Phillies vs Braves NLDS Game 3: Picks, Predictions, Moneyline and Odds – Wednesday, October 11

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The Philadelphia Phillies are at home for Game 3 of the NLDS against the Atlanta Braves on Wednesday at 5:07 PM ET at Citizens Bank Park. The teams are tied up 1-1 in the series. The Phillies will give the start to Aaron Nola (12-9), but the Braves’ starter has not been announced yet.

With the Braves (+103) visiting, the Phillies (-123) are a solid favorite on the moneyline. The contest has an over/under set at 9.

Phillies vs. Braves Odds

Run Line

Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)

Moneyline

Phillies (-123)

Total

9 Runs (Over: -106, Under: -116)

When, Where, at What Time is Phillies vs. Braves

  • Game Day: Wednesday, October 11, 2023
  • Game Time: 5:07 PM ET
  • TV Channel: TBS
  • Location: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
  • Stadium: Citizens Bank Park

Phillies Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Erich Uelmen 60-Day Injured List Hip Flexor
Rhys Hoskins 60-Day Injured List Knee

Braves Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Charlie Morton 15-Day Injured List Finger
Jackson Stephens 15-Day Injured List Elbow
Yonny Chirinos 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Nick Anderson 60-Day Injured List Shouder
Mike Soroka 60-Day Injured List Shoulder
Dylan Lee 60-Day Injured List Shoulder
Kyle Wright 60-Day Injured List Shoulder
Sam Hilliard 60-Day Injured List Heel
Kolby Allard 60-Day Injured List Shoulder
Tyler Matzek 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Huascar Ynoa 60-Day Injured List Elbow

Last Time Out: Phillies and Braves

A.J. Minter (1.0 IP, 0 R, 0 H, 0 K) was credited with a win in the Braves’ 5-4 victory over the Phillies Wednesday. Travis d’Arnaud led the way offensively, going 1-for-3 with a home run and two RBI. Jeff Hoffman (0.1 IP, 2 R, 1 H, 0 K) was handed the loss for the Phillies.

Betting Trends

Phillies Betting Records and Team Stats

This season, the Phillies have won 67 out of the 111 games, or 60.4%, in which they’ve been favored. Philadelphia has entered 88 games this season favored by -123 or more and is 58-30 in those contests. The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 55.2% chance of a victory for the Phillies. Philadelphia and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 76 of their 166 opportunities. The Phillies are 77-89-0 ATS in their 166 games with a spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Kyle Schwarber 160 .197 (136) .343 (46) .474 (39) 6.5% (5) 29.9% (130) 17.5% (2)
Trea Turner 155 .266 (52) .320 (89) .459 (52) 3.8% (47) 21.7% (73) 6.5% (102)
Alec Bohm 145 .274 (36) .327 (70) .437 (74) 3.3% (76) 15.4% (16) 6.9% (94)
Bryce Harper 126 .293 (10) .401 (7) .499 (22) 3.8% (47) 21.8% (74) 14.7% (6)
Bryson Stott 151 .280 (23) .329 (65) .419 (88) 2.3% (113) 15.6% (20) 6.1% (109)

Braves Betting Records and Team Stats

The Braves have been victorious in seven, or 53.8%, of the 13 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season. Atlanta has a win-loss record of 3-2 when favored by +103 or worse by oddsmakers this year. The Braves have an implied victory probability of 49.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup. Atlanta and their opponents have gone over in 93 of their 164 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season. In 164 games with a line this season, the Braves have a mark of 84-80-0 against the spread.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Ronald Acuña Jr. 159 .337 (2) .416 (1) .596 (4) 5.6% (13) 11.4% (6) 10.9% (27)
Matt Olson 162 .283 (19) .389 (10) .604 (3) 7.5% (1) 23.2% (94) 14.4% (8)
Ozzie Albies 148 .280 (23) .336 (54) .513 (15) 5% (18) 16.3% (26) 7% (93)
Austin Riley 159 .281 (22) .345 (43) .516 (14) 5.2% (17) 24.1% (102) 8.3% (77)
Marcell Ozuna 144 .274 (36) .346 (41) .558 (7) 6.8% (4) 22.6% (86) 9.6% (54)

Phillies vs. Braves Picks and Predictions

We pick that the Phillies will pick up the win in this contest, and they’re our choice on the moneyline (-123). If you’re looking for a pick on the over/under, we see the final scoring winding up over the total (9 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Stacy Sailer

Stacy has been a baseball fan for as long as she can remember. She admits that she grew up as a spoiled Yankees fan in the late-90’s/early 2000’s, but has slowly evolved into a disgruntled Yankees fan due to their lone championship title in the last 21 seasons. She follows other sports, but her first love has always been baseball and loves getting to share her insight and knowledge with the Betsperts community.

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