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The NL Wild Card Series begins with a showdown between the Milwaukee Brewers and the Arizona Diamondbacks at on Tuesday, starting at 7:08 PM ET. Corbin Burnes (10-8) is the starter for the Brewers, and Brandon Pfaadt (3-9) for the Diamondbacks.
The bookmakers have spoken, making the Brewers (-185) a moderate moneyline favorite to beat the Diamondbacks (+153) at home. The over/under for this contest is set at 8.
Brewers vs. Diamondbacks Odds
Run Line
Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)
Moneyline
Brewers (-185)
Total
8 Runs (Over: -110, Under: -111)
When, Where, at What Time is Brewers vs. Diamondbacks
- Game Day: Tuesday, October 3, 2023
- Game Time: 7:08 PM ET
- TV Channel: ESPN2
- Location: ,
- Stadium:
Brewers Injury Report
| Name | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Jesse Winker | 10-Day Injured List | Back |
| Elvis Peguero | 15-Day Injured List | Elbow |
| Thyago Vieira | 15-Day Injured List | Calf |
| J.B. Bukauskas | 15-Day Injured List | Finger |
| Darin Ruf | 60-Day Injured List | Knee |
| Justin Wilson | 60-Day Injured List | Back |
| Aaron Ashby | 60-Day Injured List | Shoulder |
| Jean Carlos Mejía | Suspended List | Suspension |
Diamondbacks Injury Report
| Name | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Scott McGough | 15-Day Injured List | Shoulder |
| Tommy Henry | 60-Day Injured List | Elbow |
| Drey Jameson | 60-Day Injured List | Elbow |
| Austin Adams | 60-Day Injured List | Ankle |
| Dominic Fletcher | 60-Day Injured List | Finger |
| Mark Melancon | 60-Day Injured List | Shoulder |
| Corbin Martin | 60-Day Injured List | Back |
| Sebasrian Santana | Restricted List | Personal |
Last Time Out: Brewers and Diamondbacks
The Brewers beat the Cubs by a 4-0 score in their last game Sunday. Tyrone Taylor went 1-for-4 with a home run and an RBI to lead them offensively while Adrian Houser earned the win after throwing five innings without giving up an earned run on three hits, while striking out five.
The Diamondbacks suffered an 8-1 loss to the Astros Tuesday. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (2-for-4 with a double and an RBI) led the way offensively, while Kyle Nelson took the loss on the mound after going 1/3 of an inning, giving up two earned runs on two hits while striking out one.
Betting Trends
Brewers Betting Records and Team Stats
The Brewers have been favorites in 90 games this season and won 53 (58.9%) of those contests. Milwaukee has a record of 8-9, a 47.1% win rate, when favored by -185 or more by oddsmakers this season. The Brewers have a 64.9% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline. So far this season, Milwaukee and its opponents have hit the over in 72 of their 162 games with a total. The Brewers are 83-79-0 against the spread in their 162 chances this season.
| Name | GP | AVG (Rank) | OBP (Rank) | SLG (Rank) | HR% (Rank) | K% (Rank) | BB% (Rank) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Yelich | 144 | .280 (23) | .372 (14) | .453 (59) | 3% (88) | 22.2% (80) | 12.3% (19) |
| Carlos Santana | 146 | .240 (114) | .318 (93) | .429 (80) | 3.7% (55) | 16.8% (32) | 10.5% (35) |
| William Contreras | 141 | .291 (13) | .369 (15) | .459 (53) | 2.8% (98) | 20.7% (66) | 10.3% (36) |
| Willy Adames | 149 | .219 (131) | .311 (111) | .409 (99) | 3.8% (47) | 25.9% (114) | 11.2% (26) |
| Mark Canha | 135 | .262 (66) | .355 (31) | .400 (106) | 2.2% (115) | 15.6% (20) | 9.7% (53) |
Diamondbacks Betting Records and Team Stats
The Diamondbacks have been underdogs in 87 games this season and have come away with the win 40 times (46%) in those contests. This season, Arizona has come away with a win seven times in 12 chances when named as an underdog of at least +153 or longer on the moneyline. The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Diamondbacks have a 39.5% chance of walking away with the win. Contests with Arizona have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 71 of 162 chances this season. The Diamondbacks have an against the spread record of 88-74-0 in 162 games with a line this season.
| Name | GP | AVG (Rank) | OBP (Rank) | SLG (Rank) | HR% (Rank) | K% (Rank) | BB% (Rank) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corbin Carroll | 153 | .287 (15) | .363 (20) | .510 (17) | 3.9% (44) | 19.6% (57) | 8.9% (67) |
| Christian Walker | 157 | .258 (78) | .333 (58) | .497 (24) | 5% (18) | 19.2% (53) | 9.4% (61) |
| Ketel Marte | 149 | .276 (28) | .358 (27) | .485 (30) | 3.8% (47) | 16.8% (32) | 10.9% (27) |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. | 145 | .263 (62) | .311 (111) | .465 (48) | 4.1% (37) | 17.4% (36) | 5.6% (119) |
| Tommy Pham | 125 | .256 (-) | .328 (-) | .446 (-) | 3.3% (-) | 22% (-) | 9.8% (-) |
Brewers vs. Diamondbacks Picks and Predictions
Our best pick for Brewers vs. Diamondbacks sees the Brewers (-185 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. As for the over/under, we prefer the over on 8 runs.