2 IP, 3 R, 3 H, 1 K) took the loss on the mound for the Phillies.

Betting Trends

Phillies Betting Records and Team Stats

This season, the Phillies have been favored 116 times and won 70, or 60.3%, of those games. Philadelphia has a record of 50-27 in games where sportsbooks favor them by at least -134 on the moneyline. The moneyline for this contest implies a 57.3% chance of a victory for the Phillies. Philadelphia’s games have gone over the total in 80 of their 172 chances. The Phillies are 81-91-0 against the spread in their 172 chances this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Kyle Schwarber 160 .197 (136) .343 (46) .474 (39) 6.5% (5) 29.9% (130) 17.5% (2)
Trea Turner 155 .266 (52) .320 (89) .459 (52) 3.8% (47) 21.7% (73) 6.5% (102)
Alec Bohm 145 .274 (36) .327 (70) .437 (74) 3.3% (76) 15.4% (16) 6.9% (94)
Bryce Harper 126 .293 (10) .401 (7) .499 (22) 3.8% (47) 21.8% (74) 14.7% (6)
Bryson Stott 151 .280 (23) .329 (65) .419 (88) 2.3% (113) 15.6% (20) 6.1% (109)

Diamondbacks Betting Records and Team Stats

The Diamondbacks have been underdogs in 96 games this season and have come away with the win 47 times (49%) in those contests. This season, Arizona has come away with a win 29 times in 60 chances when named as an underdog of at least +112 or worse on the moneyline. Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Diamondbacks have a 47.2% chance of pulling out a win. Contests with Arizona have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 76 of 171 chances this season. The Diamondbacks have an against the spread record of 95-76-0 in 171 games with a line this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Corbin Carroll 153 .285 (15) .362 (23) .506 (18) 3.9% (44) 19.6% (57) 8.9% (67)
Christian Walker 157 .258 (76) .333 (58) .497 (23) 5% (18) 19.2% (53) 9.4% (61)
Ketel Marte 149 .276 (28) .358 (27) .485 (30) 3.8% (47) 16.8% (32) 10.9% (27)
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 145 .263 (61) .311 (111) .465 (48) 4.1% (37) 17.4% (36) 5.6% (119)
Tommy Pham 125 .256 (-) .328 (-) .446 (-) 3.3% (-) 22% (-) 9.8% (-)

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Picks and Predictions

We predict that the Phillies will pick up the win in this contest, and they’re our choice on the moneyline (-134). If you’re looking for a pick on the over/under, we see the final scoring winding up over the total (7.5 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Stacy Sailer

Stacy has been a baseball fan for as long as she can remember. She admits that she grew up as a spoiled Yankees fan in the late-90’s/early 2000’s, but has slowly evolved into a disgruntled Yankees fan due to their lone championship title in the last 21 seasons. She follows other sports, but her first love has always been baseball and loves getting to share her insight and knowledge with the Betsperts community.

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