Phillies vs Diamondbacks NLCS Game 3: Picks, Predictions, Moneyline and Odds – Thursday, October 19

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The Philadelphia Phillies visit the Arizona Diamondbacks in Game 3 of the NLCS on Thursday at 5:07 PM ET at Chase Field. The Phillies have a 2-0 lead in the series. On the mound for the Phillies will be Ranger Suarez (4-6), opposed by the Diamondbacks’ Brandon Pfaadt (3-9).

Despite playing on the road, the Phillies are still a decent moneyline favorite (-136) over the Diamondbacks (+113). The contest has an over/under set at 9.

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Odds

Run Line

Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)

Moneyline

Phillies (-136)

Total

9 Runs (Over: -114, Under: -106)

When, Where, at What Time is Phillies vs. Diamondbacks

  • Game Day: Thursday, October 19, 2023
  • Game Time: 5:07 PM ET
  • TV Channel: TBS
  • Location: Phoenix, Arizona
  • Stadium: Chase Field

Phillies Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Erich Uelmen 60-Day Injured List Hip Flexor
Rhys Hoskins 60-Day Injured List Knee

Diamondbacks Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Tommy Henry 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Drey Jameson 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Dominic Fletcher 60-Day Injured List Finger
Austin Adams 60-Day Injured List Ankle
Mark Melancon 60-Day Injured List Shoulder
Corbin Martin 60-Day Injured List Back
Sebasrian Santana Restricted List Personal

Last Time Out: Phillies and Diamondbacks

The Phillies defeated the Diamondbacks 10-0 Thursday, with Aaron Nola getting the win (6.0 IP, 0 R, 3 H, 7 K) and Kyle Schwarber leading the way offensively (going 2-for-3 with two home runs and two RBI). Merrill Kelly (5.2 IP, 4 R, 3 H, 6 K) took the loss for the Diamondbacks.

Betting Trends

Phillies Betting Records and Team Stats

This season, the Phillies have won 70 out of the 114 games, or 61.4%, in which they’ve been favored. Philadelphia is 50-26 this season when entering a game favored by -136 or more on the moneyline. The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 57.6% chance of a victory for the Phillies. Games involving Philadelphia have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 79 of 170 chances this season. The Phillies have an ATS record of 81-89-0 in 170 games with a spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Kyle Schwarber 160 .197 (136) .343 (46) .474 (39) 6.5% (5) 29.9% (130) 17.5% (2)
Trea Turner 155 .266 (52) .320 (89) .459 (52) 3.8% (47) 21.7% (73) 6.5% (102)
Alec Bohm 145 .274 (36) .327 (70) .437 (74) 3.3% (76) 15.4% (16) 6.9% (94)
Bryce Harper 126 .293 (10) .401 (7) .499 (22) 3.8% (47) 21.8% (74) 14.7% (6)
Bryson Stott 151 .280 (23) .329 (65) .419 (88) 2.3% (113) 15.6% (20) 6.1% (109)

Diamondbacks Betting Records and Team Stats

The Diamondbacks have been underdogs in 94 games this season and have come away with the win 45 times (47.9%) in those contests. Arizona has a win-loss record of 28-31 when favored by +113 or worse by sportsbooks this year. Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Diamondbacks have a 46.9% chance of pulling out a win. Contests with Arizona have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 75 of 169 chances this season. In 169 games with a line this season, the Diamondbacks have a mark of 93-76-0 against the spread.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Corbin Carroll 153 .285 (15) .362 (23) .506 (18) 3.9% (44) 19.6% (57) 8.9% (67)
Christian Walker 157 .258 (76) .333 (58) .497 (23) 5% (18) 19.2% (53) 9.4% (61)
Ketel Marte 149 .276 (28) .358 (27) .485 (30) 3.8% (47) 16.8% (32) 10.9% (27)
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 145 .263 (61) .311 (111) .465 (48) 4.1% (37) 17.4% (36) 5.6% (119)
Tommy Pham 125 .256 (-) .328 (-) .446 (-) 3.3% (-) 22% (-) 9.8% (-)

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Picks and Predictions

We predict that the Phillies will pick up the victory in this game, and they’re our choice on the moneyline (-136). If you’re looking for a pick on the over/under, we predict the final scoring winding up under the total (9 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Stacy Sailer

Stacy has been a baseball fan for as long as she can remember. She admits that she grew up as a spoiled Yankees fan in the late-90’s/early 2000’s, but has slowly evolved into a disgruntled Yankees fan due to their lone championship title in the last 21 seasons. She follows other sports, but her first love has always been baseball and loves getting to share her insight and knowledge with the Betsperts community.

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