Cubs vs Brewers Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – October 1, 2023

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The Chicago Cubs (83-78) and Milwaukee Brewers (91-70) will battle on Sunday at American Family Field, with first pitch at 3:10 PM ET. On the hill for the Cubs will be Justin Steele (16-5), matched up against the Brewers’ Adrian Houser (7-5).

The moneyline odds for the Cubs (-115) versus the Brewers (-105) indicate a tight game. The contest has an over/under set at 8.5.

Cubs vs. Brewers Odds

Run Line

Chicago Cubs (-1.5)

Moneyline

Cubs (-115)

Total

8.5 Runs (Over: -106, Under: -116)

When, Where, at What Time is Cubs vs. Brewers

  • Game Day: Sunday, October 1, 2023
  • Game Time: 3:10 PM ET
  • TV Channel: BSWI
  • Location: Milwaukee, Wisconsin
  • Stadium: American Family Field

Cubs Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Nick Madrigal 10-Day Injured List Hamstring
Michael Fulmer 15-Day Injured List Forearm
Brad Boxberger 15-Day Injured List Right Forearm
Brandon Hughes 60-Day Injured List Knee
Nick Burdi 60-Day Injured List Appendix
Codi Heuer 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Ethan Roberts 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Nico Hoerner Day-to-day Knee

Brewers Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Jesse Winker 10-Day Injured List Back
Elvis Peguero 15-Day Injured List Elbow
J.B. Bukauskas 15-Day Injured List Finger
Thyago Vieira 15-Day Injured List Calf
Darin Ruf 60-Day Injured List Knee
Justin Wilson 60-Day Injured List Back
Aaron Ashby 60-Day Injured List Shoulder
Jean Carlos Mejía Suspended List Suspension

Last Time Out: Cubs and Brewers

The Cubs defeated the Brewers 10-6 yesterday, with Hayden Wesneski getting the win (1.2 IP, 0 R, 1 H, 3 K) and Yan Gomes leading the way offensively (going 1-for-3 with a home run and five RBI). Eric Lauer (4.0 IP, 8 R, 9 H, 2 K) took the loss for the Brewers.

Betting Trends

Cubs Betting Records and Team Stats

The Cubs have been favorites in 93 games this season and won 53 (57%) of those contests. Chicago has a record of 51-34 in games where oddsmakers favor them by at least -115 on the moneyline. The Cubs have a 53.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline. So far this season, Chicago and its opponents have hit the over in 79 of their 161 games with a total. The Cubs are 77-84-0 against the spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Cody Bellinger 130 .307 (6) .356 (29) .525 (9) 4.7% (25) 15.6% (20) 7.2% (90)
Nico Hoerner 150 .283 (18) .346 (42) .383 (118) 1.3% (130) 12.1% (7) 7.1% (91)
Ian Happ 158 .248 (101) .360 (25) .431 (78) 3% (89) 22.1% (78) 14.3% (10)
Seiya Suzuki 137 .285 (16) .357 (27) .485 (29) 3.4% (72) 22.3% (81) 10.1% (43)
Jeimer Candelario 139 .251 (94) .336 (54) .473 (38) 3.9% (44) 22.2% (80) 9.3% (61)

Brewers Betting Records and Team Stats

The Brewers have been victorious in 38, or 53.5%, of the 71 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season. This year, Milwaukee has won 31 of 64 games when listed as at least -105 or worse on the moneyline. The Brewers have an implied victory probability of 51.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup. Milwaukee’s games have gone over the total in 72 of their 161 opportunities. The Brewers are 82-79-0 against the spread in their 161 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Christian Yelich 143 .279 (24) .370 (14) .453 (59) 3% (89) 22.1% (78) 12.2% (19)
Carlos Santana 145 .241 (113) .320 (90) .431 (78) 3.7% (55) 16.6% (31) 10.6% (33)
William Contreras 140 .290 (13) .367 (17) .459 (53) 2.8% (98) 20.6% (65) 10.2% (40)
Willy Adames 148 .218 (132) .310 (112) .408 (100) 3.8% (48) 25.9% (113) 11.1% (26)
Mark Canha 134 .262 (65) .355 (31) .400 (107) 2.2% (115) 15.5% (17) 9.7% (52)

Cubs vs. Brewers Picks and Predictions

Our prediction for this matchup is the Brewers to emerge victorious (-105 on the moneyline), while we predict the total score will go under the total (8.5 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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