Brewers vs Diamondbacks NL Wild Card Game 1: Picks, Predictions, Moneyline and Odds – Tuesday, October 3

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The NL Wild Card Series begins with a showdown between the Milwaukee Brewers and the Arizona Diamondbacks at on Tuesday, starting at 7:08 PM ET. Corbin Burnes (10-8) is the starter for the Brewers, and Brandon Pfaadt (3-9) for the Diamondbacks.

The bookmakers have spoken, making the Brewers (-185) a moderate moneyline favorite to beat the Diamondbacks (+153) at home. The over/under for this contest is set at 8.

Brewers vs. Diamondbacks Odds

Run Line

Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)

Moneyline

Brewers (-185)

Total

8 Runs (Over: -110, Under: -111)

When, Where, at What Time is Brewers vs. Diamondbacks

  • Game Day: Tuesday, October 3, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:08 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN2
  • Location: ,
  • Stadium:

Brewers Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Jesse Winker 10-Day Injured List Back
Elvis Peguero 15-Day Injured List Elbow
Thyago Vieira 15-Day Injured List Calf
J.B. Bukauskas 15-Day Injured List Finger
Darin Ruf 60-Day Injured List Knee
Justin Wilson 60-Day Injured List Back
Aaron Ashby 60-Day Injured List Shoulder
Jean Carlos Mejía Suspended List Suspension

Diamondbacks Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Scott McGough 15-Day Injured List Shoulder
Tommy Henry 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Drey Jameson 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Austin Adams 60-Day Injured List Ankle
Dominic Fletcher 60-Day Injured List Finger
Mark Melancon 60-Day Injured List Shoulder
Corbin Martin 60-Day Injured List Back
Sebasrian Santana Restricted List Personal

Last Time Out: Brewers and Diamondbacks

The Brewers beat the Cubs by a 4-0 score in their last game Sunday. Tyrone Taylor went 1-for-4 with a home run and an RBI to lead them offensively while Adrian Houser earned the win after throwing five innings without giving up an earned run on three hits, while striking out five.

The Diamondbacks suffered an 8-1 loss to the Astros Tuesday. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (2-for-4 with a double and an RBI) led the way offensively, while Kyle Nelson took the loss on the mound after going 1/3 of an inning, giving up two earned runs on two hits while striking out one.

Betting Trends

Brewers Betting Records and Team Stats

The Brewers have been favorites in 90 games this season and won 53 (58.9%) of those contests. Milwaukee has a record of 8-9, a 47.1% win rate, when favored by -185 or more by oddsmakers this season. The Brewers have a 64.9% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline. So far this season, Milwaukee and its opponents have hit the over in 72 of their 162 games with a total. The Brewers are 83-79-0 against the spread in their 162 chances this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Christian Yelich 144 .280 (23) .372 (14) .453 (59) 3% (88) 22.2% (80) 12.3% (19)
Carlos Santana 146 .240 (114) .318 (93) .429 (80) 3.7% (55) 16.8% (32) 10.5% (35)
William Contreras 141 .291 (13) .369 (15) .459 (53) 2.8% (98) 20.7% (66) 10.3% (36)
Willy Adames 149 .219 (131) .311 (111) .409 (99) 3.8% (47) 25.9% (114) 11.2% (26)
Mark Canha 135 .262 (66) .355 (31) .400 (106) 2.2% (115) 15.6% (20) 9.7% (53)

Diamondbacks Betting Records and Team Stats

The Diamondbacks have been underdogs in 87 games this season and have come away with the win 40 times (46%) in those contests. This season, Arizona has come away with a win seven times in 12 chances when named as an underdog of at least +153 or longer on the moneyline. The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Diamondbacks have a 39.5% chance of walking away with the win. Contests with Arizona have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 71 of 162 chances this season. The Diamondbacks have an against the spread record of 88-74-0 in 162 games with a line this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Corbin Carroll 153 .287 (15) .363 (20) .510 (17) 3.9% (44) 19.6% (57) 8.9% (67)
Christian Walker 157 .258 (78) .333 (58) .497 (24) 5% (18) 19.2% (53) 9.4% (61)
Ketel Marte 149 .276 (28) .358 (27) .485 (30) 3.8% (47) 16.8% (32) 10.9% (27)
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 145 .263 (62) .311 (111) .465 (48) 4.1% (37) 17.4% (36) 5.6% (119)
Tommy Pham 125 .256 (-) .328 (-) .446 (-) 3.3% (-) 22% (-) 9.8% (-)

Brewers vs. Diamondbacks Picks and Predictions

Our best pick for Brewers vs. Diamondbacks sees the Brewers (-185 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. As for the over/under, we prefer the over on 8 runs.

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WRITTEN BY

Stacy Sailer

Stacy has been a baseball fan for as long as she can remember. She admits that she grew up as a spoiled Yankees fan in the late-90’s/early 2000’s, but has slowly evolved into a disgruntled Yankees fan due to their lone championship title in the last 21 seasons. She follows other sports, but her first love has always been baseball and loves getting to share her insight and knowledge with the Betsperts community.

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