Mets vs Padres Odds, Picks & Predictions – July 24

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On Sunday, the New York Mets (58-37) are hosting the San Diego Padres (54-42), at 7:00 PM ET. The Mets have dropped three in a row. The Mets will hand the ball to Carlos Carrasco (10-4), and the Padres will turn to Joe Musgrove (8-2).

The Mets are moderate favorites on the moneyline (-119) at home over the Padres (+102). The contest has a total set at 7.5.

Mets vs. Padres Odds

Run Line

New York Mets (-1.5)

Moneyline

Mets (-119)

Total

7.5 Runs (Over: -119, Under: -102)

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When, Where, at What Time is Mets vs. Padres

  • Game Day: Sunday, July 24, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Location: Queens, New York
  • Stadium: Citi Field

Mets Injury Report

Name Status Injury
James McCann 10 Day Injury List Oblique
Dominic Smith 10 Day Injury List Ankle
Joey Lucchesi 60 Day Injury List Elbow
John Curtiss 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Jacob deGrom 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
Trevor May 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Sean Reid-Foley 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Tylor Megill 60 Day Injury List Shoulder

Padres Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Wil Myers 10 Day Injury List Knee
Craig Stammen 15 Day Injury List Shoulder
Fernando Tatis Jr. 60 Day Injury List Wrist
Austin Adams 60 Day Injury List Forearm
Matt Beaty 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
Pierce Johnson 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Drew Pomeranz 60 Day Injury List Forearm
Robert Suarez 60 Day Injury List Knee
CJ Abrams Day-to-day Bicep

Last Time Out: Mets and Padres

Blake Snell (5.00 IP, 0 R, 4 H, 5 K) earned a win in the Padres’ 2-1 victory over the Mets yesterday. Manny Machado led the way offensively, going 1-for-4 with a home run and two RBI. Chris Bassitt (7.00 IP, 2 R, 4 H, 11 K) was handed the loss for the Mets.

Betting Trends

Mets Betting Records and Team Stats

This season, the Mets have won 45 out of the 68 games, or 66.2%, in which they’ve been favored. New York is 42-21 this season when entering a game favored by -119 or more on the moneyline. The implied probability of a win from the Mets, based on the moneyline, is 54.3%. New York’s games have gone over the total in 47 of their 95 chances. The Mets have an ATS record of 49-46-0 in 95 games with a spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Pete Alonso 94 .271 (51) .346 (49) .521 (13) 6.0% (10) 20.4% (81) 8.5% (78)
Francisco Lindor 94 .245 (94) .320 (92) .425 (73) 3.9% (49) 20.2% (79) 8.7% (74)
Brandon Nimmo 87 .267 (54) .353 (37) .429 (69) 2.4% (98) 17.8% (53) 9.7% (59)
Starling Marte 79 .294 (26) .343 (51) .453 (51) 2.6% (93) 18.6% (63) 4.9% (143)
Jeff McNeil 82 .297 (21) .361 (32) .413 (84) 1.3% (136) 13.1% (14) 7.7% (91)

Padres Betting Records and Team Stats

The Padres have been chosen as underdogs in 31 games this year and have walked away with the win 17 times (54.8%) in those games. San Diego has a win-loss record of 15-11 when favored by +102 or worse by oddsmakers this year. The Padres have an implied victory probability of 49.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup. San Diego’s games have gone over the total in 42 of their 96 opportunities. The Padres are 45-51-0 against the spread in their 96 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Manny Machado 85 .298 (20) .373 (16) .512 (16) 4.4% (32) 19.1% (70) 10.5% (47)
Jurickson Profar 88 .241 (100) .341 (55) .390 (107) 2.1% (111) 15.0% (31) 12.6% (13)
Jake Cronenworth 94 .238 (111) .333 (68) .393 (103) 2.2% (107) 20.8% (83) 10.0% (56)
Eric Hosmer 84 .272 (49) .334 (65) .387 (112) 2.0% (116) 15.7% (36) 8.7% (74)
Ha-Seong Kim 86 .240 (105) .327 (80) .364 (132) 1.5% (132) 18.2% (58) 10.2% (51)

Mets vs. Padres Picks and Predictions

Our prediction for Mets vs. Padres is the Mets (-119 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. For the over/under, we recommend betting on the over on 7.5 runs.

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WRITTEN BY

Stacy Sailer

Stacy has been a baseball fan for as long as she can remember. She admits that she grew up as a spoiled Yankees fan in the late-90’s/early 2000’s, but has slowly evolved into a disgruntled Yankees fan due to their lone championship title in the last 21 seasons. She follows other sports, but her first love has always been baseball and loves getting to share her insight and knowledge with the Betsperts community.

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