Mets vs Braves Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – October 1, 2022

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At Truist Park on Saturday, the New York Mets (98-59) face the Atlanta Braves (97-59), with first pitch at 7:20 PM ET. Max Scherzer (11-4) will start for the Mets, and Kyle Wright (20-5) for the Braves.

Despite playing on the road, the Mets are still a decent moneyline favorite (-128) over the Braves (+109). The game’s total is set at 6.5.

Mets vs. Braves Odds

Run Line

New York Mets (-1.5)

Moneyline

Mets (-128)

Total

6.5 Runs (Over: -125, Under: +104)

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When, Where, at What Time is Mets vs. Braves

  • Game Day: Saturday, October 1, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:20 PM ET
  • Location: Atlanta, Georgia
  • Stadium: Truist Park

Mets Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Starling Marte 10 Day Injury List Finger
Darin Ruf 10 Day Injury List Neck
Brett Baty 10 Day Injury List Thumb
Tommy Hunter 15 Day Injury List Back
Mychal Givens 15 Day Injury List Undisclosed
Bryce Montes de Oca 15 Day Injury List Hamstring
Joey Lucchesi 60 Day Injury List Elbow
John Curtiss 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Sean Reid-Foley 60 Day Injury List Elbow

Braves Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Ozzie Albies 10 Day Injury List Finger
Chadwick Tromp 10 Day Injury List Quadricep
Kirby Yates 15 Day Injury List Elbow
Spencer Strider 15 Day Injury List Oblique
Adam Duvall 60 Day Injury List Wrist
Darren O’Day 60 Day Injury List Calf
Manny Piña 60 Day Injury List Wrist
Luke Jackson 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Huascar Ynoa 60 Day Injury List Elbow

Last Time Out: Mets and Braves

Max Fried (5.00 IP, 1 R, 4 H, 3 K) registered a win in the Braves’ 5-2 victory over the Mets yesterday. Matt Olson led the way offensively, going 2-for-3 with a home run and an RBI. Jacob deGrom (6.00 IP, 3 R, 5 H, 11 K) was handed the loss for the Mets.

Betting Trends

Mets Betting Records and Team Stats

The Mets have entered the game as favorites 124 times this season and won 81, or 65.3%, of those games. New York has entered 105 games this season favored by -128 or more and is 67-38 in those contests. Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 56.1% chance to win. So far this season, New York and its opponents have hit the over in 86 of their 161 games with a total. The Mets have an ATS record of 85-76-0 in 161 games with a spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Pete Alonso 156 .268 (45) .347 (34) .517 (10) 6.0% (4) 19.1% (67) 9.4% (50)
Francisco Lindor 156 .272 (39) .343 (38) .451 (48) 3.6% (53) 18.7% (59) 8.6% (65)
Brandon Nimmo 147 .266 (50) .361 (21) .415 (77) 2.1% (107) 17.6% (51) 10.7% (27)
Jeff McNeil 143 .322 (2) .378 (8) .440 (57) 1.2% (124) 10.7% (5) 6.8% (99)
Mark Canha 135 .263 (56) .368 (17) .398 (96) 2.3% (100) 18.0% (53) 9.2% (51)

Braves Betting Records and Team Stats

The Braves have been underdogs in 32 games this season and have come away with the win 11 times (34.4%) in those contests. Atlanta has a mark of 4-13 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by +109 or worse on the moneyline. Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Braves have a 47.8% chance of pulling out a win. Contests with Atlanta have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 80 of 160 chances this season. The Braves have an against the spread mark of 81-79-0 in 160 games with a line this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Austin Riley 155 .275 (35) .349 (31) .534 (6) 5.6% (7) 24.0% (98) 8.1% (73)
Matt Olson 157 .238 (103) .323 (68) .466 (37) 4.6% (27) 24.2% (106) 10.8% (25)
Dansby Swanson 157 .276 (33) .327 (63) .439 (59) 3.4% (58) 26.5% (118) 6.9% (95)
Michael Harris 111 .304 (-) .344 (-) .529 (-) 4.5% (-) 24.0% (-) 4.5% (-)
Ronald Acuña Jr. 117 .265 (52) .350 (30) .417 (75) 2.9% (76) 23.7% (96) 9.7% (44)

Mets vs. Braves Picks and Predictions

Our pick for this matchup is the Braves to win (+109 on the moneyline), while we project the scoring will go over the total (6.5 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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