Mets vs Phillies Today: Picks, Predictions, Moneyline and Odds – Saturday, September 30

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A pair of squads in the NL East — the Philadelphia Phillies (89-70) and the New York Mets (72-86) — play on Saturday at 4:10 PM ET, at Citi Field. The starting pitchers are Jose Quintana (3-6) for the Mets, and Taijuan Walker (15-5) for the Phillies.

The moneyline odds for the Mets (-112) versus the Phillies (-107) indicate a tight game. The game’s total is 8.

Mets vs. Phillies Odds

Run Line

New York Mets (-1.5)

Moneyline

Mets (-112)

Total

8 Runs (Over: -112, Under: -109)

When, Where, at What Time is Mets vs. Phillies

  • Game Day: Saturday, September 30, 2023
  • Game Time: 4:10 PM ET
  • TV Channel: WPIX
  • Location: Queens, New York
  • Stadium: Citi Field

Mets Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Jeff McNeil 10-Day Injured List Elbow
Starling Marte 10-Day Injured List Groin
Carlos Carrasco 15-Day Injured List Finger
Sean Reid-Foley 15-Day Injured List Back
Josh Walker 60-Day Injured List Oblique
John Curtiss 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Edwin Díaz 60-Day Injured List Knee
Elieser Hernandez 60-Day Injured List Pectoral
Bryce Montes de Oca 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Brandon Nimmo Day-to-day Undisclosed

Phillies Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Rhys Hoskins 60-Day Injured List Knee

Last Time Out: Mets and Phillies

The Mets’ matchup Saturday versus the Marlins resulted in a 4-2 loss. Francisco Lindor went 2-for-3 with two home runs and two RBI in the defeat, while Adam Ottavino threw one inning, giving up one earned run on three hits while striking out two en route to taking the loss.

The Phillies suffered a 3-2 loss to the Pirates Saturday. Trea Turner (3-for-4 with two doubles) led the way offensively, while Matt Strahm got the loss on the mound after going one inning, giving up two earned runs on three hits while striking out one.

Betting Trends

Mets Betting Records and Team Stats

The Mets have been favorites in 91 games this season and won 50 (54.9%) of those contests. New York has a record of 48-40 in games where bookmakers favor them by at least -112 on the moneyline. Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 52.8% chance to win. So far this season, New York and its opponents have hit the over in 66 of their 159 games with a total. The Mets have an ATS record of 73-86-0 in 159 games with a spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Francisco Lindor 156 .254 (89) .334 (57) .469 (44) 4.5% (29) 20.1% (60) 9.5% (59)
Pete Alonso 150 .222 (127) .323 (84) .517 (13) 7.2% (3) 23.1% (92) 10.1% (42)
Brandon Nimmo 151 .273 (38) .362 (21) .466 (47) 3.5% (64) 21.4% (68) 10.9% (27)
Francisco Alvarez 117 .206 (-) .280 (-) .422 (-) 5.6% (-) 26.1% (-) 8% (-)
Daniel Vogelbach 104 .233 (-) .339 (-) .404 (-) 4.1% (-) 25.4% (-) 13.2% (-)

Phillies Betting Records and Team Stats

The Phillies have come away with 23 wins in the 49 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season. This year, Philadelphia has won 20 of 45 games when listed as at least -107 or worse on the moneyline. The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Phillies have a 51.7% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest. Philadelphia and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 73 of their 159 opportunities. The Phillies are 72-87-0 against the spread in their 159 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Trea Turner 154 .266 (53) .319 (91) .459 (54) 3.8% (51) 21.7% (71) 6.6% (98)
Kyle Schwarber 157 .197 (133) .344 (45) .473 (36) 6.5% (4) 29.9% (128) 17.6% (2)
Alec Bohm 143 .275 (33) .329 (63) .435 (75) 3.2% (81) 15.3% (16) 7% (92)
Bryce Harper 125 .295 (10) .402 (7) .502 (20) 3.9% (44) 21.8% (72) 14.6% (7)
Bryson Stott 149 .279 (22) .327 (64) .418 (90) 2.4% (110) 15.9% (23) 6% (108)

Mets vs. Phillies Picks and Predictions

Our prediction for this matchup is the Mets to earn the win (-112 on the moneyline), while we predict the scoring will go over the total (8 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Stacy Sailer

Stacy has been a baseball fan for as long as she can remember. She admits that she grew up as a spoiled Yankees fan in the late-90’s/early 2000’s, but has slowly evolved into a disgruntled Yankees fan due to their lone championship title in the last 21 seasons. She follows other sports, but her first love has always been baseball and loves getting to share her insight and knowledge with the Betsperts community.

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