Marlins vs Mets Today: Picks, Predictions, Moneyline and Odds – Wednesday, September 27

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At Citi Field on Wednesday, the New York Mets (71-85) play the Miami Marlins (81-75), fellow members of the NL East, at 4:10 PM ET. Braxton Garrett (9-6) is the starter for the Marlins, and Joey Lucchesi (3-0) for the Mets.

Even though the Marlins are playing on the road at the Mets, they are currently favored on the moneyline at -120, compared to the home team at +100. The total for the Marlins-Mets game is 8.

Marlins vs. Mets Odds

Run Line

Miami Marlins (-1.5)

Moneyline

Marlins (-120)

Total

8 Runs (Over: -106, Under: -115)

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When, Where, at What Time is Marlins vs. Mets

  • Game Day: Wednesday, September 27, 2023
  • Game Time: 4:10 PM ET
  • TV Channel: SNY
  • Location: Queens, New York
  • Stadium: Citi Field

Marlins Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Avisaíl García 10-Day Injured List Hamstring
Sandy Alcantara 15-Day Injured List Right Forearm
Eury Perez 15-Day Injured List Back
Matt Barnes 60-Day Injured List Hip
Trevor Rogers 60-Day Injured List Bicep
Jonathan Davis 60-Day Injured List Knee
Tommy Nance 60-Day Injured List Oblique
Anthony Bender 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Max Meyer 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Luis Arraez Day-to-day Leg
Jake Burger Day-to-day Quadricep
Tanner Scott Paternity List Personal

Mets Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Starling Marte 10-Day Injured List Groin
Carlos Carrasco 15-Day Injured List Finger
Sean Reid-Foley 15-Day Injured List Back
Josh Walker 60-Day Injured List Oblique
John Curtiss 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Edwin Díaz 60-Day Injured List Knee
Elieser Hernandez 60-Day Injured List Pectoral
Bryce Montes de Oca 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Francisco Alvarez Day-to-day Hand
Brandon Nimmo Day-to-day Leg

Last Time Out: Marlins and Mets

The Marlins defeated the Brewers by a 6-1 score in their last game Sunday. Jon Berti went 2-for-4 with two home runs and three RBI to lead them offensively while Edward Cabrera got the win after throwing five innings, giving up one earned run on five hits while striking out five.

The Mets were defeated by the Phillies 5-2 Wednesday. Ronny Mauricio led the way offensively after going 1-for-4 with a home run and two RBI in the defeat, while Jose Butto took the loss on the mound, throwing four innings, giving up four earned runs on four hits while striking out five.

Betting Trends

Marlins Betting Records and Team Stats

The Marlins have entered the game as favorites 70 times this season and won 41, or 58.6%, of those games. This season, Miami has won 37 of its 57 games, or 64.9%, when favored by at least -120 on the moneyline. The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 54.5% chance of a victory for the Marlins. Miami and its opponents have hit the over in 73 of their 156 games with a total this season. The Marlins are 71-85-0 ATS in their 156 games with a spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Luis Arraez 146 .353 (1) .392 (8) .468 (50) 1.6% (126) 5.5% (1) 5.7% (117)
Jorge Soler 133 .249 (98) .339 (52) .516 (12) 6.4% (5) 24.6% (106) 11.2% (24)
Jake Burger 136 .251 (95) .313 (107) .530 (10) 6.6% (4) 27.6% (119) 6.2% (108)
Bryan De La Cruz 145 .258 (80) .306 (120) .419 (92) 3.2% (82) 22.7% (88) 6.5% (102)
Josh Bell 145 .248 (99) .326 (76) .422 (87) 3.7% (58) 22.1% (79) 10.3% (36)

Mets Betting Records and Team Stats

The Mets have been chosen as underdogs in 67 games this year and have walked away with the win 21 times (31.3%) in those games. New York has a mark of 13-40 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by +100 or worse on the moneyline. The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mets have a 50% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest. Contests with New York have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 65 of 157 chances this season. In 157 games with a line this season, the Mets have a mark of 72-85-0 against the spread.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Francisco Lindor 154 .250 (97) .330 (63) .452 (64) 4.1% (38) 20.3% (62) 9.3% (61)
Pete Alonso 148 .217 (131) .318 (94) .506 (19) 7.1% (3) 23.1% (92) 10.3% (36)
Brandon Nimmo 149 .271 (45) .361 (23) .466 (51) 3.6% (62) 21.2% (69) 10.9% (27)
Jeff McNeil 155 .270 (48) .334 (57) .379 (119) 1.6% (126) 10.1% (2) 6.1% (110)
Francisco Alvarez 115 .208 (-) .281 (-) .427 (-) 5.6% (-) 25.7% (-) 7.8% (-)

Marlins vs. Mets Picks and Predictions

We pick that the Mets will pick up the victory in this contest, and they’re our choice on the moneyline (+100). If you’re looking for a pick on the over/under, we see the final scoring winding up over the total (8 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Stacy Sailer

Stacy has been a baseball fan for as long as she can remember. She admits that she grew up as a spoiled Yankees fan in the late-90’s/early 2000’s, but has slowly evolved into a disgruntled Yankees fan due to their lone championship title in the last 21 seasons. She follows other sports, but her first love has always been baseball and loves getting to share her insight and knowledge with the Betsperts community.

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