Phillies vs Diamondbacks NLCS Game 1: Picks, Predictions, Moneyline and Odds – Monday, October 16

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The Philadelphia Phillies meet the Arizona Diamondbacks to open the NLCS on Monday at 8:07 PM ET at . The starting pitchers are Zack Wheeler (13-6) for the Phillies, and Zac Gallen (17-9) for the Diamondbacks.

The Phillies (-167) are moneyline favorites at home over the Diamondbacks (+140). The over/under in this contest is set at 7.5.

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Odds

Run Line

Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)

Moneyline

Phillies (-167)

Total

7.5 Runs (Over: -105, Under: -116)

When, Where, at What Time is Phillies vs. Diamondbacks

  • Game Day: Monday, October 16, 2023
  • Game Time: 8:07 PM ET
  • TV Channel: TBS
  • Location: ,
  • Stadium:

Phillies Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Erich Uelmen 60-Day Injured List Hip Flexor
Rhys Hoskins 60-Day Injured List Knee

Diamondbacks Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Tommy Henry 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Drey Jameson 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Dominic Fletcher 60-Day Injured List Finger
Austin Adams 60-Day Injured List Ankle
Mark Melancon 60-Day Injured List Shoulder
Corbin Martin 60-Day Injured List Back
Gabriel Moreno Day-to-day Hand
Sebasrian Santana Restricted List Personal

Last Time Out: Phillies and Diamondbacks

The Phillies defeated the Braves by a 3-1 score in their most recent game Thursday. Nicholas Castellanos went 3-for-3 with two home runs and two RBI to lead them offensively while Ranger Suarez got the win after throwing five innings, giving up one earned run on three hits while striking out two.

The Diamondbacks defeated the Dodgers 4-2 Monday, with Joe Mantiply earning the win while pitching 1 1/3 innings without giving up a hit or an earned run while striking out one. Ketel Marte went 2-for-4 with a home run and an RBI to pace the Diamondbacks’ offense.

Betting Trends

Phillies Betting Records and Team Stats

The Phillies have entered the game as favorites 112 times this season and won 68, or 60.7%, of those games. Philadelphia is 27-15 this season when entering a game favored by -167 or more on the moneyline. The implied probability of a win from the Phillies, based on the moneyline, is 62.5%. Philadelphia’s games have gone over the total in 77 of their 168 chances. The Phillies have an ATS record of 79-89-0 in 168 games with a spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Kyle Schwarber 160 .197 (136) .343 (46) .474 (39) 6.5% (5) 29.9% (130) 17.5% (2)
Trea Turner 155 .266 (52) .320 (89) .459 (52) 3.8% (47) 21.7% (73) 6.5% (102)
Alec Bohm 145 .274 (36) .327 (70) .437 (74) 3.3% (76) 15.4% (16) 6.9% (94)
Bryce Harper 126 .293 (10) .401 (7) .499 (22) 3.8% (47) 21.8% (74) 14.7% (6)
Bryson Stott 151 .280 (23) .329 (65) .419 (88) 2.3% (113) 15.6% (20) 6.1% (109)

Diamondbacks Betting Records and Team Stats

The Diamondbacks have been chosen as underdogs in 92 games this year and have walked away with the win 45 times (48.9%) in those games. This season, Arizona has come away with a win 11 times in 23 chances when named as an underdog of at least +140 or worse on the moneyline. Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Diamondbacks have a 41.7% chance of pulling out a win. Arizona and their opponents have gone over in 73 of their 167 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The Diamondbacks have posted a record of 93-74-0 against the spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Corbin Carroll 153 .285 (15) .362 (23) .506 (18) 3.9% (44) 19.6% (57) 8.9% (67)
Christian Walker 157 .258 (76) .333 (58) .497 (23) 5% (18) 19.2% (53) 9.4% (61)
Ketel Marte 149 .276 (28) .358 (27) .485 (30) 3.8% (47) 16.8% (32) 10.9% (27)
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 145 .263 (61) .311 (111) .465 (48) 4.1% (37) 17.4% (36) 5.6% (119)
Tommy Pham 125 .256 (-) .328 (-) .446 (-) 3.3% (-) 22% (-) 9.8% (-)

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Picks and Predictions

Our prediction for Phillies vs. Diamondbacks is the Phillies (-167 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. As for the over/under, we pick the over on 7.5 runs.

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WRITTEN BY

Stacy Sailer

Stacy has been a baseball fan for as long as she can remember. She admits that she grew up as a spoiled Yankees fan in the late-90’s/early 2000’s, but has slowly evolved into a disgruntled Yankees fan due to their lone championship title in the last 21 seasons. She follows other sports, but her first love has always been baseball and loves getting to share her insight and knowledge with the Betsperts community.

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